Paderborn vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Paderborn
24/10/2026 09:30
Hamburg

Prediction :

 

Hamburg wins

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Paderborn’s push to move out of the Bundesliga relegation zone faces a stiff challenge on matchday six as they host an in-form Hamburg on Saturday. This match at the Home Deluxe Arena between the 16th-placed ‘SCP’ and the 9th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ could test the home team, and our match prediction backs an away win.

With five points (W1, D2, L3), Paderborn are in the midst of a tight relegation battle with only goal difference separating them from safety. Hamburg have nine points (W3, L3), and they started this round just a point away from the top five.

A battling 2-2 away draw at Werder Bremen last weekend continued Paderborn’s indifferent recent form. They have now won only one of their six league games (D2, L3), including three losses in the last five.

There’s no solace at home either, as Paderborn have lost two of their last three league matches at this venue.

Hamburg edged Stuttgart 1-0 at home last weekend to make it three wins in a row in the Bundesliga. This is a complete turnaround for the ‘Red Shorts', who started the season with three defeats in the first three rounds.

There are still concerns over their away form, as Hamburg have lost two of their last three away Bundesliga fixtures (W1), even failing to score in both those defeats.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Paderborn v Hamburg Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.20 3.75 2.95
1xbet
2.31 3.94 3.04
Melbet
2.23 3.80 2.94
Betwinner
2.23 3.80 2.94
22bet
2.23 3.80 2.94
Check all Paderborn vs Hamburg odds

Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!

What is the prediction for the football match between Paderborn and Hamburg?

Our prediction for the Paderborn vs Hamburg match is: draw or Hamburg.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/10/2026 between Paderborn and Hamburg in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.12% for a win of Paderborn against Hamburg with odds of 2.31 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paderborn vs Hamburg is 8.71% with odds of 3.94 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Paderborn with odds of 3.05 at Shangrila.

Paderborn vs Hamburg Form

Paderborn and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Hamburg
9 6 3 0 3 -9
16 Paderborn
5 6 1 2 3 -4

Paderborn and Hamburg Last Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn Last matches
L L W W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
2 :  2
Paderborn

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  2
Stuttgart

30 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

DC United
0 :  1
Paderborn

20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
3 :  1
Hoffenheim

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Paderborn

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  1
Freiburg
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  2
Stuttgart

20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
3 :  1
Hoffenheim

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  1
Freiburg

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Paderborn
0 :  2
Magdeburg

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Paderborn
3 :  1
Fagiano Okayama

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Paderborn
3 :  2
Hannover 96
W W D L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
2 :  2
Paderborn

30 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

DC United
0 :  1
Paderborn

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Paderborn

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
Paderborn

23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

1. FC Phonix Lubeck
2 :  4
Paderborn

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Osnabruck
0 :  2
Paderborn
Hamburg
Hamburg Last matches
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  0
Stuttgart

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  3
Hamburg

4 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
2 :  0
FC Copenhagen

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  1
Köln

13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  0
Stuttgart

4 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
2 :  0
FC Copenhagen

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  1
Köln

6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
1 :  2
Everton

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
3 :  1
Heidenheim
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  3
Hamburg

13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Hamburg

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

SC Verl
0 :  3
Hamburg

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rapid Wien
3 :  2
Hamburg

Paderborn vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Paderborn

60 %

Draw

20 %

Hamburg

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.4
Total goals
40%
BTTS
1.4
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

2 Mar 2025 - 2. Bundesliga

Paderborn
2 :  0
Hamburg

28 Sept 2024 - 2. Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  2
Paderborn

10 May 2024 - 2. Bundesliga

Paderborn
1 :  0
Hamburg

9 Dec 2023 - 2. Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Paderborn

2 Apr 2019 - DFB Pokal

Paderborn
0 :  2
Hamburg
Paderborn vs Hamburg Prediction

Paderborn vs Hamburg last Lineups

Paderborn

Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2

15
N. Noll
21
J. Ter-Horst
25
T. Scheller
22
M. Hansen
17
L. Curda
5
S. Castaneda
23
R. Obermair
28
L. Ulrich
40
G. Vidovic
27
S. Tigges
30
S. Marino
20
F. Vieira
15
Y. Poulsen
28
M. Muheim
5
M. Adeline
37
L. Lemke
4
B. Nadir
3
D. Moller Wolfe
17
W. Omari
33
S. Bornauw
24
N. Capaldo
1
D. Fernandes

Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2

Hamburg

Substitutes

Paderborn
Paderborn
Goalkeeper

M. Schubert

Defender

C. Lippmann

J. Sticker

Midfielder

T. Baack

D. Zeitler

R. Muller

Forward

S. Michel

M. Pieringer

R. Philippe

Hamburg
Hamburg
Goalkeeper

S. Tangvik

Defender

S. Nandja

J. Torunarigha

Z. El Ouahdi

Midfielder

K. Amoako

A. Gronbaek

Forward

A. Rossing Lelesiit

O. Stange

T. Moffi

Missing players

Paderborn
Paderborn
Defender

M. Hoffmeier

N. Awortwie-Grant

Midfielder

S. Klaas

Forward

T. Gayret

Hamburg
Hamburg
Midfielder

B. Jatta

N. Remberg

A. Gronbaek

Forward

P. Daka

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Paderborn
CD Huachipato Hamburg
Top Goalscorer
Germany S. Tigges (2 Goals) , 
Italy S. Marino (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark Y. Poulsen (2 Goals) ,  Switzerland M. Muheim (2 Goals)
Best assists
Germany L. Curda (1 Assists) , 
Germany J. Sticker (1 Assists) , 
Germany S. Tigges (1 Assists)
Best assists
Denmark A. Gronbaek (2 Assists)

Paderborn and Hamburg Stats in Bundesliga

Paderborn
Paderborn
Hamburg
Hamburg
17%
Wins
50%
50%
Losses
50%
33%
Draws
0%
2.33
Average goals per match
3.5
0.83
Goals scored per match
1
1.5
Goals conceded per match
2.5
50%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
17%
No goals conceded
17%
33%
BTTS
33%

Paderborn - Hamburg Key Points

  1. Paderborn lost three of their last five Bundesliga matches.
  2. Paderborn lost two of their last three home league games, both times failing to score.
  3. Hamburg have won three of their last six away competitive matches.
  4. Hamburg have won their last three league matches.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Paderborn vs Hamburg Prediction

With only one win from their six league games, Paderborn are struggling to move out of the danger zone. A win here would surely help, but Hamburg come here after stitching a three-game winning run. That has turned the tables and the visitors now look good value to extend that sequence.

Paderborn have dominated the recent games against Hamburg, but it is the visitors who come here with better form and increased confidence. That’s why our Paderborn vs Hamburg prediction is draw or Hamburg.

Prediction :

 

Hamburg wins

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Paderborn vs. Hamburg game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Paderborn and Hamburg? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.