Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
26/09/2026 12:00
Luxembourg

Prediction :

 

Bulgaria to win to nil

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Bulgaria have an easy outing to start off their UEFA Nations League campaign as they host Luxembourg. This League C encounter hosted by Bulgaria is a really lopsided affair. As Bulgaria are unbeaten in 17 meetings with Luxembourg our prediction backs them to start on a high.

In the FIFA rankings, these two aren’t so distant, Bulgaria 85th and Luxembourg 98th. However, in terms of head-to-head numbers, Bulgaria are way ahead.

They have won 14 of their 17 meetings, keeping eight clean sheets. Their run up to this encounter hasn’t been very encouraging though. They failed to win their two matches in the June window, and are on nine losses now in the last 15 outings.

Luxembourg have been masterminding their own downfall over time. In their recent matches for example, going without scoring has cost them.

They’ve already failed to score in eight of their last 17 meetings with Bulgaria and in six of their nine matches ahead of this one also ended without a Luxembourg goal. T

They, however, come here on a more confident run, having posted three wins in their last four matches. The latest of them was a morale booster as Luxembourg beat Albania 1-0. They should feel even more encouraged, having won back to back away matches.

                                                                        

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Bulgaria v Luxembourg Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.25 3.1 3.2
1xbet
2.31 3.19 3.52
Melbet
2.26 3.14 3.4
Betwinner
2.28 3.12 3.4
22bet
2.28 3.12 3.4
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bulgaria and Luxembourg?

Our prediction for the Bulgaria vs Luxembourg match is: Bulgaria to win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/09/2026 between Bulgaria and Luxembourg in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.07% for a win of Bulgaria against Luxembourg with odds of 2.32 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bulgaria vs Luxembourg is 20.45% with odds of 3.2 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Luxembourg vs Bulgaria with odds of 3.52 at 1xbet.

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Form

Bulgaria and Luxembourg Last Matches

Bulgaria
Bulgaria Last matches
L W W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Bulgaria
0 :  1
Montenegro

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Indonesia
0 :  1
Bulgaria

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Solomon Islands
2 :  10
Bulgaria

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
2 :  1
Georgia

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
2 :  0
Bulgaria
L D L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Bulgaria
0 :  1
Montenegro

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
2 :  1
Georgia

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
1 :  6
Turkiye

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
0 :  3
Spain

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Bulgaria
2 :  2
Cyprus

20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
1 :  2
Ireland
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Indonesia
0 :  1
Bulgaria

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Solomon Islands
2 :  10
Bulgaria

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
2 :  0
Bulgaria

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Spain
4 :  0
Bulgaria

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Georgia
3 :  0
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Last matches
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
0% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Albania
0 :  1
Luxembourg

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Italy

31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
3 :  0
Malta

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Malta
0 :  2
Luxembourg

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Luxembourg

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
0 :  2
Germany
D L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Italy

31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
3 :  0
Malta

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
0 :  2
Germany

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Slovakia

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
1 :  3
Northern Ireland

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  0
Ireland
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Albania
0 :  1
Luxembourg

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Malta
0 :  2
Luxembourg

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Luxembourg

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Slovakia
2 :  0
Luxembourg

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Germany
4 :  0
Luxembourg

25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
3 :  1
Luxembourg

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bulgaria

25 %

Draw

75 %

Luxembourg

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0.75
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
0.25
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Bulgaria

12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
0 :  0
Luxembourg

20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  0
Bulgaria

10 Oct 2017 - World Cup

Luxembourg
1 :  1
Bulgaria
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction

Bulgaria - Luxembourg Key Points

  1. Bulgaria are unbeaten in 17 matches against Luxembourg, winning 14.
  2. In 17 meetings with Luxembourg, Bulgaria posted eight clean sheets.
  3. Luxembourg failed to score in six of their last nine matches.
  4. Luxembourg failed to score in six of their last nine matches.
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Our Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction

Bulgaria will start another season in League C, and more inclined towards defending their dominant run in this particular fixture. They have beaten Luxembourg in 14 of their 17 meetings while keeping eight clean sheets and we are expecting a similar occurrence here, given Luxembourg’s poor run coming into this game.

It hasn’t been all smooth for Bulgaria either, but they should be able to complete the job at hand. Our prediction for Bulgaria v Luxembourg is for Bulgaria to win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Bulgaria to win to nil

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.