Villarreal vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Estadio de la Cerámica set the stage for the first-ever UEFA Champions League clash between Villarreal and Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday night. The Parisians have been flawless in this competition over the first three Matchdays, and we are going for them to keep their perfect record intact this week, as discussed in our prediction below!
Iñigo Pérez’s side enter MD4 in 19th place in the League Phase standings and as one of 12 teams currently on three points following their defeat at Anfield two weeks ago. While the Yellow Submarine have a good record across their last four games against French teams in UEFA competition (W3 L1), this is by far the toughest opponent they have faced in Europe in recent times.
It may still be early in the League Phase, but Luis Enrique’s team are already joint-favourites to retain their European crown and complete the three-peat. The Red and Blues defeated Barcelona in their last match in this competition and are now unbeaten in their last 13 UCL proper matches (W9 D4). Let’s get into the key stats!
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Villarreal v PSG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 | 4.70 | 1.55 |
|
|
4.98 | 4.77 | 1.65 |
|
|
4.80 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
|
|
4.80 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
|
|
4.80 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and PSG?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs PSG match is: PSG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/11/2026 between Villarreal and PSG in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.13% for a win of Villarreal against PSG with odds of 5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs PSG is 15.69% with odds of 4.77 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 65.18% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Villarreal with odds of 1.65 at 1xbet.
Villarreal vs PSG Form
Villarreal and PSG's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 |
|
19
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Villarreal and PSG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
27 Oct 2026 - Copa del Rey
24 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
17 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2026 - Copa del Rey
24 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
17 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
Villarreal - PSG: Form Analysis
Villarreal were left gutted on Matchday 3 after going two goals up inside the opening half an hour against Liverpool at Anfield before squandering their advantage and losing the match 4-3.
The Yellow Submarine have overperformed their 4.31 xG significantly by scoring eight goals in this competition, but they have also conceded eight times to date and are averaging 2.30 xGA per 90.
This week’s hosts have won their only home game in the UCL this season, beating Napoli 3-1 on MD2, but that was just one of two wins they have managed in six matches at this venue this term.
Paris Saint-Germain enter this clash on a nine-match winning streak across all competitions!
Paris Saint-Germain looked set to drop their first points in this season’s UCL against Barcelona in their last match, but a couple of goals in the final 10 minutes saw the Parisians secure a 4-2 win.
The Red and Blues now have the highest xG in this competition (10.10), the most shots at goal (72), and shots on target (38), but they are averaging 1.87 xGA per 90 - the 13th most of the 36 teams.
The reigning kings of Europe are unbeaten on the road across all competitions this season (W5 D2). They have scored 19 goals in their seven away games this term, including 12 in their last three alone.
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Villarreal vs PSG last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
L. Junior
R. Gomez
DefenderL. Costa
A. Freeman
C. Romero
ForwardA. Perez
N. Pepe
C. Thiam
N. El Jmili
T. Oluwaseyi
L. Chevalier
DefenderBeraldo
W. Pacho
D. Boly
MidfielderJ. Neves
F. Ruiz
Vitinha
ForwardQ. Ndjantou
D. Doue
Missing players
Marquinhos
N. Mendes
ForwardO. Dembele
K. Kvaratskhelia
Villarreal & PSG Squad Analysis
Georges Mikautadze has been the standout performer for Villarreal in the UCL. The Georgian international has three direct goal contributions (2 goals, 1 assist) in as many appearances in this competition this season.
Santiago Mouriño and Tani Oluwaseyi have also netted twice in the Champions League this term, while former Newcastle United attacker Ayoze Perez leads the team with two assists in two games.
The visitors could have as many as four players missing through injury for this match, including Nathan Saliba, Alassane Diatta, Juan Foyth, and Ilias Akhomach.
Vitinha has scored in his last two UCL matches for Paris Saint-Germain!
Vitinha’s strike against Barcelona took him to 12 goals in Europe’s elite club competition. If he nets again in this match, he will draw level with Deco in fourth place among Portuguese scorers in the Champions League proper.
PSG have a few key injuries at present, with Nuno Mendes, Alessandro Longoni, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ruled out, while Marquinhos and Ousmane Dembele are doubts due to hamstring issues.
Desire Doue is one to watch for the champions. The French attacking midfielder has racked up two goals and two assists in his two appearances against Manchester City and Barcelona in this competition.
Most goals and assists
Villarreal
PSG
S. Mourino
(2 Goals)
, 
G. Mikautadze
(2 Goals)
, 
T. Oluwaseyi
(2 Goals)
F. Torres
(3 Goals)
, 
O. Dembele
(3 Goals)
A. Perez
(2 Assists)
O. Dembele
(3 Assists)
Villarreal and PSG Stats in Champions League
Villarreal - PSG Key Points
- Villarreal have lost two of their three UCL games this season.
- Villarreal have only won two of their six home matches in all competitions this season.
- Paris Saint-Germain are on a nine-match winning streak in all competitions.
- Paris Saint-Germain are the highest-scoring team in the UCL this season.
- Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in away games in all competitions this season.
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Our Villarreal vs PSG Prediction
Villarreal put up an impressive fight against Liverpool on the road last week, but still left the match empty-handed, and it’s only going to get tougher for them here against the rampant, reigning kings of Europe.
Paris Saint-Germain are already looking like the team to beat in the UCL this season. While they have not been great in defence, their attacking numbers are incredible, and we fancy them to keep their perfect record intact in this match. Our Villarreal vs PSG prediction is PSG wins.
Villarreal vs PSG Alternative Predictions
Desire Doue to score or assist
Over 3.5 goals
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Villarreal vs PSG - FAQs
The Champions League match between Villarreal and PSG will be broadcast live on Telefónica (Spain) and Canal+ (France). UK viewers can tune in to Prime Video UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
