Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Miami
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Miami Predictions
Unseeded Raphael Collignon has made it past round one of an ATP Tour event for only the second time this year. Round three of the outdoor hard court MiamI Open sees him face 22nd seed Tommy Paul. Read our match prediction below.
Tommy Paul reached round four of this Sunshine Swing Masters tournament three years ago. He also made it to this stage last year but had a few problems in his second round match.
The American had to go to three sets to get past Adrian Mannarino. That took his 2026 record on this surface to 11-5 with a final reached in Delray Beach and a semi-final in Adelaide. Paul is now 23rd in the live rankings.
Raphael Collignon is making his debut in the Miami Open. He's won one title this year but that was in Pau on the Challenger Tour. He's struggled on the main ATP Tour since a run to the last eight in Brisbane two months ago.
He's also had to play a deciding set this week. That was in round one when he beat Grigor Dimitrov. It was smoother progress in round two as he beat Flavio Cobolli in straight sets and is now 65th in the live rankings.
We tip more than 21.5 games to be played in this match.
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Tommy Paul v Raphael Collignon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 3.09 |
|
|
1.4 | 2.94 |
|
|
1.4 | 3 |
|
|
1.36 | 2.92 |
|
|
1.36 | 2.92 |
|
Who will win the Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon game on 22/03/2026 of the current ATP Miami season:
- Tommy Paul has a 56.3% chance to win against Raphael Collignon according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.4.
- Raphael Collignon has a 43.7% probability of winning facing Tommy Paul ⭐ with odds of 3.09 at Melbet.
Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tommy Paul has a 56.3 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | 56.3 % |
| Raphael Collignon | 43.7 % |
Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Form
Tommy Paul and Raphael Collignon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
8 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
22 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
21 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
20 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
4 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon Key Points
- More than 21.5 games have been played in eight of Paul's last 12 matches.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Paul has played at least one in six of his last eight completed Miami Open matches.
- Six of the last eight matches played by Collignon have seen more than 21.5 games played.
- At least one 7-5 or 7-6 sets have have been played in nine of Collignon's 11 matches. Two saw a couple of tie-breaks played, including his first round match here.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Prediction
Both of these players had success in Australia earlier this year. Now they are going well in Miami, particularly Raphael Collignon who has reached round three on his debut here. He had to play two tie-breaks in round one and a side bet on one here could well win.
Tommy Paul has reached one ATP Tour final on this surface in 2026. He struggled to get past Adrian Mannarino in his opening match. Our Tommy Paul v Raphael Collignon prediction is more than 21.5 games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
