Werder Bremen vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Werder Bremen and Leipzig have identical records in their last four Bundesliga matches as they look for more success in matchday 28 on Saturday. This match in Bremen between the 14th-placed ‘River Islanders’ and the fourth-placed ‘Red Bulls’ comes with our prediction of less than 3.5 goals.
Ahead of this matchday, Werder have 28 points (W7, D7, L13) and are four points above the relegation zone. Leipzig’s tally of 50 points (W15, D5, L7) put them three points behind third but only ahead of fifth-placed Hoffenheim on goal difference.
Werder won 1-0 away at Wolfsburg last matchday to go into the international break on a high. They won three of their last four league matches (L1) to zoom up the table and outside the relegation zone.
The threat of a drop is still real, but Werder will be desperate to extend their unbeaten run. Playing at home could be a challenge though, as they won just one of their last eight Bundesliga matches at this venue (D3, L4).
Leipzig thrashed Hoffenheim 5-0 at home for a third win in their last four Bundesliga matches (L1) before the international break. They are still in a tight battle for Champions League qualification, so the Red Bulls can’t drop points.
Interestingly, Leipzig haven’t dominated on their travels, winning only three of their last eight league visits (D2, L3).
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Werder Bremen v Leipzig Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 4.1 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.86 | 4.06 | 1.82 |
|
|
3.84 | 3.96 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.75 | 4.1 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.85 | 1.89 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Werder Bremen and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Werder Bremen vs Leipzig match is: less than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Werder Bremen and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.1% for a win of Werder Bremen against Leipzig with odds of 3.86 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Werder Bremen vs Leipzig is 28.05% with odds of 4.11 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Werder Bremen with odds of 1.97 at 888Starz.
Werder Bremen - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Werder Bremen Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 47.85% | 1.97 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.24% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leipzig | 27.24% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Werder Bremen vs Leipzig Form
Werder Bremen and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 |
|
15
|
32 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 |
Werder Bremen and Leipzig Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
14 May 2023 - Bundesliga
Werder Bremen against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Kolke
DefenderM. Schmetgens
Y. Sugawara
I. Schmidt
P. Covic
S. Musah
S. Mbangula Tshifunda
J. Milosevic
P. Gulacsi
DefenderE. Bitshiabu
M. Finkgrafe
B. Henrichs
E. Banzuzi
A. Ouedraogo
J. Bakayoko
T. Gomis
C. Harder
Missing players
K. Hein
DefenderM. Weiser
J. Malatini
ForwardK. Topp
L. Zingerle
MidfielderB. Gruda
V. Gebel
Most goals and assists
Werder Bremen
Leipzig
J. Stage
(10 Goals)
C. Baumgartner
(13 Goals)
R. Schmid
(7 Assists)
D. Raum
(7 Assists)
, 
Y. Diomande
(7 Assists)
Werder Bremen - Leipzig Key Points
- Nine of Werder’s last ten Bundesliga matches produced less than 3.5 goals.
- Werder’s last five home league games averaged 2.2 goals per game, each producing three or fewer goals.
- Leipzig’s last six away league games have seen fewer than four goals each time.
- Only two league teams scored more goals than Werder (30) ahead of this round.
- Leipzig have the third-best defensive record in this Bundesliga campaign.
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Our Werder Bremen vs Leipzig Prediction
Werder are only marginally above the relegation zone, but their resurgence is quite evident. Three wins out of their last four games is a remarkable turnaround for a side that couldn’t win a single match for nearly four months. Leipzig are in the hunt for a Champions League qualification spot and can’t afford to drop points here. The visitors are likely to bank on their strong defensive record to increase their chances.
Value is in the goals market, and our Werder Bremen vs Leipzig prediction is less than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Werder Bremen Leipzig
| Werder Bremen vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen wins | 3.17 | 3.86 | +21.8% |
| Draw | 3.94 | 4.11 | +4.3% |
| Leipzig wins | 2.06 | 1.97 | -4.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.5% and is now 50.8% (2.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
