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Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 61 Great Britain
Cameron Norrie
08/07/2025 12:05
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in four sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions

Cameron Norrie will, for the second time at a Grand Slam event, meet Carlos Alcaraz. In what will also be the first match on grass between them, they face off in the Wimbledon quarter-finals. We have a prediction below, with the winner here progressing to face Taylor Fritz or Karen Khachanov.

On very many fronts, this is a lopsided affair, as world No. 61 Norrie takes on the player ranked second. From his run here, though, Norrie will be confident.

His four wins so far place him well on course for his second ever Wimbledon semi-final. He trails Alcaraz 4-2 in head-to-head numbers and will also be banking on home support for an extra push.

The last time these two players faced off was two years ago, and Alcaraz lost. We don’t expect his game on Tuesday to be dominated by the need to avenge, but he comes into this as the favorite.

The Spaniard won the last two Wimbledon editions and comes here having compiled a 46-5 record for the season. He has five titles to show for his efforts and is yet to taste defeat on grass this season.

The second seed will, however, be keen not to suffer a second Grand Slam defeat at the quarter-final level, that having happened at the Australian Open.

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The Best Betting Odds for Cameron Norrie v Carlos Alcaraz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
11 1.05
William Hill
9 1.06
Betway
10 1.05
Ladbrokes
9.5 1.06
Unibet
11 1.04
Check all Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz odds
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Who will win the Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in four sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 08/07/2025 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:

  • Cameron Norrie has a 24.67% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 13.2.
  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 75.33% probability of winning facing Cameron Norrie ⭐ with odds of 1.07 at Vbet.

Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Cameron Norrie has a 24.67 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Cameron Norrie24.67 %
Carlos Alcaraz75.33 %

Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches

Cameron Norrie Last matches
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Nicolás Jarry
2 :  3
Cameron Norrie

4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  3
Cameron Norrie

2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Cameron Norrie
3 :  1
Frances Tiafoe

30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Cameron Norrie
3 :  1
Roberto Bautista-Agut

24 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

Billy Harris
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

16 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Jakub Mensik
Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jan-Lennard Struff
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Oliver Tarvet
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Fabio Fognini
2 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

22 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  1
Jiri Lehecka

21 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Roberto Bautista-Agut

Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Cameron Norrie

40 %

Carlos Alcaraz

60 %

26 Feb 2023 - ATP Rio Open

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Cameron Norrie

19 Feb 2023 - ATP Buenos Aires

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

19 Aug 2022 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

5 May 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

17 Mar 2022 - ATP Indian Wells

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie
Compare Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Cameron Norrie - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Alcaraz dropped a set apiece in his last two matches.
  2. Norrie won at least a set in eight of his last 10 games.
  3. In six of his last 10 matches, Alcaraz won but conceded at least a set.
  4. 10 times in his last 14 Grand Slam matches, Alcaraz lost a set or more.
  5. Two of Norrie’s last four matches at Wimbledon ended in four sets.
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Our Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Over the past 12 months, Cameron Norrie has faced two top 10 players and lost both times. Overall, he holds a 10-40 record against such players. It thus means he comes here as the outright underdog.

His run at Wimbledon this time will, however, lift his spirits, and with the crowd’s backing, we can’t rule out the Briton pushing Alcaraz. Still, the Spaniard is expected to come out on top here. Alcaraz hasn’t lost much this season, and at points he has been unplayable. Our prediction for Cameron Norrie v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in four sets.

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in four sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
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