Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions
Sparta Rotterdam desperately needs a string of positive results to move away from the Eredivisie relegation but faces a tricky Ajax side on matchday ten. This match on Sunday at the Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel between the 13th-placed ‘Castle Lords’ and the 4th-placed ‘Lancers’ could live up to the recent high-scoring trend, so our match prediction is over 3.5 goals.
Sparta’s nine points (W2, D3, L4) see them start this round just three points above the relegation zone. Ajax’s 18 points (W5, D3, L1) put them just one point outside the top three ahead of this round.
Sparta won 3-2 at home against Willem II last weekend. That was just their second victory of the league campaign and halted a six-game winless run in the league (D3, L3).
That victory came at home, and Sparta are now aiming to win consecutive league fixtures, although they conceded 12 goals in their last four games.
Ajax defeated Atalanta 2-0 at home in the UEFA Conference League last time out, for a second win in a row. The Lancers are a strong force in the Eredivisie, although only three wins from their last six league fixtures may have raised a few concerns.
Ajax won’t mind being on the road to add consistency to their results, and four wins in as many away league games give that boost.
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Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.20 | 4.90 | 1.48 |
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5.36 | 4.79 | 1.55 |
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|
5.30 | 4.74 | 1.53 |
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|
5.30 | 4.74 | 1.53 |
|
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5.30 | 4.74 | 1.53 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax?
Our prediction for the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax match is: over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2026 between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.37% for a win of Sparta Rotterdam against Ajax with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax is 34.97% with odds of 4.9 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam with odds of 1.55 at 1xbet.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Form
Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
18 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +15 |
|
13
|
9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 |
Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2026 - Conference League
18 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2026 - Conference League
10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
13 Aug 2026 - Conference League
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie
9 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
P. Kuiper
F. Bednarek
DefenderG. Vianello
B. Reith
T. Quintero Leon
MidfielderA. Roaldsoy
J. Baas
ForwardA. Kostic
C. Terho
J. Ideho
M. Van Bergen
M. Paes
J. Heerkens
DefenderT. Kehrer
D. Janse
J. Torrents
MidfielderA. Ouazane
M. Abdalla
R. Bounida
ForwardD. Pugno
V. Tsygankov
T. Arokodare
Missing players
M. De Ligt
MidfielderS. Mito
D. Blind
C. Henrique
A. Gaaei
ForwardS. Berghuis
K. Dolberg
O. Edvardsen
S. Adingra
Most goals and assists
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
M. Zonneveld
(6 Goals)
J. Brandt
(6 Goals)
B. Kuipers
(3 Assists)
O. Gloukh
(4 Assists)
Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax Stats in Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax Key Points
- In seven of Sparta’s last eight league games, over 3.5 goals were scored.
- Sparta’s last four home league games have all seen more than three goals scored.
- Seven of Ajax’s last eight league games saw at least four goals scored.
- Ajax scored 14 goals in their last three away league games combined.
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Our Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction
Three points are vital for both Sparta and Ajax for contrasting reasons. Sparta are dangerously close to the relegation zone, while Ajax are looking to gatecrash the top-three slots. Sparta haven’t won a game against Ajax since May 2009, so there’s a lot of catching up to do to force an upset. Ajax would look to get into European qualification spots and will look to build on their recent form.
The last two league head-to-head matches have produced at least four goals, and that high-scoring trend is likely to continue. Our Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction is over 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
