USA vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
Friday night brings us a crucial matchup in Group D at the 2026 World Cup, with the USA set to take on Australia at Lumen Field in Seattle. The last two encounters between USMNT and the Socceroos ended with both teams scoring, and we’re going for a similar outcome in this one as our primary match prediction.
The Yanks made a massive statement in their opening match of the tournament against Paraguay, up 3-0 in the first half before cantering to victory to clinch top spot in Group D. With home support, the Stars and Stripes are eyeing a deep run in this competition, and a win here will book their spot in the Round of 32.
Tony Popovic’s side cannot be overlooked here, though, as they also secured an impressive victory in their tournament opener against Turkiye on Sunday night. Australia enjoyed their best-ever run at a World Cup in Qatar four years ago, and are heavily fancied to follow the USA in the knockout stage of this year’s tournament. Let’s get into the key stats!
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USA v Australia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.59 | 3.95 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.27 | 5.68 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.34 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.34 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Australia?
Our prediction for the USA vs Australia match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/06/2026 between USA and Australia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.74% for a win of USA against Australia with odds of 1.65 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Australia is 9.39% with odds of 4.42 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Australia vs USA with odds of 6.5 at LSbet.
USA vs Australia Form
USA and Australia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
USA and Australia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
USA vs Australia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
USA - Australia: Form Analysis
The USA delivered an excellent performance in their opening match of the 2026 World Cup, dominating Paraguay en route to a comprehensive 4-1 victory in California on Saturday evening.
That result marked their sixth win in their last 10 matches in all competitions (D1 L3). They have scored two or more goals in seven matches during this period but have only kept a single clean sheet.
The tournament hosts have also won six of their last 10 home matches coming into this one (D1 L3), but they have conceded two or more goals in three of their last five games on home soil.
The USA have won their last two matches against Australia!
Meanwhile, Australia are featuring in their sixth consecutive World Cup campaign, and they got off to an impressive start, securing a fairly comfortable 2-0 victory over Turkiye on Sunday night.
The Socceroos have won five of their last 10 matches in all competitions (D1 L4). Notably, one of their losses during this period came against the USA in a friendly match in October last year.
Excluding this competition, the team from Down Under have not fared well on the road, as they are winless in their last five outings (D1 L4) and failed to score in three of their last four away games.
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USA vs Australia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
C. Brady
M. Turner
DefenderM. Arfsten
M. Robinson
M. McKenzie
A. Trusty
J. Scally
MidfielderG. Reyna
S. Berhalter
C. Roldan
ForwardR. Pepi
B. Aaronson
A. Zendejas
H. Wright
T. Weah
M. Ryan
P. Izzo
DefenderA. Behich
M. Degenek
J. Geria
K. Trewin
L. Herrington
MidfielderJ. Irvine
C. Devlin
ForwardC. Volpato
M. Leckie
A. Mabil
A. Hrustic
T. Yengi
N. Velupillay
USA & Australia Squad Analysis
Monaco attacker Folarin Balogun was the standout performer for the USA in their opening match, having bagged a first-half brace against Paraguay, and he will almost certainly lead the line here.
Given how impressive his side was in the opening match, Mauricio Pochettino will likely be tempted to send out the same starting XI as the first match, though Giovanni Reyna could get the nod after scoring off the bench last time out.
Reyna’s possible inclusion could be for Christian Pulisic, who was kicked in the calf during the first half against Paraguay. He was withdrawn at the break and is listed as a doubt for this fixture.
Haji Wright scored a brace in USA’s 2-1 win against this opponent last October!
Australia’s biggest threat came from their flanks in their opening match, with Nestory Irankunda and Connor Metcalfe both getting on the scoresheet in the victory over Turkey.
Norwich forward Mohamed Toure had a fairly quiet night against Turkey, which could see Popovic opt to give Machida striker Tete Yengi a chance to start this match in the number nine role.
Most goals and assists
USA
Australia
F. Balogun
(2 Goals)
C. Metcalfe
(1 Goals)
,
N. Irankunda
(1 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Tillman
(1 Assists)
,
A. Freeman
(1 Assists)
P. Okon-Engstler
(1 Assists)
USA - Australia Key Points
- Eight of USA’s last 10 matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- The USA has only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 home matches.
- Australia has only kept two clean sheets in their last eight matches.
- The last two matches between these sides ended with both teams scoring.
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Our USA vs Australia Prediction
The USA made a massive statement in their opening match of the competition. Indeed, they were fancied to beat Paraguay, but the manner in which they dominated the fixture was extremely impressive, and they are definitely one to watch in this competition.
Australia’s opening-match victory was also mightily impressive, and this fixture is now widely considered the one that will decide who goes on to win Group D. This should be an entertaining encounter and we feel there will be a few goals before the final whistle. Our USA vs Australia prediction is BTTS.
USA vs Australia Alternative Predictions
USA wins
The USA has scored two or more goals in six of their last eight matches. They also have home advantage and beat this opponent in their last two encounters.
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USA vs Australia - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup match between the USA and Australia will take place on June 19 at 19:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup match between the USA and Australia will be played at Lumen Field in Seattle.
The 2026 World Cup match between the USA and Australia will be broadcast on Fox (USA) and SBS On Demand (Australia).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
