Toulouse vs Troyes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Toulouse
25/10/2026 12:15
Troyes

Prediction :

 

Toulouse wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Toulouse are looking to extend their unbeaten run to five games when they next host Troyes in Ligue 1. Second-from-bottom Troyes come here winless in five outings, and our prediction backs 12th placed Toulouse to stretch further away.

Toulouse are getting stable after a poor start and having beaten two sides in the bottom three, and they will want to seize this chance too. Les Violets have scored 10 goals in the last four outings.

They will be fired up for this one, with six of those goals having been against teams in the drop zone.

After their emphatic 3-0 win at Le Mans last time out, they have their highest goals tally (12) at this point in Ligue 1 in over three decades. Their ambition is now to keep a second straight clean sheet.

Troyes are coming off a 3-1 defeat against Lens, but even in this loss, they still had something to cheer. They had failed to score since their 6-2 defeat to Strasbourg, going three games without a goal.

The Trojans will have something to build on at least, as they look forward to a second win of their campaign. They hope the wait will not be too long, as they have already recorded five straight defeats since their first win, at Lorient.

A poor away run in Ligue 1 matches threatens to extend the wait. In their latest 13 away topflight matches, Troyes won just once.

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Toulouse v Troyes Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.57 4.30 5.20
1xbet
1.65 4.37 5.49
Melbet
1.60 4.20 5.25
Betwinner
1.60 4.20 5.25
22bet
1.60 4.20 5.25
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Troyes?

Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Troyes match is: Toulouse wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2026 between Toulouse and Troyes in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.52% for a win of Toulouse against Troyes with odds of 1.65 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Troyes is 21.81% with odds of 4.37 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Troyes vs Toulouse with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.

Toulouse vs Troyes Form

Toulouse and Troyes's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12 Toulouse
9 7 2 3 2 +1
17 Troyes
4 7 1 1 5 -11

Toulouse and Troyes Last Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
D L D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

16 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
0 :  3
Toulouse

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  2
Toulouse

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  2
Le Havre

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Toulouse

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse
D W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  2
Le Havre

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  1
Rodez Aveyron Football
W L D D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

16 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
0 :  3
Toulouse

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  2
Toulouse

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Toulouse

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
3 :  0
Toulouse

3 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Toulouse
Troyes
Troyes Last matches
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
1 :  3
Lens

11 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  2
Marseille

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  0
Troyes

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  0
Troyes

6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
2 :  6
Strasbourg

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  2
Troyes
W D D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
1 :  3
Lens

11 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  2
Marseille

6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
2 :  6
Strasbourg

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  0
Paris FC

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Troyes
1 :  1
Panaitolikos Agrinio

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Troyes
5 :  2
FC Goal
L W D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  0
Troyes

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  0
Troyes

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  2
Troyes

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Auxerre
1 :  1
Troyes

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nancy
1 :  3
Troyes

9 May 2026 - Ligue 2

Grenoble Foot
1 :  0
Troyes

Toulouse vs Troyes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Toulouse

50 %

Draw

50 %

Troyes

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

1 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
4 :  1
Troyes

14 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  3
Toulouse

6 Feb 2021 - Ligue 2

Troyes
1 :  1
Toulouse

3 Oct 2020 - Ligue 2

Toulouse
0 :  0
Troyes

27 Jan 2018 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  0
Troyes

9 Sept 2017 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  0
Toulouse
Toulouse vs Troyes Prediction

Toulouse vs Troyes last Lineups

Toulouse

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
G. Restes
22
R. Messali
3
M. McKenzie
2
R. Nicolaisen
12
C. Tape
23
C. Casseres Jr
14
N. Sigur
15
A. Donnum
8
T. Jorgensen
20
C. Tengstedt
13
J. Russell-Rowe
20
R. Ripart
23
T. Nkada
10
M. Ifnaoui
17
A. Mille
29
K. Dermane
8
M. Diop
5
P. Gozzi
4
M. Diaz
6
A. Monfray
2
L. Maronnier
33
P. Beach

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Troyes

Substitutes

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

T. Collin

Defender

S. Koumbassa

I. Diallo

D. Odogu

Midfielder

N. Schmidt

A. Vossah

M. Amougou

Forward

J. Vignolo

S. Hidalgo

Troyes
Troyes
Goalkeeper

H. Konate

Defender

L. Simakha

N. Donkor

Midfielder

A. Philiponeau

I. Gomis

K. Diawara

H. Picard

Forward

J. Le Douaron

C. Batola

Missing players

Toulouse
Toulouse
Troyes
Troyes
Defender

I. Boura

Y. Titi

Forward

A. Ouzenadji

Y. Kone

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Toulouse
CD Huachipato Troyes
Top Goalscorer
Denmark C. Tengstedt (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France R. Ripart (1 Goals) ,  France L. Maronnier (1 Goals) ,  France J. Le Douaron (1 Goals) ,  France A. Mille (1 Goals) ,  France T. Nkada (1 Goals)
Best assists
Venezuela C. Casseres Jr (5 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Mille (1 Assists) , 
France K. Diawara (1 Assists) , 
France A. Ouzenadji (1 Assists) , 
Senegal M. Diop (1 Assists)

Toulouse and Troyes Stats in Ligue 1

Toulouse
Toulouse
Troyes
Troyes
29%
Wins
14%
29%
Losses
71%
43%
Draws
14%
3.29
Average goals per match
3
1.71
Goals scored per match
0.71
1.57
Goals conceded per match
2.29
29%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
71%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
14%
No goals conceded
14%
57%
BTTS
43%

Toulouse - Troyes Key Points

  1. Troyes have one win in their last 13 away Ligue 1 matches.
  2. Troyes have suffered five straight defeats ahead of this game.
  3. Toulouse’s two wins this term were against bottom three sides.
  4. Toulouse have won the last three Ligue 1 home matches against Troyes.
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Our Toulouse vs Troyes Prediction

Toulouse have beaten two bottom-three sides and look set for another victory as they look to move away from the relegation zone. They haven’t lost to Troyes in their last three Ligue 1 home matches against this opponent and have only suffered one defeat in 14 topflight meetings with Troyes.

A lot is set to work against Troyes here; they are not only winless in five games ahead of this but also lost 11 of their 13 away matches in Ligue 1 action. Our prediction for Toulouse v Troyes is that Toulouse wins.

Prediction :

 

Toulouse wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.