Ajax vs Twente Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax
04/04/2026 15:00
Twente

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Ian John | in Eredivisie Predictions

The Johan Cruijff Arena will host a key Eredivisie clash on Saturday as Ajax Amsterdam hosts FC Twente. De Gondenzonen have not been able to keep pace with the top two and now face a battle against The Tukkers to try and maintain a spot in the European spots for next season. Here's our prediction for what will be a crucial match.

A look at the table reveals how close these two teams are in the league. Both have played 28 games so far in the league, and they lie adjacent in the league table. Ajax have picked up 48 points from their games so far, to lie fourth, with Twente Eschede picking up just one fewer point with 47 to lie fifth.

Draws have hindered Ajax's league form this season, as shown in their recent results. In the last four, they have drawn 0-0 away at PEC Zwolle, and were then beaten 3-1 away at Groningen. They bounced back with a 4-0 home win over Sparta Rotterdam and last week earned a 1-1 draw at great rivals Feyenoord.

Twente's recent form is a little better than their hosts today. They began a recent run in March with a 2-0 win over Feyenoord at home, followed by a 4-1 win away at Go Ahead Eagles. They then lost 2-0 at home to Utrecht before a 2-1 win at Fortuna Sittard away last weekend.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Ajax v Twente Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.27 3.75 2.85
Melbet
2.3 3.8 2.81
Betwinner
2.33 3.72 2.82
Bet365
2.3 3.9 2.8
Roobet
2.26 3.6 2.74
Check all Ajax vs Twente odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Twente?

Our prediction for the Ajax vs Twente match is: A Draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Ajax and Twente in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.05% for a win of Ajax against Twente with odds of 2.33 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Twente is 30.38% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Twente vs Ajax with odds of 3 at Tonybet.

Ajax - Twente Prediction and Best Odds:

Ajax Twente Prediction Probability Odds
Ajax wins 36.05% 2.33 at Betwinner
Over 2.5 goals 63.53%
Both Team To Score 72.5%
Half-time / Full-time : Ajax/Ajax 18.12% 3.6 at Bet365

Ajax vs Twente Form

Ajax and Twente's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Twente
58 34 15 13 6 +19
5 Ajax
56 34 14 14 6 +21

Ajax and Twente Last Matches

Ajax
Ajax Last matches
W D D L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
1 :  1
Ajax

14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
4 :  0
Sparta Rotterdam

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
3 :  1
Ajax

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  0
Ajax

21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
4 :  1
Fortuna Sittard
D W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
4 :  0
Sparta Rotterdam

21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
4 :  1
Fortuna Sittard

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Ajax
1 :  2
Olympiacos

24 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Volendam

17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Go Ahead Eagles
W D D D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
1 :  1
Ajax

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
3 :  1
Ajax

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  0
Ajax

8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Ajax

1 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
2 :  2
Ajax

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Villarreal
1 :  2
Ajax
Twente
Twente Last matches
D W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  2
Twente

15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
0 :  2
Utrecht

8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
1 :  4
Twente

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  0
Feyenoord

22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  1
Groningen

15 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
1 :  1
Twente
D D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
0 :  2
Utrecht

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  0
Feyenoord

22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  1
Groningen

7 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
5 :  0
Heerenveen

24 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
0 :  0
Excelsior

10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
1 :  1
Zwolle
W D L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  2
Twente

8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
1 :  4
Twente

15 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
1 :  1
Twente

3 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Twente

30 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
2 :  2
Twente

18 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Heracles
0 :  2
Twente

Ajax vs Twente Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax

50 %

Draw

17 %

Twente

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  3
Ajax

18 May 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Twente

10 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  2
Ajax

14 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  1
Twente

17 Sept 2023 - Eredivisie

Twente
3 :  1
Ajax

28 May 2023 - Eredivisie

Twente
3 :  1
Ajax

Ajax against Twente Lineups: Starting 11

Ajax

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

26
M. Paes
3
A. Gaaei
37
J. Sutalo
15
Y. Baas
2
L. Rosa
23
S. Berghuis
24
J. Mokio
48
S. Steur
17
O. Edvardsen
25
W. Weghorst
11
M. Godts
27
S. Orjasaeter
10
S. Lammers
11
D. Rots
20
T. Van Den Belt
14
K. Hlynsson
6
R. Zerrouki
39
M. Rots
43
R. Nijstad
23
S. Lemkin
28
B. Van Rooij
1
L. Unnerstall

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Twente

Substitutes

Ajax
Ajax
Goalkeeper

J. Heerkens

P. Reverson

Defender

A. Bouwman

M. van der Lans

K. Itakura

O. Wijndal

Midfielder

O. Gloukh

O. Edvardsen 57'

M. Abdalla

M. Verkuijl

Forward

D. Konadu

W. Weghorst 71'

M. Carrizo

S. Berghuis 71'

K. Dolberg

A. Gaaei 89'

Twente
Twente
Goalkeeper

S. Karssies

P. Tyton

Defender

G. Peixoto

R. Propper

K. Hlynsson 90'

Midfielder

M. Bruns

D. Weidmann

M. Kjolo

T. Van Den Belt 84'

A. Verschueren

S. Lammers 90'

Forward

L. Vennegoor of Hesselink

T. Booth

M. Pjaca

D. Rots 64'

R. Van Wolfswinkel

S. Orjasaeter 85'

Missing players

Ajax
Ajax
Goalkeeper

V. Jaros

Defender

O. Zinchenko

Midfielder

Y. Regeer

R. Bounida

Twente
Twente
Defender

M. Hilgers

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ajax
CD Huachipato Twente
Top Goalscorer
Belgium M. Godts (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Iceland K. Hlynsson (10 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium M. Godts (12 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands S. Lammers (7 Assists)

Ajax - Twente Key Points

  1. Ajax have lost just four games in the league this season, the joint fewest in the Eredivisie.
  2. FC Twente have not lost any of their last eleven away league games.
  3. Nine of Ajax's 12 league wins this season have come at home.
  4. FC Twente have drawn 7 of their 14 away league games.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Ajax vs Twente Prediction

Our prediction for the Ajax vs. FC Twente Eredivisie match is: A Draw.

These two teams have been draw specialists in the Eredivisie this season and have proven very difficult to beat. Twente's recent form is better than Ajax's, but the Amsterdam side has home advantage, where they have been in good form for the majority of the season. While you can make a case for any result in this game, the fact the teams are so well matched and that they have drawn plenty of games makes the draw the bet to back here.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Twente

Ajax vs Twente Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Ajax wins 2.48 2.33 -6.0%
Draw 3.72 3.9 +4.8%
Twente wins 2.63 3 +14.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Ajax is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 40.3% and is now 42.9% (2.6%)

Get up to €100 to bet on the Ajax vs. Twente game

Betway welcome offer

You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Ajax and Twente when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Eredivisie!

Enjoy the promotion!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ajax vs Twente Prediction