Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

World - World Cup

Uruguay
21/06/2026 18:00
Cape Verde Isl.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in World Cup Predictions

World No.16 Uruguay takes on 67th-ranked Cape Verde in a pivotal 2026 World Cup Group H fixture that will shape the race for a place in the knockout stages for both teams on Monday. Cape Verde have kept clean sheets in each of their last three games, while Uruguay have struggled to find the net in recent outings, hence our prediction here favoring a low-scoring contest. 

Initially tipped as underdogs, World Cup debutants Cape Verde have proven their readiness to compete on football's biggest stage after a strong start against Spain. The Blue Sharks challenged the odds by holding the reigning European champions to a goalless draw, picking up a crucial one point that boosted their chances of reaching the next round.

However, the job is far from complete for the Bubista-led team with two-time champions Uruguay their next tough test. La Celeste were also held to a stalemate by Saudi Arabia in their opening match, leaving all four teams in the group with a lot to play for in this second round. What are their chances heading into this contest? Continue reading as we explore further. 

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Uruguay v Cape Verde Isl. Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.46 4 7.4
1xbet
1.53 4.31 7.7
Melbet
1.48 4.1 7.6
Betwinner
1.48 4.1 7.6
22bet
1.53 4.31 7.7
Check all Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Uruguay and Cape Verde Isl.?

Our prediction for the Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. match is: Less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/06/2026 between Uruguay and Cape Verde Isl. in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.47% for a win of Uruguay against Cape Verde Isl. with odds of 1.53 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. is 34.52% with odds of 4.31 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Cape Verde Isl. vs Uruguay with odds of 8 at Bet365.

Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. Form

Uruguay and Cape Verde Isl.'s standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Uruguay
1 1 0 1 0 0
4 Cape Verde Isl.
1 1 0 1 0 0

Uruguay and Cape Verde Isl. Last Matches

Uruguay
Uruguay Last matches
W D L D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Saudi Arabia
1 :  1
Uruguay

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Algeria
0 :  0
Uruguay

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

England
1 :  1
Uruguay

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
5 :  1
Uruguay

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Uruguay

13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Uzbekistan
1 :  2
Uruguay
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Uruguay
1 :  0
Dominican Republic

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  0
Peru

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  0
Venezuela

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  1
Argentina

15 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  2
Colombia

15 Oct 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  0
Ecuador
W D L D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Saudi Arabia
1 :  1
Uruguay

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Algeria
0 :  0
Uruguay

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

England
1 :  1
Uruguay

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
5 :  1
Uruguay

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Uruguay

13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Uzbekistan
1 :  2
Uruguay
Cape Verde Isl.
Cape Verde Isl. Last matches
D L D W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Spain
0 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Bermuda

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Serbia

29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

26 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Chile
4 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Egypt
W D D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Bermuda

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Serbia

29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Egypt

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
0 :  0
Iran

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Eswatini
W D W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Spain
0 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.

26 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Chile
4 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Libya
3 :  3
Cape Verde Isl.

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mauritius
0 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

8 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Georgia
1 :  1
Cape Verde Isl.

29 May 2025 - International Friendlies

Malaysia
0 :  3
Cape Verde Isl.

Uruguay - Cape Verde Isl.: Form Analysis

Uruguay's struggle in the attack continued in their World Cup opener against 61st-ranked Saudi Arabia on Monday. The Sky Blue exerted total dominance of proceedings in the game, but found themselves trailing from the 41st minute before Maximiliano Araujo struck late to level the tie and salvage a point. 

That result means Marcelo Bielsa's men have now failed to score more than once in seven of their last eight matches. They have averaged just 1.3 goals per contest across those eight games, failing to find the net in three of those. 

Uruguay's last eight World Cup group-stage matches have produced an average of 1.5 total goals per game

Cape Verde headed into this tournament with back-to-back emphatic victories over Serbia and Bermuda, keeping clean sheets on both occasions. Their solid backline came under a far stern test against Spain in the opening match, and they didn't disappoint.

