Birmingham vs Stevenage Prediction & Betting Tips - League One

England - League One

Birmingham
11/03/2025 15:45
Stevenage

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Joseph King in League One Predictions

Runaway league leaders Birmingham play host to 12th-placed Stevenage for this rescheduled matchday 16 fixture in England’s League One. Will the Blues keep their title charge rolling along or will the Boro prove to be a speed bump? Check out our prediction and analysis of the match!

Birmingham bounced back from only their third defeat of the league season in matchday 35 with a 1-0 home win over Lincoln on Saturday. It was their third win from the last four outings and extended their lead over second-place Wycombe Wanderers to 11 points.

Birmingham have lost only twice all season at St. Andrew’s across all competitions, both of which were against Premier League opposition.

In League One, they’ve been utterly dominant on their home patch and are still unbeaten with a 15-3-0 record.

As for the visitors, they find themselves with an uphill task if they are to deal Birmingham their first home league defeat. Stevenage find themselves a hefty 12 points behind the promotion playoff positions with only 11 games left on their fixture list.

Their last appearance at the weekend saw Stevenage concede in the final 10 minutes and have to settle for a 1-1 home draw with Mansfield. They’re on a pretty good recent run with two wins, a draw and a defeat in their last four.

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Birmingham vs Stevenage Form

Birmingham and Stevenage's standings in the League One

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Birmingham
111 46 34 9 3 +53
14 Stevenage
57 46 15 12 19 -8

Birmingham and Stevenage Last Matches

Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
W D W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
1 :  0
Lincoln City

4 Mar 2025 - League One

Bolton
3 :  1
Birmingham

1 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
1 :  0
Wycombe Wanderers

25 Feb 2025 - League One

Birmingham
2 :  0
Leyton Orient London

22 Feb 2025 - League One

Reading
0 :  0
Birmingham

18 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy

Birmingham
2 :  1
Bradford City FC
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
1 :  0
Lincoln City

1 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
1 :  0
Wycombe Wanderers

25 Feb 2025 - League One

Birmingham
2 :  0
Leyton Orient London

18 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy

Birmingham
2 :  1
Bradford City FC

15 Feb 2025 - League One

Birmingham
1 :  0
Charlton Athletic

11 Feb 2025 - League One

Birmingham
4 :  0
Cambridge United
W D W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2025 - League One

Bolton
3 :  1
Birmingham

22 Feb 2025 - League One

Reading
0 :  0
Birmingham

4 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy

Stevenage
0 :  1
Birmingham

28 Jan 2025 - League One

Huddersfield Town
0 :  1
Birmingham

23 Jan 2025 - League One

Wrexham
1 :  1
Birmingham

14 Jan 2025 - EFL Trophy

Swindon Town
1 :  2
Birmingham
Stevenage
Stevenage Last matches
D L W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - League One

Stevenage
1 :  1
Mansfield Town

4 Mar 2025 - League One

Cambridge United
0 :  1
Stevenage

1 Mar 2025 - League One

Stevenage
1 :  2
Huddersfield Town

22 Feb 2025 - League One

Shrewsbury Town
0 :  1
Stevenage

18 Feb 2025 - League One

Stevenage
0 :  1
Burton Albion

15 Feb 2025 - League One

Stevenage
1 :  1
Peterborough
W L D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - League One

Stevenage
1 :  1
Mansfield Town

1 Mar 2025 - League One

Stevenage
1 :  2
Huddersfield Town

18 Feb 2025 - League One

Stevenage
0 :  1
Burton Albion

15 Feb 2025 - League One

Stevenage
1 :  1
Peterborough

4 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy

Stevenage
0 :  1
Birmingham

1 Feb 2025 - League One

Stevenage
4 :  1
Exeter City
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2025 - League One

Cambridge United
0 :  1
Stevenage

22 Feb 2025 - League One

Shrewsbury Town
0 :  1
Stevenage

11 Feb 2025 - League One

Crawley Town
3 :  1
Stevenage

8 Feb 2025 - League One

Charlton Athletic
2 :  0
Stevenage

28 Jan 2025 - League One

Wrexham
2 :  3
Stevenage

25 Jan 2025 - League One

Barnsley
0 :  1
Stevenage

Birmingham vs Stevenage Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Birmingham

100 %

Draw

0 %

Stevenage

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

4 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy

Stevenage
0 :  1
Birmingham

Players list

Birmingham
Birmingham
Goalkeeper

R. Allsop

Defender

C. Klarer

A. Cochrane

B. Davies

A. Sampsted

Midfielder

W. Willumsson

S. Paik

K. Dowell

T. Iwata

Forward

J. Stansfield

E. Hansson

Stevenage
Stevenage
Goalkeeper

M. Cooper

Defender

C. Piergianni

D. Butler

C. Goode

Midfielder

N. Freeman

E. King

D. Phillips

D. Kemp

L. Thompson

Forward

B. Hanlan

J. Reid

Substitutes

Birmingham
Birmingham
Goalkeeper

B. Peacock Farrell

Defender

G. Hanley

A. May 90'

Midfielder

M. Leonard

T. Iwata 63'

K. Anderson

J. Stansfield 69'

K. Bielik

A. Sampsted 70'

Forward

L. Jutkiewicz

A. May

E. Hansson 46'

Stevenage
Stevenage
Goalkeeper

T. Ashby-Hammond

Defender

L. Freestone

Midfielder

D. Sweeney

C. Piergianni 84'

H. White

L. Thompson 76'

E. List

E. King 66'

Forward

L. Appere

B. Hanlan 66'

J. Young

J. Reid 84'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Birmingham
CD Huachipato Stevenage
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (19 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Kemp (10 Goals)

Birmingham - Stevenage Key Points

  1. Birmingham have seen under 2.5 goals scored in 13 of their 18 home outings in League One.
  2. There have been under 2.5 goals in four of Birmingham’s last five matches.
  3. Stevenage have seen under 2.5 goals in five of their last six games.
  4. The hosts have conceded only seven goals in their 18 home outings in the league.
  5. Stevenage have seen under 2.5 goals in 12 of their 16 League One away matches.
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Our Birmingham vs Stevenage Prediction

Birmingham have been locking teams down all season at St. Andrew’s, while Stevenage trend heavily towards the under when they play on the road. We’re expecting this one to be relatively low-scoring with the hosts likely able to keep their opponents off the score sheet.

Stevenage have failed to put the ball in the net in half of their away league matches. Despite this, the Boro have a solid defensive record as the visiting side and should be able to limit the damage to just a goal or two. Our Birmingham vs Stevenage prediction: under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Birmingham vs Stevenage Prediction