Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse will open their Ligue 1 account for the 2026/27 season with a home match against Olympique Lyonnais. Last season Lyon finished fourth, five places ahead of Toulouse. Still, it is Toulouse who claimed the season’s H2H advantage in this encounter, and our prediction is for the hosts here to prevail.
A pair of 2-1 wins saw Toulouse claim a league double against Lyon last season. That stretched their undefeated run in this fixture to three.
Having finished last season unbeaten in four games, Les Violets will be keen on extending not just that run but also their recent dominance against Lyon.
Lyon had their big moments last season, but those definitely didn’t come against Toulouse. Les Gones will be gunning for a first win in four in this fixture.
They do that with one eye on their Champions League qualifier against Fenerbahçe, which comes up in midweek. They drew 1-1 in the first leg, and Lyon will be keen on winning both these matches.
Their last act in the league, however, wasn’t very inspiring as they lost their closing two games. The visitors are also winless in their last three away matches, losing twice.
A run of 15 wins in their last 18 matches against Toulouse should offer some hope for Lyon, though.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Toulouse v Lyon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.7 | 2.47 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.56 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.56 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.56 | 2.39 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Lyon match is: Toulouse wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2026 between Toulouse and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.53% for a win of Toulouse against Lyon with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Lyon is 22.54% with odds of 3.8 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Toulouse with odds of 2.55 at Stake.
Toulouse vs Lyon Form
Toulouse and Lyon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2026 - Champions League
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
4 Aug 2026 - Champions League
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2026 - Champions League
4 Aug 2026 - Champions League
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
Missing players
D. Methalie
MidfielderR. Messali
A. Vossah
N. Tagliafico
MidfielderM. Bidstrup
K. Merah
ForwardP. Sulc
Toulouse - Lyon Key Points
- Lyon lost their last two Ligue 1 matches.
- Toulouse won their last two matches against Lyon.
- Lyon are winless in three away matches, losing twice.
- Toulouse are unbeaten in the last five league opening matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction
Toulouse will take a strong run into this game, looking to pounce on Lyon’s recent struggles on the road. In Lyon’s last three away matches, they are winless, having lost twice. The Ligue 1 giants also finished last season on a low, losing their final two matches to miss an automatic Champions League spot.
Toulouse are also coming into this encounter unbeaten in their last three meetings with Lyon and having won the latest two. Our prediction for Toulouse v Lyon is that Toulouse wins.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Toulouse vs. Lyon game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Toulouse and Lyon? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
