Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Birmingham
29/12/2025 15:15
Southampton

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

Birmingham City and Southampton will renew their rivalry just over three weeks after facing off in the Championship. Sitting 15th in the standings, Birmingham will play host to 12th-placed Southampton. Both sides are looking to rise back to winning ways, and below we have a prediction.

Recent matches haven't brought out the best of Birmingham. They are coming off a five-match winless run, losing three times.

Desperate to return to winning ways, the Blues will welcome the chance for another home match. They have collected 22 of their 30 points so far at home. Their last outing, a home match, they played to a 1-1 draw with Derby County. 

Southampton have dominated this fixture and comes here unbeaten in five meetings with Birmingham. Those five have yielded four wins for the Saints, and in those wins they scored three or more goals.

They did keep only one clean sheet, though, and that is an area they will want to improve. Southampton have conceded in nine of their last 10 outings but only suffered defeat in three.

One of those was in their latest encounter, as they fell 2-1 to Oxford United. After suffering their eighth loss of the season, Southampton will be more concerned about their away form. They have three straight defeats on the road.

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The Best Betting Odds for Birmingham v Southampton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.35 3.4 2.75
Betfred
2.4 3.4 2.88
William Hill
2.4 3.3 2.8
Unibet
2.35 3.4 2.95
Betway
2.4 3.4 2.7
Check all Birmingham vs Southampton odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Southampton?

Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Southampton match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2025 between Birmingham and Southampton in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.97% for a win of Birmingham against Southampton with odds of 2.47 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Southampton is 17.36% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Birmingham with odds of 2.95 at Unibet.

Birmingham vs Southampton Form

Birmingham and Southampton's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12
Southampton
Southampton
31 23 8 7 8 4
15
Birmingham
Birmingham
30 23 8 6 9 1

Birmingham and Southampton Last Matches

Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
W L L D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Derby County

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  0
Birmingham

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Birmingham

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford
W W W W D D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Derby County

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  1
Norwich

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Millwall

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Portsmouth
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  0
Birmingham

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Birmingham

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Birmingham

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Birmingham

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Birmingham
Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L W W L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
Southampton

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Coventry City

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Southampton

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  2
West Brom

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  2
Southampton
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Coventry City

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  2
West Brom

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  0
Leicester

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  2
Preston North End
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
Southampton

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Southampton

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  2
Southampton

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  5
Southampton

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Southampton

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Southampton

Birmingham vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Birmingham

0 %

Draw

0 %

Southampton

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (home team)
3.33
Goals scored (away team)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  4
Southampton

28 Oct 2023 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

Birmingham vs Southampton last Lineups

Birmingham

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
J. Beadle
24
T. Iwata
4
C. Klarer
41
E. Cashin
6
J. Robinson
12
M. Leonard
8
S. Paik
16
P. Roberts
28
J. Stansfield
10
D. Gray
33
M. Ducksch
9
A. Armstrong
13
L. Scienza
10
F. Azaz
3
R. Manning
20
C. Jander
4
F. Downes
18
T. Fellows
5
J. Stephens
15
N. Wood
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
31
G. Bazunu

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Southampton

Missing players

Birmingham
Birmingham
Goalkeeper

J. Beadle

Defender

L. Buchanan

E. Laird

A. Cochrane

Midfielder

S. Wright

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

E. Jelert Kristensen

M. Roerslev

Midfielder

S. Charles

Forward

S. Edozie

R. Stewart

D. Downs

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Birmingham
CD Huachipato Southampton
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England A. Armstrong (11 Goals)
Best assists
Jamaica D. Gray (5 Assists)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland R. Manning (3 Assists)
England T. Fellows (3 Assists)
England A. Armstrong (3 Assists)

Birmingham and Southampton Stats in Championship

Birmingham
Birmingham
Southampton
Southampton
35%
Wins
35%
26%
Draw
30%
39%
Losses
35%
2.65
Total goals per match
3.04
1.35
Goals scored per match
1.61
1.3
Goals conceded per match
1.43
52%
Over 2.5
70%
48%
Under 2.5
30%
57%
BTTS
83%
22%
Clean Sheet
13%

Birmingham - Southampton Key Points

  1. Southampton’s last five matches produced 17 goals.
  2. 20 goals were scored in these two sides’ last five meetings.
  3. In nine of Southampton’s latest 10 matches, both teams scored.
  4. Only two clean sheets were recorded in Birmingham’s last 10 games.
  5. On average, 2.8 goals were scored in Birmingham’s last five matches.
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Our Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction

The last meeting between these sides, in early December, proved that this match still has goals in it. For the fourth time in five meetings, Southampton got to score 3+ goals as they hit Birmingham 3-1.

However, in this matchup they have only managed one clean sheet in five. As both sides have struggled in recent matches, confidence in defence could be at a low. With such vulnerability, the goals market looks promising. So, our prediction for Birmingham v Southampton is for BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction