Leicester vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Championship Predictions
Leicester City and Derby County will have another chance to better their quest for places in the Championship top six this Monday. They face off in the 24th round, with hosts Leicester sitting 14th, three places behind Derby. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Leicester haven't had the best of runs at home, which has greatly affected their chase for a playoff spot. For a side relegated from the Premier League, the Foxes were expected to challenge for a straight return.
However, 31 points have them in the bottom half, though just five below the top six. They are coming off a 2-1 loss at home to Watford, their eighth league defeat this season.
Derby have lost one game less than Leicester, but like their hosts, they’re on a two-game winless run. The Rams lost 3-1 at home against Leicester and will be hoping to get a measure of revenge here.
They, however, carry only one win in their last six matches, four of which ended in draws. A four-game unbeaten run will build some confidence going into this match.
There will be an extra push, given the last team to beat them was Leicester. March 2013 stands as the last time Derby beat Leicester City, but two of the last three meetings ended in draws.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Leicester v Derby County Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.13 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.36 | 3.76 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.25 | 3.52 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.3 | 3.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leicester and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Leicester vs Derby County match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2025 between Leicester and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.11% for a win of Leicester against Derby County with odds of 2.13 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leicester vs Derby County is 24.14% with odds of 3.36 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Leicester with odds of 3.76 at Melbet.
Leicester - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leicester Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 41.74% | 3.76 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.55% | 2.26 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 87.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Derby County/Derby County | 20.61% | 6 at Bet365 |
Leicester vs Derby County Form
Leicester and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
|
23
|
46 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | -10 |
Leicester and Derby County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
Leicester vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2017 - FA Cup
27 Jan 2017 - FA Cup
Leicester against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
A. Begovic
DefenderO. Aluko
W. Faes
R. Pereira
L. Page
A. Ramsey
J. Carranza
S. Thomas
J. Monga
R. O'Donnell
DefenderD. Batth
C. Nelson
C. Forsyth
MidfielderL. Travis
C. Blackett-Taylor
L. Salvesen
A. Weimann
K. Jackson
Most goals and assists
Leicester
Derby County
J. James
(11 Goals)
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
I. Fatawu
(7 Assists)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
Leicester - Derby County Key Points
- Three of Derby’s last four matches ended in draws.
- Leicester managed two wins in nine home matches, drawing four.
- Two of the last three meetings between these teams ended in draws.
- Leicester and Derby have drawn a combined 15 league matches this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Leicester vs Derby County Prediction
Leicester City emerged winners the last time these teams met. However, the earlier two meetings between them ended in draws. Derby will see this as a chance to avenge their loss to the Foxes early in December, but their recent form doesn’t match their ambitions.
The Rams have one win in the last six matches, and among those was a loss at the hands of Leicester. Three of their last four outings, however, ended in draws. Meanwhile, Leicester managed just two wins in the last nine home matches. With such struggles, our prediction for Leicester City v Derby County is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leicester Derby County
| Leicester vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester wins | 2.03 | 2.13 | +4.9% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.36 | +3.4% |
| Derby County wins | 3.85 | 3.76 | -2.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.0% and is now 26.6% (0.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
