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England - Premier League

Brighton
29 Nov 2024 15:00
Southampton

Prediction :

 

Half Time: Brighton, Full Time: Brighton

 
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Brighton vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions

For the second successive weekend, Brighton and Hove Albion have a south coast derby. The Seagulls are fifth in the Premier League and host Southampton who are bottom of the table. The big incentive for Brighton is that if they can win this match they will climb to second place in the Premier League. They'd also achieve that if they draw this match but scoring a couple of goals. Last week saw them beat Bournemouth 2-1 away and that followed up their recent home victory over struggling Manchester City.

Southampton put up a good performance against Liverpool but ended up losing 3-2 at home. The Saints remain bottom of the Premier League with just four points from 12 games. That total is 18 less than their opponents have managed this season. Southampton are four points adrift at the bottom and five from safety. With Chelsea, Aston VIlla and Tottenham to play next, they are in real trouble. Read our match prediction below.

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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Southampton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.4 5.25 7
Ladbrokes
1.4 5.25 7
1xbet
1.42 5.33 7.37
22bet
1.42 5.33 7.37
Betobet
1.39 5.5 7.25
Stake
1.37 5.6 7.4
Melbet
1.39 5.2 6.95
Tonybet
1.4 5.6 6.8
Betsson
1.39 5.6 7.6
William Hill
1.4 5 7
Vbet
1.41 5.8 7.3
Betway
1.38 5.25 7
Unibet
1.34 5.4 8
Betfair
1.33 5 7.5
Check all Brighton vs Southampton odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Southampton?

Our prediction for the Brighton vs Southampton match is: Brighton to win and lead at half and full time.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2024 between Brighton and Southampton in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.55% for a win of Brighton against Southampton with odds of 1.42 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Southampton is 22.74% with odds of 5.8 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 12.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Brighton with odds of 8 at Unibet.

Brighton - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:

Brighton Southampton Prediction Probability Odds
Brighton wins 64.55% 1.42 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 74.67% 1.66 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 83.33% 1.57 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Brighton/Brighton 34.4% 2.05 at Bet365

Brighton vs Southampton Form

Brighton and Southampton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Brighton
Brighton
24 15 6 6 3 3
20
Southampton
Southampton
5 15 1 2 12 -20

Brighton and Southampton Last Matches

Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W D L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Brighton

9 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

2 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Brighton

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Brighton
2 :  3
Liverpool

26 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Wolves

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  1
Brighton
W D W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Brighton
2 :  3
Liverpool

26 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Wolves

6 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  2
Tottenham

22 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Brighton
3 :  2
Wolves
W D L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Brighton

2 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Brighton

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  1
Brighton

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Brighton

31 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Brighton

17 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  3
Brighton
Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  3
Liverpool

9 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Southampton

2 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  0
Everton

29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
3 :  2
Stoke

26 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Southampton

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  3
Leicester
L D L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  3
Liverpool

2 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  0
Everton

29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
3 :  2
Stoke

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  3
Leicester

21 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Manchester United
L D L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Southampton

26 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Southampton

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Southampton

30 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  1
Southampton

17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Everton
1 :  1
Southampton

31 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Southampton

Brighton vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

50 %

Draw

33 %

Southampton

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

21 May 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Southampton

26 Dec 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Brighton

24 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Southampton

4 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Brighton

14 Mar 2021 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Brighton

7 Dec 2020 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  2
Southampton
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Brighton - Southampton: Form Analysis

Brighton and Hove Albion have won six of their 12 Premier League games this season. The Seagulls have only lost a couple of games and both of those were on the road. Six home league matches have produced three wins and the same number of draws.

The last four home Premier League games played by Brighton have seen them score at least twice and they will fancy to do that against the Saints. A win over Southampton will make it three successive wins in the Premier League.

Southampton are in deep relegation trouble.

It is already starting to look bleak for Southampton. The newly-promoted side look destined to make an immediate return to the Championship. They have only had one league win this season and that was at home to Everton. The other ten league fixtures have produced just a home draw against Ipswich Town.

