U. De Chile vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
It is Universidad de Chile’s chance to host their Copa Sudamericana quarter-final return leg as Alianza Lima visits. The tie is balanced at 0-0 after the opening leg yielded no goals. Heading into this game, we have a prediction for the match.
In a tightly contested first leg, Universidad had a big sigh after Fernando Gaibor’s goal was ruled out for a handball in the buildup. Their work was then made easier by Carlos Zambrano’s sending off.
The Chileans now have to make the most of their home leg. Three wins in five home matches will give them the impression they can sail through.
Alianza Lima will hope for a better showing in the return leg, even though they come with heavy scars from the first-leg battle. Zambrano’s suspension will weigh heavily on the visitors, whose record against Universidad is now three matches without a win.
The last two were drawn, though, with Universidad winning the very first, back in 2010. The visitors warmed up for this game with a 4-0 win at home against Comerciantes Unidos.
While that marked their first win in four matches, in it they registered a third clean sheet. The winner here will next face Lanus or Fluminense in the semi-finals.
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U. De Chile v Alianza Lima Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.88 | 3.3 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.44 | 4.79 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.56 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.58 | 4.04 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between U. De Chile and Alianza Lima?
Our prediction for the U. De Chile vs Alianza Lima match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2025 between U. De Chile and Alianza Lima in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.52% for a win of U. De Chile against Alianza Lima with odds of 1.95 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between U. De Chile vs Alianza Lima is 28.85% with odds of 3.6 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Alianza Lima vs U. De Chile with odds of 4.79 at 1xbet.
U. De Chile - Alianza Lima Prediction and Best Odds:
| U. De Chile Alianza Lima Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| U. De Chile wins | 38.52% | 1.95 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.37% | 2.15 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60.42% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: U. De Chile | 26.51% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
U. De Chile vs Alianza Lima Form
U. De Chile and Alianza Lima Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
14 Sept 2025 - Super Cup
31 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
17 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
4 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
17 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jul 2025 - Chilean Primera División
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
14 Sept 2025 - Super Cup
31 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
28 Jul 2025 - Chilean Primera División
24 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
20 Jul 2025 - Chilean Primera División
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
18 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Sept 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
24 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
20 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
18 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Sept 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
16 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
20 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
31 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
19 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
U. De Chile vs Alianza Lima Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
U. De Chile against Alianza Lima Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Toselli
DefenderN. Ramirez
I. Tapia
N. Fernandez
D. Retamal
F. Salomoni
A. Diaz
MidfielderI. Poblete
M. Diaz
ForwardL. Fernandez
L. Di Yorio
R. Contreras
A. Campos
DefenderJ. Estrada
M. Huaman
R. Lagos
MidfielderP. Archimbaud
J. Castillo
P. Ceppelini
P. Aquino
P. Guerrero
G. Gentile
K. Quevedo
M. Succar
Most goals and assists
U. De Chile
Alianza Lima
L. Assadi
(5 Goals)
G. Gentile
(5 Goals)
M. Sepulveda
(2 Assists)
,
L. Di Yorio
(2 Assists)
H. Barcos
(2 Assists)
U. De Chile - Alianza Lima Key Points
- Universidad drew two of their last four matches.
- Universidad won just four in their last 11 matches.
- Alianza Lima drew two of their last four matches.
- Five of Alianza Lima’s last eight away continental matches ended in draws.
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Our U. De Chile vs Alianza Lima Prediction
An intense back-and-forth battle in Peru wasn’t enough to dish out a clear advantage in this tie. The two sides face off again, and we expect a tight affair. Historically, the hosts will feel they have the edge, but in reality this looks likely to be defined by fine margins.
Universidad won four times in their last 11 matches and both managed draws in two of their respective four previous matches. With both teams expected to give it a cautious approach, this could head to penalties. Our prediction for Universidad de Chile v Alianza Lima is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis U. De Chile Alianza Lima
| U. De Chile vs Alianza Lima | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| U. De Chile wins | 1.83 | 1.95 | +6.6% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.6 | +10.8% |
| Alianza Lima wins | 4.3 | 4.79 | +11.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- U. De Chile is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 51.3% (-3.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
