Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Beijing Open

ATP - ATP Beijing Open

ATP 10 Australia
Alex De Minaur
05/10/2026 03:00
ATP 39 Poland
Hubert Hurkacz

Prediction :

 

More than 22.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Unseeded Hubert Hurkacz is attempting to reach his second successive outdoor hard court final. He takes on fifth seed Alex de Minaur in the China Open semi-finals in Beijing.  Both have had some long matches on the way to this semi-final and our prediction is more than 22.5 games.

Alex de Minaur last reached an outdoor hard court final in Washington last year. The Australian is the world number nine but a win here will move him up to eighth. In the ATP Live Race,

He has reached this semi-final for the loss of two sets and had to come from a set down to beat Andrey Rublev in his quarter-final.

More than 22.5 games have been played in five of his last seven best-of-three sets matches in singles tournaments.

He leads Hurkacz 3-1 in previous matches (3-0 on this surface). Their last match was in January with de Minaur winning in three sets.

Hubert Hurkacz was a finalist in last week's Chengdu Open, losing to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. His good form has continued in Beijing with this run to the semi-finals.

The Pole has won three matches, two going to a deciding set. 

He has played more than 22.5 games in seven of his last eight matches. 

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Alex De Minaur v Hubert Hurkacz Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.66 2.19
1xbet
1.67 2.28
Melbet
1.65 2.25
Betwinner
1.65 2.25
Bet365
1.62 2.3
Check all Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz odds

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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz match is: more than 22.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz game on 05/10/2026 of the current ATP Beijing Open season:

  • Alex De Minaur has a 59.33% chance to win against Hubert Hurkacz according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.73.
  • Hubert Hurkacz has a 40.67% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at Bet365.

Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 59.33 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alex De Minaur59.33 %
Hubert Hurkacz40.67 %

Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Form

Alex De Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz Last Matches

Alex De Minaur Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev

2 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Quentin Halys

30 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Botic Van De Zandschulp
3 :  0
Alex De Minaur

2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Andrea Guerrieri
0 :  3
Alex De Minaur

19 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur
Hubert Hurkacz Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

4 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  0
Karen Khachanov

2 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  1
Arthur Gea

1 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Learner Tien
1 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz

29 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

28 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

27 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lloyd Harris
0 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz

Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

100 %

Hubert Hurkacz

0 %

9 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

10 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction

Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz Key Points

  1. More than 22.5 games have been played in five of the last seven matches de Minaur has played in best-of-three sets singles matches.
  2. Seven of the last eight matches Hurkacz has played have had more than 22.5 games played in them.
  3. The last match played between these two players went to a deciding set.
  4. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. There has been at least one played in three of de Minaur's last four matches and eight of the last nine for Hurkacz.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction

Hubert Hurkacz is in impressive form at present. He's one win away from a second successive final, but has never beaten Alex de Minaur on an outdoor hard court. Their most recent match was in this year's United Cup with de Minaur winning in three sets.

Another long match could well be on the way here. Both players have had some struggles on the way to this semi-final. A side bet on a tie-break is well worth making. Our Alex de Minaur v Hubert Hurkacz prediction is more than 22.5 games.

Prediction :

 

More than 22.5 games

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.