Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Anfield will come to life on Sunday afternoon when Liverpool play host to Brighton & Hove Albion on Matchday 8 of the Premier League. Thirteen goals have been scored in the last four league matches between these sides, and our prediction is that we will see a few strike the back of the net in this one as well.
Andoni Iraola’s side will be looking to maintain their momentum here as they return to domestic action after coming out on top in a seven-goal thriller against Villarreal in the Champions League on Tuesday night. The Reds are fifth in the league standings with 12 points after seven games, and a victory in this match could see them end the weekend in the top four.
While Anfield has not been a happy hunting ground for Fabian Hürzeler’s team in recent times, it’s tough to write them off this week as the Seagulls are absolutely soaring this season. Currently in third place with the most goals in the division and the joint-best defensive record - can Albion claim another massive scalp in the top flight this weekend? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Liverpool v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.08 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.99 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.84 | 3.13 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.84 | 3.13 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.84 | 3.13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Brighton match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2026 between Liverpool and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.14% for a win of Liverpool against Brighton with odds of 2.19 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Brighton is 24.98% with odds of 3.99 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Liverpool with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
Liverpool vs Brighton Form
Liverpool and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 |
|
5
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 |
Liverpool and Brighton Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
11 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
15 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
11 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
4 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 May 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2026 - Conference League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
19 Sept 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
19 Sept 2026 - Premier League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2026 - Conference League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
Liverpool vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 May 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
Liverpool - Brighton: Form Analysis
Before their 4-3 victory over Villarreal in the UCL on Tuesday, Liverpool managed to pull off a 2-1 comeback against Brentford. They are now on a three-match win streak across all competitions.
The Reds' performance against the Bees was far from convincing, though, as they played most of the match with a man advantage and still recorded just one big chance and five shots on target.
Notably, this week’s hosts have yet to win a home league game this season (D2 L1) and failed to score in their last two. Their last top-flight victory at Anfield was against Palace at the end of April.
However, Liverpool are unbeaten in their last six home games against Brighton across all competitions!
Meanwhile, Brighton & Hove Albion have been the talk of the town this season, having scored a league-high 23 goals, conceded a joint-low five goals, and taken 16 points from their first seven games.
Beyond the headline figures, the Seagulls' underlying stats are equally impressive. They have the second-best xG (14.91), the second-most shots at goal (125), and the most shots on target (42) in the top-flight this term.
The Seagulls followed up a 5-0 victory over Crystal Palace last weekend with a goalless draw against Jablonec in the Conference League on Thursday. They have now kept five straight clean sheets across all competitions.
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Liverpool vs Brighton last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
F. Woodman
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderL. Chambers
M. Kerkez
J. Gomez
MidfielderF. Wirtz
J. McConnell
M. Laffey
ForwardA. Isak
J. Danns
B. Barcola
S. Hall
T. McGill
DefenderL. Dunk
L. Vuskovic
F. Kadioglu
MidfielderY. Ayari
Y. Ibrahim
S. Nti
C. Andres
ForwardP. David
C. Kostoulas
N. Oriola
Missing players
J. Frimpong
C. Bradley
G. Leoni
A. Nallo
MidfielderD. Szoboszlai
ForwardH. Ekitike
M. Wieffer
MidfielderK. Mitoma
F. Azeez
ForwardE. Ferguson
Y. Minteh
S. Tzimas
Z. Yohanna
Liverpool & Brighton Squad Analysis
Iraola handed Rio Ngumoha a start against Villarreal, and the 18-year-old starlet grabbed his opportunity with both hands, producing a Player of the Match performance with two assists and 9/10 successful dribbles.
While there have been questions raised over his attacking impact this term, Florian Wirtz now leads the EPL for chances created this season, with 20 in total from open play. He also came off the bench to score his first goal of the season on Tuesday.
The hosts have several injury absentees at present, including Hugo Ekitike, Giovanni Leoni, Conor Bradley, Dominik Szoboszlai, and Jeremie Frimpong. However, Ryan Gravenberch is now eligible to return following suspension.
Given the Seagulls’ attacking form this season, it’s genuinely surprising to see how much of an underdog they are at the books!
For us, the most attractive player-prop option is Charalampos Kostoulas to record 1+ shot on target. The Greek teenager has registered six shots on target in his last five league games, while notching up five goal contributions in his last four.
Premier League Player of the Month for September, Pascal Gross has seven goal contributions, ranks second in the league for chances created (19), and has attempted 12 shots at goal in his last five league games.
The visitors also have several absentees for this weekend, with Kaoru Mitoma, Femi Azeez, Evan Ferguson, and Stefanos Tsimas ruled out, while Yankuba Minteh, Mats Wieffer, Pascal Struijk, and Zadok Yohanna are listed as doubts.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Brighton
A. Isak
(5 Goals)
J. Hinshelwood
(3 Goals)
, 
P. Gross
(3 Goals)
, 
C. Kostoulas
(3 Goals)
C. Gakpo
(3 Assists)
P. Gross
(4 Assists)
Liverpool and Brighton Stats in Premier League
Liverpool - Brighton Key Points
- Liverpool’s last four matches in all competitions have produced 22 goals (5.5 on average per game).
- Five of Liverpool’s six home games across all competitions this season have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Liverpool and Brighton are averaging 1.56 and 2.13 xG per 90 in the league this season.
- Brighton are the highest-scoring team in the EPL this season (averaging 3.29 goals per game).
- Three or more goals were scored in each of the last 11 matches between these sides across all competitions.
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Our Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction
Liverpool have certainly improved their attacking numbers since their loss to Man City directly after the international break, scoring 12 goals in their last three matches. However, they have also conceded 10 in their last four.
Brighton have been the league’s best attack over the first seven games of the season, and their underlying numbers back their record and league position. Given the stats and recent record between these sides, we are expecting plenty of chances and a few goals before the final whistle in this one. Our Liverpool vs Brighton prediction is over 2.5 goals.
Liverpool vs Brighton Alternative Predictions
Charalampos Kostoulas 1+ shot on target
Draw
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Liverpool vs Brighton - FAQs
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Brighton will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