All six of their away league games have ended in defeat this season. Only three goals have been scored but 13 conceded. They are already five points from safety and the Saints are in deep relegation trouble. 

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Brighton against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
B. Verbruggen
2
T. Lamptey
29
J. Van Hecke
3
Igor
30
P. Estupinan
33
M. O'Riley
26
Y. Ayari
14
G. Rutter
9
J. Pedro
22
K. Mitoma
18
D. Welbeck
19
C. Archer
9
A. Armstrong
18
M. Fernandes
4
F. Downes
33
T. Dibling
3
R. Manning
5
J. Stephens
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
2
K. Walker-Peters
16
Y. Sugawara
13
J. Lumley

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Southampton

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

A. Webster

F. Kadioglu

J. Veltman

Midfielder

S. March

J. Milner

J. Hinshelwood

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

G. Bazunu

A. Ramsdale

Defender

J. Bednarek

J. Larios

Midfielder

W. Smallbone

A. Lallana

Forward

R. Stewart

P. Onuachu

Brighton & Southampton Squad Analysis

Brighton will continue to be without James Milner and Solly March plus Carlos Baleba is suspended. Lewis Dunk is among several players who are doubtful for this game. Tariq Lamptey, Adam Webster and Yankuba Minteh will also need to be assessed before the starting line-up can be named.  Brighton have a strong squad though and have been getting good results despite the number of absentees.

Georgino Rutter may again play wide with Joao Pedro being allowed a more central role that should cause Southampton plenty of problems.

No return for Lallana this Friday?

Southampton could be without midfielder Adam Lallana for this game against Brighton. He used to play for the Seagulls but was injured in the first half of Southampton's home loss to Liverpool on Sunday.

Also doubtful for the match is former Brighton player Paul Onuachu. He also went off injured on Sunday. The striker is believed to have more chance of playing against Brighton than Lallana. The Saints will definitely be without Aaron Ramsdale who was signed from Arsenal during the summer. He suffered a finger injury at Wolves and is expected to be out for the rest of the year. Also out is Gavin Bazuna.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Southampton
Top Goalscorer
England D. Welbeck (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Archer (4 Goals)
Best assists
France G. Rutter (3 Assists)
Brazil J. Pedro (3 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal M. Fernandes (4 Assists)

Brighton - Southampton Key Points

  1. Southampton have lost all six of their away league games this season.
  2. Brighton are yet to lose a home Premier League game this season.
  3. Southampton have 18 points less than their opponents.
  4. This season only Wolves have conceded more Premier League goals than Southampton.
  5. Brighton have scored at least twice in each of their last four home league matches.
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Our Brighton vs Southampton Prediction

Brighton have a good run of fixtures coming up. This game against Southampton begins a run of six games before they face a side currently in the top eight of the Premier League. A win over the struggling Saints will take them up to second place in the table. Their home form is strong with no defeats in the league this season.

Southampton are four points adrift at the bottom of the table and without an away point all season. Our main Brighton v Southampton prediction is Brighton to win and lead at half and full time.

Prediction :

 

Half Time: Brighton, Full Time: Brighton

 
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Brighton vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions

Brighton to win and over 2.5 goals

Odds 1.85
Five of the last six Brighton home games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them. Over 2.5 goals were scored in each of their last three home league victories. Two of Southampton's last four away losses saw at least three goals be scored.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Southampton

Brighton vs Southampton Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Brighton wins 1.4 1.4 0%
Draw 5 5.25 +5.0%
Southampton wins 7 7 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Brighton is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 71.4% (0.0%)

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Brighton vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions

This is the first Premier League game of the weekend. It is being played on Friday November 29 with a scheduled start of 20:00 UK time.
This game against Southampton is Brighton's seventh home Premier League match of the season. It's being played at the Amex Stadium and the Seagulls are unbeaten at home in the league this season.
This Premier League match is being shown live on Sky Sports. To view it, you will need either a monthly subscription or day pass. All the action can be followed on our Premier League livescore with updated stats and live text commentary available.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brighton vs Southampton Prediction
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