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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions
Cameron Norrie will, for the second time at a Grand Slam event, meet Carlos Alcaraz. In what will also be the first match on grass between them, they face off in the Wimbledon quarter-finals. We have a prediction below, with the winner here progressing to face Taylor Fritz or Karen Khachanov.
On very many fronts, this is a lopsided affair, as world No. 61 Norrie takes on the player ranked second. From his run here, though, Norrie will be confident.
His four wins so far place him well on course for his second ever Wimbledon semi-final. He trails Alcaraz 4-2 in head-to-head numbers and will also be banking on home support for an extra push.
The last time these two players faced off was two years ago, and Alcaraz lost. We don’t expect his game on Tuesday to be dominated by the need to avenge, but he comes into this as the favorite.
The Spaniard won the last two Wimbledon editions and comes here having compiled a 46-5 record for the season. He has five titles to show for his efforts and is yet to taste defeat on grass this season.
The second seed will, however, be keen not to suffer a second Grand Slam defeat at the quarter-final level, that having happened at the Australian Open.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cameron Norrie v Carlos Alcaraz Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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11 | 1.05 |
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9 | 1.06 |
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10 | 1.05 |
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9.5 | 1.06 |
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11 | 1.04 |
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Who will win the Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in four sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 08/07/2025 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:
- Cameron Norrie has a 24.67% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 13.2.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 75.33% probability of winning facing Cameron Norrie ⭐ with odds of 1.07 at Vbet.
Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Cameron Norrie has a 24.67 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Cameron Norrie | 24.67 % |
Carlos Alcaraz | 75.33 % |
Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
24 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
16 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
22 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
21 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
60 %
26 Feb 2023 - ATP Rio Open
19 Feb 2023 - ATP Buenos Aires
19 Aug 2022 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 May 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
17 Mar 2022 - ATP Indian Wells
Cameron Norrie - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz dropped a set apiece in his last two matches.
- Norrie won at least a set in eight of his last 10 games.
- In six of his last 10 matches, Alcaraz won but conceded at least a set.
- 10 times in his last 14 Grand Slam matches, Alcaraz lost a set or more.
- Two of Norrie’s last four matches at Wimbledon ended in four sets.
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Our Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Over the past 12 months, Cameron Norrie has faced two top 10 players and lost both times. Overall, he holds a 10-40 record against such players. It thus means he comes here as the outright underdog.
His run at Wimbledon this time will, however, lift his spirits, and with the crowd’s backing, we can’t rule out the Briton pushing Alcaraz. Still, the Spaniard is expected to come out on top here. Alcaraz hasn’t lost much this season, and at points he has been unplayable. Our prediction for Cameron Norrie v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in four sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz game!
When you place a bet on the match between Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Cameron Norrie or Carlos Alcaraz , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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