Botswana vs DR Congo Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in AFCON Predictions
The already-eliminated Botswana will play for pride, while DR Congo can still finish top of Group D as the teams meet on matchday three of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON). This match in Rabat between the fourth-placed Zebras and the second-placed Leopards comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
Botswana have zero points from two losses in the campaign and can’t finish better than fourth place. DR Congo’s four points (W1, D1) mean they start this round behind leaders Senegal only on goal difference. A draw is enough for DR Congo to confirm progression, and any other result here will need them to pray for favourable results elsewhere. The top three teams in the group are separated by just one point.
It has been a dry tournament for the Zebras, who are yet to score a goal, let alone win a point! The Leopards have been equally frugal, both defensively and offensively. Will that continue, and can Botswana spoil DR Congo’s party? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Botswana v DR Congo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14 | 5.6 | 1.24 |
|
|
14.4 | 5.78 | 1.23 |
|
|
14.4 | 5.78 | 1.23 |
|
|
15 | 5.75 | 1.22 |
|
|
12 | 5.2 | 1.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Botswana and DR Congo?
Our prediction for the Botswana vs DR Congo match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/12/2025 between Botswana and DR Congo in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.24% for a win of Botswana against DR Congo with odds of 18 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Botswana vs DR Congo is 27.69% with odds of 6.45 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 60.07% chance ⭐ for a win of DR Congo vs Botswana with odds of 1.29 at Betway.
Botswana - DR Congo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Botswana DR Congo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| DR Congo wins | 60.07% | 1.29 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 68.86% | 1.88 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.76% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: DR Congo | 35.37% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Botswana vs DR Congo Form
Botswana and DR Congo's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 |
|
4
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 |
Botswana and DR Congo Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
17 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
14 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
Botswana - DR Congo: Form Analysis
Botswana were beaten 1-0 by Benin at the weekend, and following the 3-0 loss to Senegal on matchday one, the Zebras are knocked out of the qualification race. The best they can hope for is to pinch a point.
That could be a miracle of sorts, because Botswana have been struggling recently. Six defeats out of the last seven, where four losses came without scoring, are an indicator of their struggles. Regardless, they will try to halt that sequence and surprise their fancied opponents.
Botswana’s previous AFCON finals appearance saw them lose all three group games.
DR Congo settled for a 1-1 draw with Senegal, which was preceded by a 1-0 win over Benin. They now need a point to confirm automatic progression, although even a loss could be enough, depending on other results.
The Leopards have been minimalistic in terms of goal output, as they scored exactly once in six of their last seven games during regulation time. This sequence included four 1-0 results that included one on matchday one.
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Botswana against DR Congo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
K. Kgosipula
K. Dambe
DefenderA. Velaphi
S. Nganda
C. Molefe
T. Kopelang
O. Ramotse
T. Kgamanyane
M. Enosa
L. Ditsele
G. Modingwane
L. Ratshukudu
T. Orebonye
T. Maponda
O. Kebatho
M. Epolo
T. Fayulu
DefenderS. Kapuadi
M. Balikwisha
D. Batubinsika
A. Tuanzebe
A. Wan-Bissaka
MidfielderN. Sadiki
E. Kayembe
T. Bongonda
S. Moutoussamy
ForwardB. Cipenga
C. Bakambu
S. Essende
S. Banza
Botswana & DR Congo Squad Analysis
Botswana have no fresh injury worries and will hope to field their best team in this crucial match. Incidentally, they have no goals in this competition, and that puts pressure on the frontline to deliver in this tricky encounter.
The Zebras used a 4-2-3-1 formation against Benin, taking advantage of their advanced midfield system. Against Senegal, they were a bit more conservative in lining up as 4-1-4-1. Either way, Omaatla Kebatho is under pressure to deliver as their sole striker.
Theo Bongonda scored DR Congo’s winner on matchday one.
The Leopards will be worried about the fitness of Arthur Masuaku, who was taken off early in DR Congo’s second group stage match. Other than that, they look in good shape to retain their team.
Both games saw DR Congo stick to their 4-1-4-1 formation, with the veteran striker Cedric Bakambu leading the line. Bongonda could stay on the right flank, while Masuaku’s absence opens up a position in the back four.
Botswana - DR Congo Key Points
- Three of Botswana’s last six matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- In four of their last six matches, Botswana failed to score a goal, including both games in this competition.
- DR Congo’s last seven fixtures have all seen two or fewer goals.
- In five of their last seven matches, DR Congo kept a clean sheet.
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Our Botswana vs DR Congo Prediction
Botswana have nothing but pride to play for in this match, as they are already eliminated from the qualification race. Guaranteed to finish fourth in the group, they are yet to score a goal in this competition. DR Congo have a chance to finish top of the group and need just one point to guarantee progression. With their strong defensive work in this competition, as well as in recent times, DR Congo look set to sail into the knockouts.
This match could be a tight one on goals, and our Botswana vs DR Congo prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Botswana vs DR Congo Alternative Predictions
DR Congo to win 1-0
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Botswana DR Congo
| Botswana vs DR Congo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botswana wins | 17 | 18 | +5.9% |
| Draw | 6.35 | 6.45 | +1.6% |
| DR Congo wins | 1.19 | 1.29 | +8.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- DR Congo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.0% and is now 77.5% (-6.5%)
Botswana vs DR Congo - FAQs
The Botswana vs DR Congo AFCON match will be televised live on Channel 4, E4 and 4seven in the UK. Live streaming can also be viewed on Channel 4, as well as Channel 4 Sport YouTube.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our AFCON Livescore page!
Egypt is the most successful nation in the history of AFCON, winning seven titles. The last of those wins came in 2010, and they have also been runners-up on three occasions, the last coming in 2021.
Cameroon are next in that list with five tournament wins, the last coming in 2017. Ghana won the competition four times, while Nigeria and Ivory Coast have had three wins each.
Ivory Coast are the defending champions from the 2023 edition.
The 24 teams are divided into six groups, with the top two teams of each group advancing to the round of 16. Joining them would be the best four third-placed teams.
Group A: Morocco, Mali, Zambia, Comoros.
Group B: Egypt, South Africa, Angola, Zimbabwe.
Group C: Nigeria, Tunisia, Uganda, Tanzania.
Group D: Senegal, DR Congo, Benin, Botswana.
Group E: Algeria, Burkina Faso, Equatorial Guinea, Sudan.
Group F: Ivory Coast, Cameroon, Gabon, Mozambique.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
