Bolton vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
by Ian John in Football Predictions
On Saturday afternoon, Bolton Wanderers will take on Oxford United in the League One Playoff Final at Wembley. A place in the Championship awaits the winner, while another season in League One is in store for the loser. Bolton starts the game as the clear favourites, finishing third in the table, pushing Derby County and Portsmouth hard for an automatic promotion spot. They also have beaten Oxford United 5-0 once this season at the Toughsheet Community Stadium. Oxford finished ten points adrift of their opponents in fifth place in the table, but in a playoff final, everything starts equal, and the U's have a chance to play in the Championship for the first time since 1998/99.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Bolton v Oxford United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
201 | 29 | 1.01 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.53 | 3.94 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.55 | 3.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bolton and Oxford United?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 5/18/24 between Bolton and Oxford United in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.9% for a win of Bolton against Oxford United with odds of 201 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolton vs Oxford United is 33.6% with odds of 29 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Bolton with odds of 3.94 at Betwinner.
Bolton - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bolton Oxford United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 39.9% | 201 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.14% | 1.91 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bolton | 15.24% | 5 at Bet365 |
Bolton vs Oxford United Form
Bolton and Oxford United Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2024 - League One
3 May 2024 - League One
27 Apr 2024 - League One
20 Apr 2024 - League One
16 Apr 2024 - League One
13 Apr 2024 - League One
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2024 - League One
4 May 2024 - League One
27 Apr 2024 - League One
19 Apr 2024 - League One
16 Apr 2024 - League One
13 Apr 2024 - League One
Bolton against Oxford United : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2024 - League One
28 Nov 2023 - League One
Bolton - Oxford United: Form Analysis
Bolton survived a scare in their Playoff Semi-Final tie with Barnsley. The Trotters earned an impressive 3-1 win away at Oakwell in the first leg to seemingly set up a comfortable second leg at home. They then led 2-1 at halftime to lead 5-2 on aggregate, but two second-half goals for Barnsley put the home side under huge pressure. They did hang on to win 5-4 on aggregate to claim their place in the final but suffered their first defeat in nine games in the process, winning four and drawing four of the eight games before that loss. Bolton rattled in 86 goals in the regular season but conceded 51. They have been beaten just twice in their last 14 games in League One and the Playoffs, winning six and drawing six in that time.
Oxford United came into the playoff final after four games unbeaten and had just one defeat in ten games. The U's came through their playoff semi-final with Peterborough United, winning a tight first leg 1-0 at the Kassam Stadium. They then secured a 1-1 draw in the second leg at the Weston Homes Stadium, with Callum Brannagan scoring a crucial penalty just before halftime to pull Oxford level on the night and 2-1 ahead on aggregate. A battling second-half display then secured the 2-1 aggregate victory. Des Buckingham's team won six of their last ten games, drawing three others and losing only to Lincoln City in that run. Oxford were also amongst the highest scorers in League One this season, scoring 79 goals, conceding 56.
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Players list
N. Baxter
DefenderE. Toal
G. Jones
J. Dacres Cogley
V. Adeboyejo
R. Santos
MidfielderJ. Iredale
K. Dempsey
G. Thomason
ForwardA. Collins
C. Jerome
J. Cumming
DefenderC. Brown
G. Leigh
S. Long
E. Moore
MidfielderO. Dale
J. Murphy
M. McGuane
T. Goodrham
J. McEachran
ForwardM. Harris
Substitutes
J. Coleman
DefenderW. Forrester
J. Iredale
A. Morley
K. Dempsey
C. Jerome
V. Adeboyejo
S. Eastwood
DefenderG. Leigh
F. Stevens
MidfielderJ. McEachran
M. McGuane
M. Browne
ForwardB. Bodin
Bolton & Oxford United Squad Analysis
Bolton manager Ian Evatt will have the luxury of picking from an almost full-strength squad for the playoff final with Oxford. The only absentee will be defender George Johnston, who has missed the entire season through injury and will not return to action until next season at the earliest. The Trotters will be well-backed at Wembley, selling over 30,000 tickets to the final in the ten days from their playoff semi-final victory. Dion Charles is Bolton's main attacking threat, scoring 20 goals in 42 games in all competitions this season. Winger Aaron Collins is another to watch, having netted eight goals in just 19 appearances for the Trotters this campaign.
Oxford United head coach Des Buckingham faces a significant uncertainty ahead of the game with Bolton. Mark Harris, who has been a prolific scorer with 15 goals in League One this season (19 in all competitions), sustained an injury in their semi-final victory over Peterborough United. His participation in the final remains in question, adding an element of intrigue to the game. More positive is the news that Will Goodwin is fit again for the U's. Midfielder Cameron Brannagan has been a hugely consistent performer for Oxford United for seven years now and will be a key man if Oxford wins the game and gains promotion to the Championship.
Bolton - Oxford United Key Points
- Over 2.5 Goals have been scored in five of Bolton's last eight games and in all of their last three matches.
- Four of Oxford United's last eight games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
- Bolton has scored at least two goals in seven of their last eight matches, including their playoff semi-final ties against Barnsley.
- Oxford United scored in nine of their last ten games.
- This season, the two games between the teams saw a 0-0 draw at the Kassam Stadium in Oxford, but Wanderers ran out 5-0 winners at the Toughsheet Community Stadium in Bolton back in March.
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Our Bolton vs Oxford United Prediction
Bolton vs Oxford United - Other Interesting Predictions
Match Result - Draw and Both Teams to Score
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Bolton vs Oxford United match : Frequently asked questions
Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United have only met 29 times in their history ahead of the League One Playoff Final.
Out of those 29 games, Bolton have won 12, Oxford have won eight with nine matches between the two finishing as draws.
Bolton have the upper-hand in the most recent games between the two, losing just one of the last eight, winning five and drawing two.
The two games between the two this season saw them draw 0-0 at the Kassam Stadium in November, before Bolton thrashed Oxford 5-0 at the Toughsheet Community Stadium back in March.
The League One Playoff Final between Bolton and Oxford will be shown live in the UK on Sky Sports.
Additionally, if you don't have a subscription or just want real-time statistics, text commentary and data updates from the game, check out Sportytrader's League One Live page!All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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