Despite sitting 65 places below the European giants in world rankings, they fought them to a standstill, extending their clean-sheet streak to three matches. Overall, Bubista's side have not conceded more than one goal in regulation time in seven of their last eight matches.

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Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. last Lineups

Uruguay

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

23
F. Muslera
13
G. Varela
3
S. Caceres
16
M. Olivera
17
M. Vina
8
F. Valverde
5
M. Ugarte
6
R. Bentancur
20
M. Araujo
21
F. Vinas
9
D. Nunez
19
D. Livramento
7
J. Cabral
10
J. Monteiro
20
R. Mendes
15
L. Duarte
6
K. Pina
13
S. Lopes Cabral
4
P. Lopes
3
D. Borges
22
S. Moreira
1
Vozinha

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Cape Verde Isl.

Substitutes

Uruguay
Uruguay
Goalkeeper

S. Mele

S. Rochet

Defender

S. Bueno

J. Gimenez

Midfielder

A. Canobbio

R. Zalazar

N. De La Cruz

J. Sanabria

J. Piquerez

E. Martinez

Forward

F. Pellistri

B. Rodriguez

R. Aguirre

Cape Verde Isl.
Cape Verde Isl.
Goalkeeper

M. Rosa

C. Dos Santos

Defender

K. Pires

W. Pina

L. Costa

Stopira

Midfielder

D. Duarte

Y. Semedo

Joao Paulo

T. Arcanjo

N. Da Costa

G. Rodrigues

H. Varela

W. Semedo

Forward

G. Benchimol

Missing players

Uruguay
Uruguay
Defender

R. Araujo

Midfielder

G. de Arrascaeta

Cape Verde Isl.
Cape Verde Isl.

Uruguay & Cape Verde Isl. Squad Analysis

Uruguay have Giorgian de Arrascaeta still sidelined for this clash after missing the attacking midfielder in the opener against Saudi Arabia due to a calf injury. The 60-capped playmaker's absence was noticeable against Saudi Arabia with the team struggling to create chances through the middle despite dominating possession. 

Goalkeeper Fernando Muslera is the most experienced World Cup player in the Uruguay squad with 17 appearances across five tournaments

Marcelo Bielsa is also without a key defender Ronald Araujo, with the player still nursing a knee injury that ruled him out of the first match. Sebastián Cáceres replaced the Barcelona defender and is expected to return in the center-back alongside Napoli's Mathias Olivera. Bielsa is likely to stick to the deep-lying midfield duo of Man United's Manuel Ugarte and Real Madrid's Valverde, while Darwin Nunez spearheads the attack.

30-capped Jovane Cabral was taken off in the 61st minute against Spain with an undisclosed injury and remains a doubt for Cape Verde ahead of this clash. Willy Semedo is the first candidate to replace the Estrela star. Veteran goalie Vozinha will look to put up another Man of the Match performance after making seven saves in the tournament opener, with Dailon Livramento leading the Tubarões Azuis' attack.

Uruguay - Cape Verde Isl. Key Points

  1. Uruguay have not scored more than one goal in seven of their last eight matches.
  2. Uruguay’s last eight World Cup group-stage matches have produced an average of 1.5 total goals.
  3. Cape Verde have not conceded more than one goal in seven of their last eight matches.
  4. Cape Verde have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three matches.
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Our Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction

Uruguay's recent World Cup group-stage matches have been predominantly low-scoring affairs. They left it late to find the net against Saudi Arabia in their opener and haven't been terrific in front of goal in recent months. 

Cape Verde carried their defensive prowess to the World Cup with a solid performance against Spain and are unlikely to drop that standard on Monday. From the foregoing, we expect another gritty contest likely to end in a low scoreline. Our Uruguay vs Cape Verde prediction : Less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. Alternative Predictions

Uruguay wins

Odds 1.5

Despite the setback in their opening match, Uruguay are the favorites here. With more quality and greater World Cup experience, they are likely to edge past the debuting Cape Verde.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction