Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Marseille
25/10/2026 12:15
Le Havre

Prediction :

 

Marseille wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Marseille can afford to breathe, as far as Ligue 1 is concerned, having posted improved results lately. After rising to 10th, they are set to face the bottom-placed Le Havre. Back-to-back league wins mean our prediction will favor Marseille, but let’s see why below.

Marseille have to split attention between the Europa League and Ligue 1. As both seemed not to work, Marseille have lately focused on the domestic front.

That will be depicted even better this weekend as they are coming from yet another defeat in Europe. Away to Sturm Graz in midweek, Marseille suffered a third straight UEL defeat.

Now they return to Ligue 1 seeking a third straight win, and it is hard to imagine them dropping points here. Marseille have beaten Le Havre in each of their last six meetings.

Le Havre have managed just one win in the last 15 meetings with Marseille. They’ve been properly dominated in this fixture, and their form coming here won’t be helpful.

In their seven matches in Ligue 1 so far, Le Havre are still chasing their first win. Le Club Doyen are the only ones yet to win a league game this season.

A poor scoring run has been a major part of their problems, with the team managing just five goals so far. In their latest outing, they suffered a 3-1 defeat against Auxerre, making it three straight losses since collecting their second point, against a fellow struggler Angers.                                                                                                          

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Marseille v Le Havre Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.53 4.60 5.40
1xbet
1.60 4.83 5.44
Melbet
1.54 4.64 5.20
Betwinner
1.54 4.64 5.20
22bet
1.54 4.64 5.20
Check all Marseille vs Le Havre odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Le Havre?

Our prediction for the Marseille vs Le Havre match is: Marseille wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2026 between Marseille and Le Havre in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.86% for a win of Marseille against Le Havre with odds of 1.6 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Le Havre is 10.8% with odds of 4.83 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Le Havre vs Marseille with odds of 5.45 at Betsson.

Marseille vs Le Havre Form

Marseille and Le Havre's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Marseille
9 7 3 0 4 +4
18 Le Havre
2 7 0 2 5 -6

Marseille and Le Havre Last Matches

Marseille
Marseille Last matches
L L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
Marseille

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Marseille
0 :  1
Olympiacos

11 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  2
Marseille

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  2
PSG

17 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
4 :  1
Marseille
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Marseille
0 :  1
Olympiacos

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  2
PSG

6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  3
Paris FC

21 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Strasbourg

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
Marseille

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

11 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  2
Marseille

17 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
4 :  1
Marseille

11 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Marseille
Le Havre
Le Havre Last matches
D L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  3
Auxerre

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Le Havre

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  2
Le Havre

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Angers

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  2
Brest

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Le Havre
L W L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  3
Auxerre

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Angers

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  2
Brest

23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Monaco

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Havre
2 :  1
Red Star

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Havre
1 :  2
Amiens SC
W L W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Le Havre

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  2
Le Havre

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Le Havre

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Mans FC
0 :  1
Le Havre

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ipswich Town
1 :  0
Le Havre

17 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
0 :  2
Le Havre

Marseille vs Le Havre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

100 %

Draw

0 %

Le Havre

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
3.33
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Marseille

18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
6 :  2
Le Havre

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  3
Marseille

5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  1
Le Havre

19 May 2024 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  2
Marseille

8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Le Havre
Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction

Marseille vs Le Havre last Lineups

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
J. De Lange
74
K. Bezahaf
18
B. Meite
21
N. Aguerd
25
U. Garcia
42
N. Kamissoko
19
G. Kondogbia
7
A. Gomes
48
K. Abdallah
9
A. Gouiri
11
N. Maupay
25
A. Samatta
9
J. Maja
30
S. Nakamura
7
A. Richardson
26
S. Ebonog
14
R. N'Diaye
97
L. N'Diaye
5
A. Touba
6
J. Mwanga
20
D. Ouziad
93
G. Gallon

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Le Havre

Substitutes

Marseille
Marseille
Goalkeeper

J. Van Neck

I. Gomis

Defender

Emerson

C. Egan-Riley

Midfielder

P. Hojbjerg

A. Harit

H. Abdelli

N. Tocukvu

T. Mmadi

Forward

A. Valero

T. Weah

I. Paixao

Le Havre
Le Havre
Goalkeeper

A. Bodart

Defender

V. Sasso

Midfielder

D. Mosengo

I. Bouneb

G. Zohouri

Forward

E. Koffi Vinette

H. Dongopandji

K. Mizuta

R. Fofana

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

D. Cornelius

Le Havre
Le Havre
Goalkeeper

L. Mpasi

Defender

A. Seko

T. Pembele

E. Jelert

S. Zagadou

Forward

F. Mambimbi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Le Havre
Top Goalscorer
Algeria A. Gouiri (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Tanzania A. Samatta (2 Goals) ,  Ivory Coast R. Fofana (2 Goals)
Best assists
Italy Emerson (2 Assists) , 
USA T. Weah (2 Assists)
Best assists
Mali F. Doucoure (1 Assists) , 
Japan N. Sota (1 Assists) , 
France H. Dongopandji (1 Assists)

Marseille and Le Havre Stats in Ligue 1

Marseille
Marseille
Le Havre
Le Havre
43%
Wins
0%
57%
Losses
71%
0%
Draws
29%
3.43
Average goals per match
2.29
2
Goals scored per match
0.71
1.43
Goals conceded per match
1.57
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
57%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
29%
No goals conceded
14%
43%
BTTS
57%

Marseille - Le Havre Key Points

  1. Marseille have won six straight matches against Le Havre.
  2. Le Havre only won once in 15 matches against Marseille.
  3. Marseille are coming off back-to-back Ligue 1 wins.
  4. Le Havre lost each of their last three Ligue 1 matches.
  5. Le Havre have only won once in 15 away matches.
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Our Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction

Marseille are on the ascendancy, and this match should come with their third straight victory. With a clear struggle to balance between European and Ligue 1 engagements, Les Phocéens seem to have chosen to focus on Ligue 1.

Two straight wins have shot them up the ladder, and going by their record against Le Havre, they should be landing in the top half this weekend. For Le Havre, it has been a tough start, and they are already five points below safety. Our prediction for Marseille v Le Havre is that Marseille wins.   

Prediction :

 

Marseille wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.