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USA vs Uruguay Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

USA
18/11/2025 19:00
Uruguay

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Football Predictions

The USA continue their preparations for next year's World Cup of which they are one of the co-hosts. They are home to Uruguay who have already secured their place in the finals. Read our match prediction below.

The American team will be attempting to win a third successive match. Wins have been achieved against Australia and most recently Paraguay, both by a 2-1 scoreline. They are unbeaten in their last four internationals since losing to South Korea in September.

This is the ninth time the USA has played Uruguay. Of the eight previous meetings, four have been drawn with a couple of wins for both teams. Under 2.5 goals have been scored on six occasions, including the last three.

Uruguay finished fourth in the South American World Cup Qualifying group. That was ten points behind winners Argentina but above Brazil. Uruguay did win away in Argentina but that was their only away group victory. The other eight produced five draws and three defeats.

Their most recent international saw them draw 0-0 in an away game against Mexico. That extended their unbeaten run to six games since being beaten in Paraguay five months ago. Eight of their last ten matches have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.

We tip that statistic to come up again.

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The Best Betting Odds for USA v Uruguay Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.8 3.25 2.45
Betfred
2.75 2.88 2.5
William Hill
2.8 2.9 2.5
Betway
2.88 3 2.5
Unibet
2.8 3.1 2.55
Check all USA vs Uruguay odds

What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Uruguay?

Our prediction for the USA vs Uruguay match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2025 between USA and Uruguay in International Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.99% for a win of USA against Uruguay with odds of 3 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Uruguay is 37.96% with odds of 3.25 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Uruguay vs USA with odds of 2.55 at Unibet.

USA vs Uruguay Form

USA and Uruguay Last Matches

USA
USA Last matches
L L W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  1
Paraguay

14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  1
Australia

10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  1
Ecuador

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  0
Japan

6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Korea Republic

6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico
L L W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  1
Paraguay

14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  1
Australia

10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  1
Ecuador

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  0
Japan

6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Korea Republic

6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA

14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
USA

15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

27 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Panama
2 :  1
USA

20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Trinidad And Tobago
2 :  1
USA
Uruguay
Uruguay Last matches
W W D W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Uruguay

13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Uzbekistan
1 :  2
Uruguay

10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Uruguay
1 :  0
Dominican Republic

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Uruguay

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  0
Peru

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  0
Venezuela
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Uruguay
1 :  0
Dominican Republic

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  0
Peru

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  0
Venezuela

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  1
Argentina

15 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  2
Colombia

15 Oct 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  0
Ecuador
D D L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Uruguay

13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Uzbekistan
1 :  2
Uruguay

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Uruguay

5 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  0
Uruguay

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Bolivia
0 :  0
Uruguay

19 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  1
Uruguay

USA vs Uruguay Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

USA

0 %

Draw

67 %

Uruguay

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

1 Jul 2024 - Copa America

USA
0 :  1
Uruguay

5 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  0
Uruguay

10 Sept 2019 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  1
Uruguay
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Missing players

USA
USA
Forward

B. White

J. McGlynn

Uruguay
Uruguay

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato USA
CD Huachipato Uruguay
Top Goalscorer
USA M. Tillman (3 Goals)
USA D. Luna (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Best assists
USA M. Arfsten (3 Assists)
Best assists

USA - Uruguay Key Points

  1. Six of the eight previous matches between the USA and Uruguay had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. The last three games played between these two countries have only produced three goals.
  3. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in eight of the last ten Uruguay games.
  4. Four of Uruguay's last five away games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them, most recently a goalless draw in Mexico.
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Our USA vs Uruguay Prediction

Both countries aren't due to play again until June. This is an important game therefore as the countdown to the World Cup continues. The USA have had some good recent results and will want to continue to build some momentum but they haven't beaten Uruguay since 2002.

Uruguay have clinched their place in the World Cup and are unbeaten in their last six games. They aren't always at their best on the road but remain a difficult team to defeat. Our USA v Uruguay prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

USA vs Uruguay Prediction

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