Ulster Rugby vs Exeter RC Chiefs Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
Europe - Challenge Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Third seeds Ulster are home to seventh-seeded Exeter Chiefs in the semi-finals of the EPCR Challenge Cup. The winners will take on either Montpellier or Dragons in the final. Read our match prediction below.
The Ulstermen won pool 3 to qualify for the knockout stages with only one of their four fixtures not being won. In the knockout stages, they have beaten Ospreys (by just four points) and Stade Rochelais.
They have lost their last two matches, including a home defeat against Leinster. Ulster are only eighth in the United Rugby Championship. The loss to Leinster was their second successive home league loss.
Exeter Chiefs are fourth in PREM Rugby and that is the final play-off position. They have won eight of their 14 league games this season but lost at Gloucester by three points last weekend. That followed a seven-point home loss to Northampton Saints in their previous game.
Before those two narrow losses, Exeter had won four matches in a row. Two of their last three away games have been won. They finished third in their pool and in the knockout stages have beaten Munster at home and had a thrilling 44-41 win at Benneton in the quarter-finals.
We tip Exeter Chiefs to win on a +6.5 handicap.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Ulster Rugby v Exeter RC Chiefs Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 19 | 2.4 |
|
|
1.64 | 19 | 2.4 |
|
|
1.57 | 21 | 2.5 |
|
|
1.64 | 20 | 2.26 |
|
|
1.64 | 20 | 2.26 |
|
Ulster Rugby vs Exeter RC Chiefs Form
Ulster Rugby and Exeter RC Chiefs Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
10 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
28 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
10 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
20 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
31 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
28 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
28 Feb 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
24 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2026 - PREM Rugby
18 Apr 2026 - PREM Rugby
12 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
27 Mar 2026 - PREM Rugby
21 Mar 2026 - PREM Rugby
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
18 Apr 2026 - PREM Rugby
4 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
21 Mar 2026 - PREM Rugby
8 Mar 2026 - Premiership Rugby Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premiership Rugby Cup
14 Feb 2026 - Premiership Rugby Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Apr 2026 - PREM Rugby
12 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
27 Mar 2026 - PREM Rugby
15 Mar 2026 - Premiership Rugby Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premiership Rugby Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
Ulster Rugby vs Exeter RC Chiefs Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
17 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
Ulster Rugby - Exeter RC Chiefs Key Points
- Exeter have won two of their last three away games.
- With a +6.5 handicap, Exeter would have won 13 of their last 15 matches.
- With a +6.5 handicap, Exeter would have been the winners in all six of their Challenge Cup games this season.
- If their opponents had been given a +6.5 start, Ulster would have lost four of their last six matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Ulster Rugby vs Exeter RC Chiefs Prediction
A close match looks likely between Ulster and Exeter Chiefs. Ulster had an excellent win in the last round of the Challenge Cup but have struggled in the United Rugby Championship in recent weeks.
Exeter Chiefs also had a thrilling win in the quarter-finals as they edged out Benneton in a high-scoring match. They have a good chance of reaching the final but going down the handicap route is advisable. Our Ulster v Exeter Chiefs prediction is Exeter Chiefs wins on a +6.5 handicap.UU
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
