Leipzig vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Manchester City travel to East Germany in midweek to take on RB Leipzig in a Matchday 4 UEFA Champions League clash at Red Bull Arena. The Citizens have won their last three UCL encounters against this opponent, and we fancy them to add to that tally this week, as discussed in our match prediction below.
Martín Demichelis is set to face the club that he spent three years with as a player this week. Die Roten Bullen have three points after three League Phase games but slipped below the Playoff cutoff to 29th place on MD3 when they were hammered by Real Madrid 4-1 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
The Sky Blues eased past AEK Athens last time out and enter MD4 in 10th place and as one of six teams with six points after their three matches. Enzo Maresca’s side have the better record in this fixture, with four wins, one draw, and just one defeat in their six UCL matches against Die Bullen, including a 3-1 victory at this venue on their last visit during the 2023-24 group stage. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Leipzig v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.00 | 4.80 | 1.51 |
|
|
5.54 | 4.93 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.30 | 4.74 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.30 | 4.74 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.20 | 4.64 | 1.54 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Manchester City match is: Manchester City wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/11/2026 between Leipzig and Manchester City in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.62% for a win of Leipzig against Manchester City with odds of 5.54 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Manchester City is 7.74% with odds of 4.93 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Leipzig with odds of 1.58 at 1xbet.
Leipzig vs Manchester City Form
Leipzig and Manchester City's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 |
|
29
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 |
Leipzig and Manchester City Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal
24 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2026 - Premier League
28 Oct 2026 - Carabao Cup
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2026 - Premier League
28 Oct 2026 - Carabao Cup
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
11 Oct 2026 - Premier League
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
28 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
Leipzig vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
4 Oct 2023 - Champions League
14 Mar 2023 - Champions League
22 Feb 2023 - Champions League
7 Dec 2021 - Champions League
15 Sept 2021 - Champions League
Leipzig - Manchester City: Form Analysis
RB Leipzig have suffered two 4-1 defeats to Como and Real Madrid, either side of their only victory - a 1-0 win against PSV - in their three matches in this season’s UEFA Champions League.
However, since their defeat at the Bernabeu, Die Roten Bullen have rattled off three consecutive wins in domestic competition, capped off with an impressive 2-0 away victory over Schalke at the weekend.
While the hosts are big underdogs in this match, their home record this season is excellent, as they have won all five matches at Red Bull Arena across all competitions, scoring 19 goals in total.
RB Leipzig have not conceded a single goal at home in any competition this season!
Meanwhile, Manchester City’s only dropped points in the UCL this season came against PSG on MD2. They beat Porto 2-0 in their opening fixture and thrashed AEK Athens 5-1 a couple of weeks ago.
The Citizens have overperformed their 7.69 xG in this competition by scoring nine goals to date. They have attempted the joint-second-most shots (64) of any team, with 26 of those being on target.
The visitors won their first four away games of the season but lost to Aston Villa in the Premier League on their last outing. They have also avoided defeat in their last two visits to the Red Bull Arena (W1 D1).
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Leipzig vs Manchester City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
O. Nyland
DefenderM. Finkgrafe
A. Kone
MidfielderR. Baku
C. Baumgartner
N. Seiwald
ForwardC. Nkunku
J. Bakayoko
T. Gomis
G. Rulli
DefenderN. O'Reilly
V. Reis
R. Lewis
M. Guehi
MidfielderR. Cherki
M. Kovacic
P. Foden
ForwardAllan
Missing players
M. Esteve
MidfielderA. Ouedraogo
ForwardM. Guiu
A. Semenyo
Leipzig & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Demichelis will be hopeful that Christopher Nkunku will be fit to start here. The Frenchman is one of only five players to score a UCL hat-trick and lose the match, doing so against this very opponent in the 2021-22 season.
Leipzig’s goals in this competition have been shared between Andrija Maksimovic, Brajan Gruda, and Tidiam Gomis. Romulo has netted three goals in his last three appearances but has yet to open his account in the Champions League this term.
Assan Ouedraogo and Marc Guiu are ruled out, while former Burnley man Maxime Esteve is a doubt. Christoph Baumgartner is expected to start here, having now fully recovered from a thigh injury.
Erling Haaland is the joint-highest goal scorer in the UCL with four goals.
Unlike the other four players who have netted four times in three games in this competition, Haaland has done so in two matches. The Norwegian has attempted 14 shots at goal and managed seven on target in 180 minutes.
Phil Foden is one to watch for City this week. The England international scored a hat-trick and picked up an assist against AEK Athens on MD3 and now has six direct goal contributions in his last five appearances across all competitions.
Antoine Semenyo is the only confirmed injury absentee for the visitors this week, which could open the door for Iliman Ndiaye to make his first start in the Champions League.
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Manchester City
A. Maksimovic
(1 Goals)
, 
B. Gruda
(1 Goals)
, 
T. Gomis
(1 Goals)
E. Haaland
(4 Goals)
C. Nkunku
(1 Assists)
, 
C. Baumgartner
(1 Assists)
R. Lewis
(2 Assists)
Leipzig and Manchester City Stats in Champions League
Leipzig - Manchester City Key Points
- RB Leipzig have lost two of their three Champions League matches this season.
- RB Leipzig have lost their last five UEFA matches against English opposition.
- RB Leipzig are averaging 2.51 xGA per 90 in this competition.
- Manchester City have won four of their last five away games in all competitions.
- Manchester City have scored 13 goals in their last three matches against this opponent.
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Our Leipzig vs Manchester City Prediction
RB Leipzig have an excellent record at home this season, but they only narrowly beat PSV here on MD2, and this opponent represents a massive step up in class compared to the teams they have faced at Red Bull Arena this term.
Manchester City are unbeaten in their last four matches against Die Roten Bullen (W3 D1) and scored 13 goals in the last three encounters alone. We are expecting another high-scoring encounter here, but expect the Citizens to leave with all three points. Our RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction is Manchester City wins.
Leipzig vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
Erling Haaland to score anytime
Over 3.5 goals
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Leipzig vs Manchester City - FAQs
The Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Manchester City will take place on November 4 at 20:00 UTC.
The Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Manchester City will be broadcast live on DAZN (Germany) and Prime Video (United Kingdom).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
