Denmark vs Wales Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Action from Group A4 at the UEFA Nations League continues on Sunday with Denmark taking on Wales at Parken Stadium in Copenhagen. The Red and Whites have won their last three matches against this opponent, and our prediction is that they will get their first victory of this UNL campaign in this one.
Denmark will be looking for a better start to this match than their last, where they gave themselves an uphill battle after conceding twice early to Norway. Brian Riemer’s side can now look forward to consecutive home matches against Wales and Portugal and are the clear favourites to get their first three points on the board this weekend.
The Dragons secured promotion from League B in the 2024-25 campaign, but life in the top flight began with a disappointing loss to the reigning Nations League champions on Thursday. While there were plenty of positives for Craig Bellamy to take from the last match, his side have only beaten the Danes once in their last five encounters since 1999. Let’s take a look at some more key stats!
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Denmark v Wales Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.46 | 4.4 | 6 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.6 | 7.08 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.44 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.44 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.5 | 6.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Denmark and Wales?
Our prediction for the Denmark vs Wales match is: Denmark wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2026 between Denmark and Wales in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.57% for a win of Denmark against Wales with odds of 1.5 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Denmark vs Wales is 26.19% with odds of 4.6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Wales vs Denmark with odds of 7.3 at Betsson.
Denmark vs Wales Form
Denmark and Wales's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Denmark and Wales Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Denmark vs Wales Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jun 2021 - Euro
16 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League
Denmark - Wales: Form Analysis
Denmark fought back to 2-2 after conceding two goals early against Norway, but Erling Haaland proved to be the difference-maker, scoring the winner for the Vikings in the 74th minute of the match.
The Red and Whites recorded 51% possession and overperformed their 1.09 xG in that match. They fired 13 shots (seven on target), created one big chance, and hit the woodwork in the first half.
Despite that result, this week’s hosts still have a good record of late, with just three defeats in their last 13 matches across all competitions dating back to the UNL quarter-finals in March last year (W7 D3).
Denmark are unbeaten in their last eight home matches in all competitions (W6 D2)!
Meanwhile, Wales failed to convert any of their three big chances and suffered a 1-0 defeat to Portugal on Thursday. They managed just 38% possession and finished the match with just 0.85 xG.
The Dragons are now winless in their last five matches (D2 L3), while their only wins in their last 10 came against North Macedonia and Liechtenstein during the World Cup qualifiers last November.
The visitors have only won two of their last nine away games and failed to score in two of their last four outings. They were beaten 2-0 by Denmark in their last away meeting during the 2018 UNL group stage.
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Denmark vs Wales last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Hermansen
A. Jungdal
DefenderA. Gaaei
L. Hogsberg
V. Nelsson
V. Bak
MidfielderA. Daghim
T. Jorgensen
A. Gronbaek
M. Bidstrup
ForwardG. Isaksen
K. Hogh
D. Cornell
T. King
DefenderR. Norrington-Davies
C. Roberts
C. Mepham
MidfielderJ. Colwill
S. Thomas
ForwardK. Moore
W. Burns
D. James
L. Cullen
M. Harris
Denmark & Wales Squad Analysis
Mikkel Damsgaard has been in excellent form for his national team over the past year. The Brentford man netted his side’s opener on Thursday night and now has seven direct goal contributions in his last six matches for Denmark.
Patrick Dorgu also caught the eye in the last match. The Man United man was deployed on the right wing and made 18 successful passes into the final third, including a team-high three key passes.
In his pre-match press conference, Riemer confirmed that midfielder Albert Gronbaek had sustained a thigh injury against Norway and is now set to return to Hamburger to commence treatment.
Damsgaard notched up an assist in the last match between these sides!
Wales came out of their last match with no new fitness issues, but they were hit hard in the lead-up, with Harry Wilson, Nathan Broadhead, Karl Darlow, and Joe Rodon all sustaining injuries.
Daniel James made an impressive cameo off the bench against Portugal, finishing the match with 0.56 xG in just 27 minutes on the pitch. He could replace Lewis Koumas in the starting lineup this weekend.
Denmark and Wales Stats in UEFA Nations League
Denmark - Wales Key Points
- Denmark have only lost three of their last 13 matches across all competitions.
- Denmark are unbeaten in their last eight home matches in all competitions.
- Denmark have won their last three matches against Wales.
- Wales are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
- Wales have only won two of their last nine away matches in all competitions.
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Our Denmark vs Wales Prediction
Craig Bellamy summed up Wales' performance against Portugal perfectly by saying his side had to “suffer a lot” on Thursday, and with the number of injuries they have, it’s not going to get much easier for the Dragons on the road in Copenhagen.
Despite losing, Denmark showed plenty of fight against Norway, coming back from two goals down before Erling Haaland netted the winner. Now at home, we expect the Red and Whites to be much better in defence and take the three points from this match. Our Denmark vs Wales prediction is Denmark wins.
Denmark vs Wales Alternative Predictions
Mikkel Damsgaard 1+ shot on target
Under 2.5 goals
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Denmark vs Wales - FAQs
The UEFA Nations League match between Denmark and Wales will be broadcast live on TV2 Play (Denmark) and S4C (UK).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
