Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Birmingham City and Southampton will renew their rivalry just over three weeks after facing off in the Championship. Sitting 15th in the standings, Birmingham will play host to 12th-placed Southampton. Both sides are looking to rise back to winning ways, and below we have a prediction.
Recent matches haven't brought out the best of Birmingham. They are coming off a five-match winless run, losing three times.
Desperate to return to winning ways, the Blues will welcome the chance for another home match. They have collected 22 of their 30 points so far at home. Their last outing, a home match, they played to a 1-1 draw with Derby County.
Southampton have dominated this fixture and comes here unbeaten in five meetings with Birmingham. Those five have yielded four wins for the Saints, and in those wins they scored three or more goals.
They did keep only one clean sheet, though, and that is an area they will want to improve. Southampton have conceded in nine of their last 10 outings but only suffered defeat in three.
One of those was in their latest encounter, as they fell 2-1 to Oxford United. After suffering their eighth loss of the season, Southampton will be more concerned about their away form. They have three straight defeats on the road.
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Birmingham v Southampton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.33 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.52 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.44 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.55 | 2.84 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Southampton match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2025 between Birmingham and Southampton in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.1% for a win of Birmingham against Southampton with odds of 2.46 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Southampton is 17.26% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Birmingham with odds of 2.95 at Tonybet.
Birmingham - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Birmingham Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 48.1% | 2.46 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80.09% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 85.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Birmingham/Birmingham | 17.48% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Birmingham vs Southampton Form
Birmingham and Southampton's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 |
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
Birmingham and Southampton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
Birmingham vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
28 Oct 2023 - Championship
Birmingham against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
R. Allsop
DefenderM. Mazwi
B. Burrell
MidfielderM. Leonard
L. Koumas
D. Isichei
K. Fujimoto
ForwardL. Dykes
M. Ducksch
A. McCarthy
DefenderWelington
E. Jelert
J. Quarshie
MidfielderK. Matsuki
C. Bragg
J. Aribo
ForwardC. Archer
L. Scienza
Missing players
L. Buchanan
M. Roerslev
Most goals and assists
Birmingham
Southampton
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
F. Azaz
(11 Goals)
,
A. Armstrong
(11 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
L. Scienza
(9 Assists)
Birmingham - Southampton Key Points
- Southampton’s last five matches produced 17 goals.
- 20 goals were scored in these two sides’ last five meetings.
- In nine of Southampton’s latest 10 matches, both teams scored.
- Only two clean sheets were recorded in Birmingham’s last 10 games.
- On average, 2.8 goals were scored in Birmingham’s last five matches.
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Our Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction
The last meeting between these sides, in early December, proved that this match still has goals in it. For the fourth time in five meetings, Southampton got to score 3+ goals as they hit Birmingham 3-1.
However, in this matchup they have only managed one clean sheet in five. As both sides have struggled in recent matches, confidence in defence could be at a low. With such vulnerability, the goals market looks promising. So, our prediction for Birmingham v Southampton is for BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Birmingham Southampton
| Birmingham vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 2.22 | 2.46 | +10.8% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.6 | +7.5% |
| Southampton wins | 3.11 | 2.95 | -5.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Birmingham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 40.7% (-4.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
