Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
Stuck at the basement of the English Premier League (EPL) points tally, Sunderland will be desperate for a home win over Leeds, who have been hovering around the top six for a while. This matchday eight fixture at the Stadium of Light between the 20th-placed ‘Black Cats’ and the 7th-placed ‘Whites’ could be an interesting battle of wits, but which way will it sway?
With four points (W1, D1, L5), Sunderland are stuck to the bottom and are two points adrift of the safety zone. Yet, they are only three points behind 13th, so it’s still not an alarm bell for the Black Cats.
Leeds have 10 points (W2, D4, L1) and started this round with three points outside the top four and level on points with two more teams. They were beaten just once in this league campaign, and these gritty performances could define their season. Who has the edge in this intriguing clash? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Sunderland v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.95 | 3.25 | 2.41 |
|
|
3.08 | 3.31 | 2.58 |
|
|
3.11 | 3.19 | 2.40 |
|
|
3.11 | 3.19 | 2.40 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.19 | 2.49 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Leeds match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2026 between Sunderland and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.9% for a win of Sunderland against Leeds with odds of 3.22 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Leeds is 24.99% with odds of 3.31 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Sunderland with odds of 2.58 at 1xbet.
Sunderland vs Leeds Form
Sunderland and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 |
|
20
|
4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 |
Sunderland and Leeds Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
14 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
14 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Sunderland vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2024 - Championship
9 Apr 2024 - Championship
Sunderland - Leeds: Form Analysis
Sunderland drew 1-1 away at Lech Poznan on Thursday in the UEFA Europa League (UEL). While that saw them bounce back from a defeat last weekend, their recent run of three defeats across five competitive matches (W1, D1) is a concern.
The Black Cats are still struggling to hold their own in the league, losing their last four EPL games – that included a 2-0 away loss to Bournemouth. Even at home, Sunderland have lost their last two home league games, giving enough incentive to improve here.
Nine of Leeds’ last 12 away league games saw BTTS.
Leeds came back from a goal down to draw 1-1 at home against Manchester United last weekend. It extended their winless run to three league fixtures (D2, L1).
That defeat remains their only loss in this league campaign so far, and it came away at Arsenal (2-1) in their last domestic trip. That result meant Leeds have scored exactly once in all three away EPL games this season.
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Sunderland vs Leeds last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
S. Moore
DefenderR. Mandava
O. Alderete
T. Hume
J. Jones
MidfielderC. Rigg
N. Sadiki
E. Le Fee
T. Proctor
J. Whittaker
ForwardF. Scott
T. Samuel-Ogunsuyi
M. Zetterer
DefenderM. Bard
J. Bijol
MidfielderS. Longstaff
I. Gruev
ForwardB. Aaronson
J. Bahoya
H. Wilson
L. Nmecha
Missing players
T. Meunier
K. Danso
D. Ballard
MidfielderR. Mundle
ForwardW. Isidor
J. Rodon
ForwardD. James
Mateo Joseph
Sunderland & Leeds Squad Analysis
Brian Brobbey missed the UEL game this week for Sunderland, but could be up for selection for this fixture. Thomas Meunier is also doubtful for this game, while Kevin Danso is suspended, and Dan Ballard still remains their long-term absence.
The hosts are set to continue in their 4-2-3-1 formation with Wilson Isidor likely to lead the line. He has one goal to his name in the EPL campaign, with Brobbey scoring three – all coming against Manchester City.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has four EPL goals this season.
Leeds are likely to have a full team at their disposal, with Mateo Joseph their only confirmed absence. Daniel James and Joe Rodon are still recovering from injuries and are closing their return.
The visitors are set to use their favoured 3-5-2 formation with Calvert-Lewin and Noah Okafor likely to lead the line. Calvert-Lewin is their best scoring option, while also picking up three yellow cards. James Justin could be the one to watch out for with one goal and assist each to his name.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Leeds
B. Brobbey
(3 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(4 Goals)
H. Diarra
(1 Assists)
, 
T. Meunier
(1 Assists)
, 
E. Le Fee
(1 Assists)
, 
N. Angulo
(1 Assists)
T. Muharemovic
(2 Assists)
Sunderland and Leeds Stats in Premier League
Sunderland - Leeds Key Points
- Eight of Sunderland’s last ten competitive matches this season produced under 2.5 goals.
- Sunderland’s last five home matches in all competitions saw fewer than three goals.
- Five of Leeds’ seven EPL games this season have seen two or fewer goals.
- In four of Leeds’ last six away competitive matches, less than three goals were scored.
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Our Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction
Sunderland will have to quickly bounce back from the long trip to Lech Poznan for their Europa League engagement, which leaves lesser time for recovery. Their recent form is a worry as they look for ways to come out of the basement of points tally, while Leeds can lay claim to a gritty run so far with only one defeat to their name this league campaign.
Eight of the last ten competitive matches between these sides, including both EPL games last season, were low-scoring ones. That’s why our Sunderland vs Leeds prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Sunderland vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
Sunderland wins
Despite Leeds starting this round in a better position, it is no guarantee that they can sweep past Sunderland. The hosts have made the most of their home conditions last season, although this campaign is yet to see the same effect. This match could bring that change, and backing Sunderland could be a worthy risk.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Anytime Goalscorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is Leeds’ best outlet for goals, netting four goals this league campaign – his team’s best. He also scored their last goal, which came against Manchester United. With a 3.72 expected goal count, he has found opportunities, and with eight shots on target, Calvert-Lewin could be the scoring threat.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
