Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA China Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
After posting one of the tournament’s biggest shocks, Alina Charaeva will be up against Sonay Kartal in the third round. They will be facing off for the first time in their careers, the winner proceeding to meet Marie Bouzkova or Qinwen Zheng. The two unseeded players have had confidence-boosting runs, and with such spirit our prediction is for three sets to be played here.
Charaeva’s debut in China is already a talking point after she eliminated world No. 1 in the last round. For the second straight match, Charaeva recovered from losing the opening set to beat Elena Rybakina.
The Armenian had only won six main draw matches before coming to Beijing but is now viewed as a tough player, even as she sits 108th in the live ranking.
Kartal knows a well-managed debut can lead to deeper runs and will be careful how she handles Charaeva. Her own first experience here last season saw her reach the last eight, and she hopes to at least match that.
After wins over Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Xinyu Wang, Kartal looks to keep her unbeaten run in the third round going. Her highlights for the season took her to the Auckland and Abu Dhabi quarter-finals.
She also graced the last eight at Indian Wells, which makes it a 3-0 record in the third round. She sits 167th in the live ranking after compiling a 14-7 record this season.
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Alina Charaeva v Sonay Kartal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.6 | 1.53 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.63 | 1.5 |
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Who will win the Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal match is: over 2.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal game on 04/10/2026 of the current WTA China Open season:
- Alina Charaeva has a 41.37% chance to win against Sonay Kartal according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.75.
- Sonay Kartal has a 58.63% probability of winning facing Alina Charaeva ⭐ with odds of 1.55 at Shangrila.
Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alina Charaeva has a 41.37 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alina Charaeva | 41.37 % |
| Sonay Kartal | 58.63 % |
Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Form
Alina Charaeva and Sonay Kartal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
30 Sept 2026 - WTA China Open
23 Sept 2026 - WTA Korea Open
22 Sept 2026 - WTA Korea Open
18 Sept 2026 - WTA Sao Paulo
17 Sept 2026 - WTA Sao Paulo
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
30 Sept 2026 - WTA China Open
22 Sept 2026 - Billie Jean King Cup
9 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
5 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Alina Charaeva - Sonay Kartal Key Points
- Half of Kartal’s last six matches needed a decider.
- Charaeva lost a set in all but one of her last nine outings.
- Charaeva recorded four of her last five wins via a decider.
- Kartal dropped a set or more in six of her last 10 encounters.
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Our Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Prediction
Sonay Kartal is the more accomplished player here, having reached the quarter-final last season. She has started well this year too and will feel this is a manageable game. Her opponent may be lacking in terms of tour experience, but her momentum will make up for the deficiencies.
Charaeva will be high in confidence coming off a win against the world No. 1, but she has lost at least a set in each of her last five outings. Our prediction for Alina Charaeva v Sonay Kartal is for the match to have over 2.5 sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
