Aviron Bayonne vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
27/12/2025 12:00
Stade Francais Paris

Prediction :

 

Aviron Bayonne wins on a -9.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Rugby Predictions

Aviron Bayonne look to get back into winning ways this weekend. They are eighth in Top 14 and are hosting fifth-placed Stade Francais Paris. Can Bayonne maintain their 100% home league record? Time for our match prediction.

Six home league games have been played by Bayonne and each has ended in victory. They did lose on home soil in the European Rugby Champions Cup, being beaten by South Africa's Stormers. 

Both of their European games were lost and then last weekend, they were beaten 49-17 at Stade Rochelais. Their most recent home league game saw them defeat Lyon by two points. Four of their last five home league fixtures have seen them score at least 40 points.

Stade Francais Paris are in the play-off positions but nine points behind the top two. It's their home form that has put them in the top five. On the road, they have won one league fixture and lost the other five.

They were only able to draw their last game though, being held 20-20 at home by Racing 92 Metro. Only one of their last four games in Top 14 has been won. Each of their last three away league games have been lost.

We tip Bayonne to win on a -9.5 handicap.

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The Best Betting Odds for Aviron Bayonne v Stade Francais Paris Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.31 26 3.5
Unibet
1.25 29 3.9
Ladbrokes
1.25 26 4
NetBet
1.22 23 3.65
Melbet
1.23 20 4.27
Check all Aviron Bayonne vs Stade Francais Paris odds

Aviron Bayonne vs Stade Francais Paris Form

Aviron Bayonne and Stade Francais Paris's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris
33 12 6 1 5 63
8
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne
30 12 7 0 5 -37

Aviron Bayonne and Stade Francais Paris Last Matches

Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne Last matches
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Harlequins FC
68 :  14
Aviron Bayonne

5 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Aviron Bayonne
17 :  26
Stormers

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
22 :  20
Lyon Ou

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
47 :  27
Aviron Bayonne

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
49 :  7
US Montalbanaise
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

5 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Aviron Bayonne
17 :  26
Stormers

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
22 :  20
Lyon Ou

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
49 :  7
US Montalbanaise

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
44 :  17
Clermont

5 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
40 :  26
Stade Toulousain

28 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  32
RC Toulonnais
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Harlequins FC
68 :  14
Aviron Bayonne

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
47 :  27
Aviron Bayonne

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
41 :  12
Aviron Bayonne

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
47 :  24
Aviron Bayonne

20 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
48 :  17
Aviron Bayonne
Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris Last matches
L W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
20 :  20
Racing 92

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cheetahs
22 :  45
Stade Francais Paris

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
38 :  17
Cardiff Rugby

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
36 :  32
Stade Francais Paris

23 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
51 :  24
RC Toulonnais

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  17
Stade Francais Paris
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
20 :  20
Racing 92

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
38 :  17
Cardiff Rugby

23 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
51 :  24
RC Toulonnais

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
35 :  12
Montpellier Herault Rugby

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
26 :  24
Stade Rochelais

27 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
28 :  7
Union Bordeaux Begles
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cheetahs
22 :  45
Stade Francais Paris

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
36 :  32
Stade Francais Paris

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  17
Stade Francais Paris

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
29 :  24
Stade Francais Paris

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
11 :  28
Stade Francais Paris

20 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
42 :  37
Stade Francais Paris

Aviron Bayonne vs Stade Francais Paris Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aviron Bayonne

60 %

Draw

0 %

Stade Francais Paris

40 %

22 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
31 :  27
Aviron Bayonne

1 Dec 2024 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
21 :  13
Stade Francais Paris

20 Apr 2024 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
28 :  24
Aviron Bayonne

29 Oct 2023 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
16 :  3
Stade Francais Paris

18 Feb 2023 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
29 :  26
Stade Francais Paris

Aviron Bayonne - Stade Francais Paris Key Points

  1. Bayonne have won all six of their home league games.
  2. Stade Francais Paris have only won one of their six away league fixtures.
  3. The only away league win for Stade Francais Paris was at bottom-of-the-table USA Perpignan.
  4. Bayonne have scored at least 30 points in four of their last five home league matches.
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Our Aviron Bayonne vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction

Aviron Bayonne are only a couple of points below the final play-off position in Top 14. They would be in the top six if able to improve their performances on the road.  All of their six home league games have been won this season with plenty of points being scored.

Stade Francais Paris battled relegation last season but are in the play-offs this term. Again, their away form is a big problem and they've lost five of their six on the road in Top 14. Our Aviron Bayonne v Stade Francais Paris prediction is Aviron Bayonne wins on a -9.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Aviron Bayonne wins on a -9.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aviron Bayonne vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction