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25 May 2024 - 05:45 

- Final

Australia - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
VS
Melbourne Victory

Prediction :

Melbourne Victory wins the match

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Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

 by Steve Ashfield | in Football Predictions

Central Coast Mariners face Melbourne Victory in the A-League Grand Final. The Mariners won the 2023 final and also topped this season's main A-League with their opponents in third. They have home advantage in this final and that may well be a deciding factor. Central Coast are also in good form and another Grand Final victory is definitely a possibility this weekend. Melbourne Victory will be hoping to cause an upset but their away record is a big problem for them.

The Best Betting Odds for Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
17 1.06 17
Ladbrokes
2.25 3 3
NetBet
2.17 2.9 2.95
Betwinner
2.31 3.11 3.36
Melbet
2.18 3.44 3.28
Tonybet
2.31 3.1 3.15
Check all Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory odds
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What is SportyTrader's prediction for the football match between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 5/24/24 between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.43% for a win of Central Coast Mariners against Melbourne Victory with odds of 17 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory is 29.12% with odds of 3.44 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners with odds of 17 at Bet365.

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory prediction

Probability

Best Odds
Central Coast Mariners wins the match52.43 %17
Draw29.12 %3.44
Melbourne Victory wins the match18.45 %17

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Form

Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory Last Matches

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners Last matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

18 May 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  0
Sydney

10 May 2024 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

5 May 2024 - AFC Cup, Group A

Al Ahed FC
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

1 May 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  0
Adelaide United

27 Apr 2024 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  3
Central Coast Mariners

24 Apr 2024 - AFC Cup, Group A

Central Coast Mariners
3 :  0
FC Abdysh-Ata
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
L D L D D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

18 May 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

12 May 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

5 May 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Melbourne City

27 Apr 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  4
Western Sydney Wanderers

20 Apr 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  0
Brisbane Roar

12 Apr 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

Central Coast Mariners against Melbourne Victory : Head to Head (H2H)

Central Coast Mariners

25 %

Draw

50 %

Melbourne Victory

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.25
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.25
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%

25 Feb 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

13 Jan 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory

2 Dec 2023 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  2
Melbourne Victory

19 Mar 2023 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Central Coast Mariners
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Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory: Form Analysis

Central Coast Mariners finished the regular A-League season top of the table. They finished two points clear of Wellington Phoenix but it's not the top two that are meeting in this final. The Mariners went straight into the play-off semi-finals and took on Sydney FC coming from behind to win the away first leg 2-1. The return match ended in a goalless draw and took the Mariners into the final for the fourth successive year. May has already been a good month for them with the AFC Cup being won. They are now unbeaten in their last seven A-League fixtures and ten in all competitions. Home form has been strong this season with nine wins out of 14 in the regular season. The last three home league and cup games has seen them keep a clean sheet. They are unbeaten in their last three matches against Melbourne Victory.

The away side are the outsiders in this Grand Final. They finished in third place in the regular season and 13 points behind the Mariners. 12 of their league games ended in a draw and eight of those came on the road. Unlike their opponents, Victory had to play in the play-off quarter-finals. That saw them take on Melbourne City at home and they went behind in the first half. It took an 88th minute equalizer to keep them alive and they eventually won on penalties. The semi-finals saw them defeat Wellington Phoenix away from home and they looked to be winning the match in regular time. They were 1-0 up but the home side leveled the scores in the 99th minute. Melbourne eventually won the game 2-1 after extra time. Over 90 minutes, they have gone six games without a win. A victory for Central Coast Mariners is our tip for this match.

Central Coast Mariners against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11

Central Coast Mariners

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

20
D. Vukovic
15
S. Roux
3
B. Kaltak
23
D. Hall
18
J. Farrell
2
A. Rodrigues Brito
26
B. Tapp
6
M. Balard
7
C. Theoharous
9
A. Kuol
4
J. Nisbet
10
B. Fornaroli
23
S. Khelifi
8
Z. Machach
19
D. Arzani
25
R. Teague
27
J. Valadon
3
A. Traore
21
R. Miranda
5
D. Da Silva
2
J. Geria
20
P. Izzo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Melbourne Victory

Central Coast Mariners & Melbourne Victory Squad Analysis

Don't expect too many changes from either team here as both managers will want to stick with what has gotten them to this stage. The only two absences for Mariners' boss Mark Jackson are defender Noah Smith and Colombian winger Angel Torres, the latter of which could be facing some serious off the field charges. Torres is a big miss for the hosts as he is Central Coast's leading scorer this season with 15 goals in 33 appearances.

Melbourne Victory manager Tony Popovic doesn't have any injury concerns ahead of the final. Melbourne have been powered this season by the goals of striker Bruno Fornaroli, who has an impressive strike rate of 18 goals in 24 appearances. The Mariners will have to keep a keen eye on the experienced number 10 if they are to repeat as champions. 

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory Key Points

  1. Central Coast Mariners finished 13 points clear of their opponents in the regular season.
  2. Central Coast Mariners are unbeaten in their last three games against Melbourne Victory.
  3. Over 90 minutes, Melbourne Victory have gone six games without a win.
  4. Excluding extra time and penalties, Melbourne Victory have only won one of their last nine away games.
  5. Central Coast Mariners are unbeaten in their last ten league and cup games.
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Our Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Central Coast Mariners have had another successful season. They finished top of the regular season and won the AFC Cup earlier this month. Now they bid to again win the Grand Final and have home advantage in this match. They are unbeaten in their last three games against their opponents who struggle on the road. Our Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory prediction is a win for Central Coast Mariners in 90 minutes.

Prediction :

Melbourne Victory wins the match

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Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory - Other Interesting Predictions

Under 2.5 goals

For both of these clubs, two of their last three games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. They have played each other three times this season and the last two both ended with under 2.5 goals being scored.
Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

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Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory match : Frequently asked questions

This match between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory is being played on Saturday May 25 with a scheduled kick-off time of 10.45am in the UK.
This Grand Final is a home match for Central Coast Mariners. It is being played at the Industree Group Stadium which is in Gosford in New South Wales, Australia.
The on-pitch refereee for this match will be Alex King who has been refereeing A-League matches since 2019.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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