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Brighton vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
For the second successive weekend, Brighton and Hove Albion have a south coast derby. The Seagulls are fifth in the Premier League and host Southampton who are bottom of the table. The big incentive for Brighton is that if they can win this match they will climb to second place in the Premier League. They'd also achieve that if they draw this match but scoring a couple of goals. Last week saw them beat Bournemouth 2-1 away and that followed up their recent home victory over struggling Manchester City.
Southampton put up a good performance against Liverpool but ended up losing 3-2 at home. The Saints remain bottom of the Premier League with just four points from 12 games. That total is 18 less than their opponents have managed this season. Southampton are four points adrift at the bottom and five from safety. With Chelsea, Aston VIlla and Tottenham to play next, they are in real trouble. Read our match prediction below.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Southampton Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 5.25 | 7 |
|
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1.4 | 5.25 | 7 |
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1.42 | 5.33 | 7.37 |
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1.42 | 5.33 | 7.37 |
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1.39 | 5.5 | 7.25 |
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1.37 | 5.6 | 7.4 |
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1.39 | 5.2 | 6.95 |
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1.4 | 5.6 | 6.8 |
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1.39 | 5.6 | 7.6 |
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1.4 | 5 | 7 |
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1.41 | 5.8 | 7.3 |
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1.38 | 5.25 | 7 |
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1.34 | 5.4 | 8 |
|
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1.33 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Southampton match is: Brighton to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2024 between Brighton and Southampton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.55% for a win of Brighton against Southampton with odds of 1.42 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Southampton is 22.74% with odds of 5.8 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Brighton with odds of 8 at Unibet.
Brighton - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
Brighton Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Brighton wins | 64.55% | 1.42 at 1xbet |
Over 2.5 goals | 74.67% | 1.66 at 1xbet |
Both Team To Score | 83.33% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
Half-time / Full-time : Brighton/Brighton | 34.4% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Southampton Form
Brighton and Southampton's standings in the Premier League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
|
24 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
20
|
5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | -20 |
Brighton and Southampton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
Brighton vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 May 2023 - Premier League
26 Dec 2022 - Premier League
24 Apr 2022 - Premier League
4 Dec 2021 - Premier League
14 Mar 2021 - Premier League
7 Dec 2020 - Premier League
Brighton - Southampton: Form Analysis
Brighton and Hove Albion have won six of their 12 Premier League games this season. The Seagulls have only lost a couple of games and both of those were on the road. Six home league matches have produced three wins and the same number of draws.
The last four home Premier League games played by Brighton have seen them score at least twice and they will fancy to do that against the Saints. A win over Southampton will make it three successive wins in the Premier League.
Southampton are in deep relegation trouble.
It is already starting to look bleak for Southampton. The newly-promoted side look destined to make an immediate return to the Championship. They have only had one league win this season and that was at home to Everton. The other ten league fixtures have produced just a home draw against Ipswich Town.
All six of their away league games have ended in defeat this season. Only three goals have been scored but 13 conceded. They are already five points from safety and the Saints are in deep relegation trouble.
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Brighton against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
A. Webster
F. Kadioglu
J. Veltman
MidfielderS. March
J. Milner
J. Hinshelwood
G. Bazunu
A. Ramsdale
DefenderJ. Bednarek
J. Larios
MidfielderW. Smallbone
A. Lallana
ForwardR. Stewart
P. Onuachu
Brighton & Southampton Squad Analysis
Brighton will continue to be without James Milner and Solly March plus Carlos Baleba is suspended. Lewis Dunk is among several players who are doubtful for this game. Tariq Lamptey, Adam Webster and Yankuba Minteh will also need to be assessed before the starting line-up can be named. Brighton have a strong squad though and have been getting good results despite the number of absentees.
Georgino Rutter may again play wide with Joao Pedro being allowed a more central role that should cause Southampton plenty of problems.
No return for Lallana this Friday?
Southampton could be without midfielder Adam Lallana for this game against Brighton. He used to play for the Seagulls but was injured in the first half of Southampton's home loss to Liverpool on Sunday.
Also doubtful for the match is former Brighton player Paul Onuachu. He also went off injured on Sunday. The striker is believed to have more chance of playing against Brighton than Lallana. The Saints will definitely be without Aaron Ramsdale who was signed from Arsenal during the summer. He suffered a finger injury at Wolves and is expected to be out for the rest of the year. Also out is Gavin Bazuna.
Most goals and assists
Brighton - Southampton Key Points
- Southampton have lost all six of their away league games this season.
- Brighton are yet to lose a home Premier League game this season.
- Southampton have 18 points less than their opponents.
- This season only Wolves have conceded more Premier League goals than Southampton.
- Brighton have scored at least twice in each of their last four home league matches.
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Our Brighton vs Southampton Prediction
Brighton have a good run of fixtures coming up. This game against Southampton begins a run of six games before they face a side currently in the top eight of the Premier League. A win over the struggling Saints will take them up to second place in the table. Their home form is strong with no defeats in the league this season.
Southampton are four points adrift at the bottom of the table and without an away point all season. Our main Brighton v Southampton prediction is Brighton to win and lead at half and full time.
Brighton vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
Brighton to win and over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Southampton
Brighton vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Brighton wins | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0% |
Draw | 5 | 5.25 | +5.0% |
Southampton wins | 7 | 7 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 71.4% (0.0%)
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Brighton vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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