Toulouse vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
After back-to-back matches against fellow top-seven opponents, Lille will be traveling to Toulouse in their next Ligue 1 fixture. A good run in recent matches has Lille in fourth, and Toulouse are 10th. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Toulouse are coming right into a storm, facing a side in the midst of a fierce top three battle. Les Violets are going through a tough period of matches, having faced the league leaders PSG last week and lost 3-1.
The last two times Toulouse faced a top four side, it ended in defeat - against PSG and Marseille.
Lille will be feeling confident of extending Toulouse’s poor record against top four sides. Les Dogues recently got eliminated from Europe and have been using the newfound time and space well in Ligue 1.
They won both matches that came after being knocked out, and it wasn’t against just any opponent; both were top four challengers.
After a 2-1 win over Marseille in the run-up to the international break, they made it back-to-back on return. This time it was with a big statement as they trounced second-placed Lens 3-0.
Lille, with a run of four wins in their last five away matches and having beaten Toulouse in the last three meetings, will see this as a very manageable game.
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Toulouse v Lille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3.3 | 2.32 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.2 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.2 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.15 | 2.26 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Lille?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Lille match is: Lille wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Toulouse and Lille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.16% for a win of Toulouse against Lille with odds of 3.44 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Lille is 26.23% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Toulouse with odds of 2.36 at 888Starz.
Toulouse - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 42.61% | 2.36 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 60.27% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Lille/Lille | 17.33% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Toulouse vs Lille Form
Toulouse and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
Toulouse and Lille Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
18 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
Toulouse against Lille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Said Mchindra
K. Haug
DefenderW. Kamanzi
C. Cresswell
M. Sauer
A. Vossah
J. Russell Rowe
S. Hidalgo
J. Vignolo
A. Bodart
DefenderA. Ribeiro
T. Santos
C. Verdonk
C. Mbemba
MidfielderE. Mbappe
A. Bouaddi
G. Perrin
O. Giroud
Missing players
A. Francis
R. Messali
ForwardF. Magri
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
ForwardH. Igamane
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Lille
Y. Gboho
(8 Goals)
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez
(8 Goals)
S. Hidalgo
(5 Assists)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez
(5 Assists)
Toulouse - Lille Key Points
- Lille won their last three meetings with Toulouse.
- Lille have won four of their last five away matches.
- Toulouse lost in their latest two meetings with top-four sides.
- Toulouse have suffered five defeats in the last eight league matches.
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Our Toulouse vs Lille Prediction
The last two times that Toulouse faced off with a side starting this round in the top four, they lost. This is another tough match coming their way, with the hosts having lost five times in the last eight league games.
It doesn’t look so good for Toulouse, especially as Lille are on a purple patch. The visitors have five wins in their last eight league games, having avoided defeat completely in that run. Our prediction for Toulouse v Lille, therefore, is that Lille wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Lille
| Toulouse vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 3.38 | 3.44 | +1.8% |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.4 | -1.7% |
| Lille wins | 2.33 | 2.36 | +1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.9% and is now 42.4% (-0.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Toulouse vs. Lille game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Toulouse and Lille when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
