Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Vienna
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Can unseeded Matteo Berrettini end Alex de Minaur's 100 percent indoor hard court record? The fifth seed has won all eight of his matches played on this surface in 2026. He beat Berrettini in this tournament last year and our prediction is he will win this in straight sets.
The winner be up against either top seed Alexander Zverev or unseeded Arthur Fery in the semi-finals.
Alex de Minaur won the indoor hard court tournament played in Rotterdam earlier this year. The Australian is tenth in the live rankings and ninth in the ATP Live Race. A win here will boost his chances of making it into the end-of-season Tour Finals.
This week has seen him beat Tomas Machac in three and then Learner Tien in straight sets.
He leads Berrettini 1-0 on this surface and is 3-3 overall. All his wins have come without dropping a set.
Two of Berrettini's three wins have come on grass. He is in his third ATP Tour quarter-final of the year, but the other two were achieved in clay court tournaments.
Recent form has seen the Italian lose three of his last four matches. This week has seen him defeat Tomas Martin Etcheverry in straight sets.
In round two, he beat fourth seed Flavio Cobolli who retired when 5-2 down in set one.
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Matteo Berrettini v Alex De Minaur Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.80 | 1.43 |
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2.88 | 1.44 |
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2.85 | 1.43 |
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2.85 | 1.43 |
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|
2.77 | 1.45 |
|
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Who will win the Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alex de Minaur wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur game on 30/10/2026 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Matteo Berrettini has a 40.76% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.95.
- Alex De Minaur has a 59.24% probability of winning facing Matteo Berrettini ⭐ with odds of 1.45 at 22bet.
Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Berrettini has a 40.76 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | 40.76 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 59.24 % |
Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Form
Matteo Berrettini and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
20 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
7 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
26 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
15 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
13 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
11 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
25 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
7 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
19 Jun 2021 - ATP London - Queen's
Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- De Minaur beat Berrettini in straight sets in this tournament last year.
- De Minaur has won one indoor hard court title in 2026.
- De Minaur has won all eight of his indoor hard court matches this year,
- Berrettini is is his first non-clay ATP Tour quarter-final of the year.
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Our Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Fifth seed Alex de Minaur will attempt to win a ninth straight indoor hard court match of the year. He's yet to lose on this surface in 2026 and has already lifted one indoor hard court tournament this year. He beat Berrettini in straight sets in this tournament in 2025.
Matteo Berrettini has reached two ATP Tour quarter-finals this year, but on clay. He has won two matches so far this week, ending a poor run of form. His last match only lasted seven games. Our Matteo Berrettini v Alex de Minaur prediction is Alex de Minaur wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
