Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
Shakhtar Donetsk will use Stamford Bridge as their home for matchday four of the league phase of the UEFA Champions League (UCL) in a tough game against Sporting Lisbon on Tuesday. This match between the 17th-placed ‘Miners’ and the 12th-placed ‘Lions’ promises to be an intriguing game between two evenly-matched clubs. Will these teams live up to the expectations?
The Ukrainians have been playing their home games in neutral venues and come here with four points in three matches (W1, D1, L1), while the Portuguese visitors have six points from their three games (W2, L1). Sporting are only three points adrift of the leaders, while just goal difference separates them from the top eight spots.
Shakhtar are coming here on the back of consecutive wins, and their only win of this year’s competition came at this venue in a designated home fixture. Sporting can lay claim to better form, thanks to two wins, although they have struggled to close out games lately. Is there a surprise awaiting the Portuguese in London? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.60 | 3.75 | 1.91 |
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3.91 | 3.96 | 1.97 |
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|
3.76 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
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3.76 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
|
|
3.76 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/11/2026 between Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.94% for a win of Shakhtar Donetsk against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 3.91 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon is 22.16% with odds of 3.96 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Shakhtar Donetsk with odds of 1.99 at Tonybet.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 |
|
17
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
27 Oct 2026 - Ukraine Cup
24 Oct 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
27 Oct 2026 - Ukraine Cup
24 Oct 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
17 Oct 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
9 Oct 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Ukraine Cup
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Oct 2026 - Portugal League Cup
25 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
9 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2026 - Portugal League Cup
25 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
19 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
9 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
Shakhtar Donetsk - Sporting Lisbon: Form Analysis
Shakhtar won 2-0 at home against Obolon last Friday in the Ukrainian Premier League for a second win in a row. They have eight wins from their last ten competitive fixtures (D1, L1), although that lone defeat has come in the UCL.
It was against Inter in a 1-0 away defeat on matchday three. Shakhtar preceded that with a 3-1 win against AEK Athens at this venue for their only win of this year’s competition so far, while drawing 1-1 away at PSV Eindhoven on matchday one.
Shakhtar’s last eight matches saw six red cards.
Sporting won 2-0 away at Casa Pia in the Portuguese league last Friday to post consecutive domestic wins. These helped the ‘Lions’ make a comeback after losing two in a row, including one on matchday three of this competition.
That came at home against LASK in a 3-2 defeat but was preceded by a 2-0 away win at Lens and a 3-1 home win against Galatasaray in the first two matchdays.
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Players list
D. Riznyk
DefenderV. Bondar
O. Karavaev
A. Ghram
Irakli Azarov
MidfielderIsaque
Newerton
D. Kryskiv
O. Ocheretko
ForwardBruninho
L. Traore
K. Pereira
DefenderI. Fresneda
Quaresma
G. Inacio
MidfielderM. Araujo
P. Barros
S. Altimira
S. Andersen
L. Guilherme
ForwardN. Irankunda
L. Suarez
Substitutes
D. Tvardovskyi
DefenderM. Matvienko
Pedro Henrique
Tobias
A. Matturro
MidfielderL. Ferreira
Y. Nazaryna
M. Gomes
G. Mendoza
ForwardLuca Meirelles
Alisson
K. Elias
R. Silva
DefenderM. Zekri
G. Vagiannidis
I. Ba
MidfielderG. Catamo
I. Doumbia
J. Derry
E. Felicissimo
J. Simoes
ForwardF. Ioannidis
R. Nel
F. Goncalves
Missing players
Marlon
Irakli Azarov
ForwardEguinaldo
Z. Debast
MidfielderR. Zalazar
ForwardN. Santos
Shakhtar Donetsk & Sporting Lisbon Squad Analysis
Pedrinho was injured for Shakhtar in their last UCL game against Inter and has been absent since then. The Ukrainians have no new major injury concerns ahead of this game.
The ‘Miners’ have usually lined up in their distinctive 4-1-4-1 formation, with the focus on forward Alisson, who has five goals and three assists to his name in all competitions this season. Gleiker Mendoza could fancy his chances, having scored two in this competition already this season.
Sporting’s Ivan Fresneda has three assists in his last two appearances.
The Portuguese appear to have no new fresh injury absentees, giving them enough freedom to line up in their usual 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation. Either way, the focus point will be Luis Suarez, with the forward scoring 12 goals and one assist in all competitions this season.
Suarez is also their highest scorer in this competition, netting four goals. Three of those have come in the last two UCL matches for Sporting, so he could once again be the fulcrum of their attacks.
Most goals and assists
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting Lisbon
G. Mendoza
(2 Goals)
L. Suarez
(4 Goals)
Isaque
(2 Assists)
S. Andersen
(1 Assists)
, 
N. Irankunda
(1 Assists)
Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting Lisbon Stats in Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Seven of Shakhtar’s last nine UEFA matches have produced three or more goals.
- Seven of Shakhtar’s last ten matches including a friendly produced at least three goals.
- Ten of Sporting’s last 14 matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Sporting scored at least two goals in six of their last seven away competitive games.
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Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Shakhtar have been used to playing their home games in neutral locations, and this time it’s Stamford Bridge. They went till the semi-finals in the Conference League last season, and recent games in Europe have been exciting. Sporting’s last win in this competition came on the road, and they will hope that can continue on this trip.
Looking at how these teams have been shaping up lately, this fixture promises to be full of goals. Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon prediction is over 2.5 goals.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon Alternative Predictions
Sporting Lisbon wins
Sporting won both the previous matches against Shakhtar, albeit back in the 2008-09 group stage of this competition. Two wins out of three in this year’s competition, plus their consistency – compared to their designated hosts – make the Portuguese have a slight edge in the win stakes.
Luis Suarez Over 1.5 Shots on Target
Luis Suarez comes into this game with five goals from his last five competitive games, including three in his last two UCL games. He could be at the forefront again, with over 1.5 shots on target likely.
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