Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Both of these clubs had disappointing weekends. Chelsea were beaten at home by Aston Villa and are fifth in the Premier League. The Blues will hope to return to winning ways with a home victory over Bournemouth who are down at 15th in the table. Time for our match prediction.
Chelsea led at home to Aston Villa on Saturday but ended up losing 2-1. They are now 13 points behind league leaders Arsenal. Their main task now appears to be ensuring they secure Champions League football next season. Consistency is a bit of a problem for the club who are having a disappointing end to a year that has seen them win the Conference League and become club world champions.
Bournemouth suffered another heavy defeat at the weekend. The Cherries have gone nine league games without a win and are also likely to soon see Antoine Semenyo leave the club. They desperately need to get something from this game to avoid being dragged into a relegation battle.
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Chelsea v Bournemouth Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4.6 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.48 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.48 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.4 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Bournemouth match is: Chelsea wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/12/2025 between Chelsea and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.83% for a win of Chelsea against Bournemouth with odds of 1.63 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Bournemouth is 30.17% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Chelsea with odds of 5.75 at LSbet.
Chelsea - Bournemouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Bournemouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 54.83% | 1.63 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.31% | 1.43 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 63.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Chelsea/Chelsea | 27.48% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Form
Chelsea and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
|
10
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 |
Chelsea and Bournemouth Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Sept 2024 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
17 Sept 2023 - Premier League
6 May 2023 - Premier League
Chelsea - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Chelsea's home loss to Aston Villa on Saturday was their fifth in this season's Premier League. They have gone two league games without a win but falling well behind the top three. Home form has seen them win four out of their nine league games with three being lost.
They are unbeaten in their last eight games against Bournemouth and looking at the form of their opponents, Chelsea will be confident of earning three points from this game. If that is the case it’ll be their fourth home win in six home league games.
Bournemouth desperately need a win.
Bournemouth had drawn their last two league games before being thrashed 4-1 at Brentford on Saturday. They have now gone nine league matches without a victory and seven on the road and are only nine points above the bottom three.
Earlier this month they drew 0-0 at home with Chelsea. On the road though they have been conceding goals galore. 21 have been put past them in their last six away league fixtures. The past two have seen them concede four goals and at least three in the last four. They have to find some way of tightening up their defence.
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Chelsea against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Jorgensen
DefenderT. Adarabioyo
R. James
B. Badiashile
MidfielderF. Buonanotte
A. Santos
Joao Pedro
J. Gittens
P. Neto
W. Dennis
DefenderA. Smith
B. Diakite
J. Araujo
J. Soler
ForwardA. Adli
E. Kroupi
R. Rees-Dottin
E. Unal
Missing players
L. Colwill
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardM. Mudryk
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderT. Adams
ForwardB. Gannon-Doak
Chelsea & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Chelsea played well in the first half in Saturday's home game against Aston Villa. They didn't do so well in the second half and ended up losing 2-1. They will want to bounce back from that defeat with a win over Bournemouth.
The Blues have a doubt over Marc Cucurella who sustained a suspected hamstring injury against Villa. Scans are going to be held to determine how bad the injury is. Jorrel Hato will miss this game.
With a busy festive schedule, we can expect some squad rotation for this game. Estevao and Liam Delap came on in the game against Villa and may well start against Bournemouth. There could also be a recall for Wesley Fofana.
Last game for Semenyo?
This may well be the last game Antoine Semenyo plays for Bournemouth. He's expected to be leaving the club in the January transfer window, possibly to Chelsea.. The Cherries will miss him badly as he scored their only goal in Saturday's 4-1 loss at Brentford.
With their recent form being so disappointing, Bournemouth must wisely use the funds they get for Semenyo. They are likely to make several changes for this trip to Stamford Bridge with Justin Kluivert, Evanilson and David Brooks all possible starters.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Joao Pedro
(15 Goals)
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
P. Neto
(6 Assists)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
Chelsea - Bournemouth Key Points
- Chelsea have won three of their last five home league games.
- Bournemouth have gone nine league games without a win.
- Bournemouth have conceded 21 goals in their last six away games, eight in the last two.
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last eight matches against Bournemouth.
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Our Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction
Chelsea suffered a disappointing home loss to in-form Aston Villa on Saturday. They certainly won't want to lose another game at Stamford Bridge as the Blues chase a place in next season's Champions League as their title challenge looks to be over.
They face a Bournemouth side that is on a long winless run and conceding far too many goals. If Semenyo does leave, signing a few defenders might be a good idea for the Cherries. Our main Chelsea v Bournemouth prediction is Chelsea wins.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Alternative Predictions
Second half to have most goals scored
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Bournemouth
| Chelsea vs Bournemouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.58 | 1.63 | +3.2% |
| Draw | 4.43 | 4.7 | +6.1% |
| Bournemouth wins | 6.33 | 5.75 | -9.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.3% and is now 61.3% (-1.9%)
Chelsea vs Bournemouth - FAQs
This game between Chelsea and Bournemouth is being played on Tuesday December 30. It is due to kick-off at 19:30 UK time.
Chelsea are the home side in this Premier League game. Therefore, the game will be played at Stamford Bridge in West London.
This game is being shown live on Sky Sports. You will need a subscription to view this channel. Go to our Premier League livescore and you will be able to read up-to-date statistics and live text commentary.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
