Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
by Joseph King | in ATP Indian Wells Prediction
A semi-final matchup in the ATP Indian Wells Open sees fourth-seeded Daniil Medvedev taking on the 17th seed in American Tommy Paul. The winner of this match will advance to the final to take on either Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner.
Medvedev, who is currently ranked fourth in the official ATP rankings, was able to overcome young Dane Holger Rune in straight sets in the quarter-finals with a score of 7-5, 6-4 to advance to his third straight semi-final in his three events played in 2024. A win here would see the 28-year-old in his second final of the year, setting up a potential rematch with the man who bested him for the Australian Open crown in January in Jannik Sinner. Medvedev has lost only twice in the current ATP season en route to a 13-2 record, all of which have come on hard court surfaces. The controversial Russian pro comes into this final four showdown riding a four match winning streak and having dropped only a single set in the Indian Wells Open this year.
Tommy Paul comes into this matchup looking to make his second final of the 2024 season. The 26-year-old was crowned champion at the Dallas Open in February, defeating fellow American Marcos Giron 2-1 in the final for his first competition win of the year. He would see a disappointing follow up in Mexico however, after he was bounced 6-0, 6-4 by 37th-ranked Jack Draper in the first round. It wasn’t the first concerning defeat Paul had suffered in 2024 after again being eliminated by Draper in another tournament earlier in the year as well as his third-round loss to 47th-ranked Miomir Kecmanovic in the Australian Open. On the whole, Paul has a record of 14-4 on the year, which drops to 10-4 on outdoor hard courts.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tommy Paul v Daniil Medvedev Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.2 | 1.33 |
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3.33 | 1.34 |
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3.33 | 1.34 |
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3.4 | 1.32 |
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Who will win the Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev game on 3/16/24 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Tommy Paul has a 33.55% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 3.4.
- Daniil Medvedev has a 66.45% probability of winning facing Tommy Paul ⭐ with odds of 1.34 at 1xbet.
Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tommy Paul has a 33.55 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Tommy Paul | 33.55 % |
Daniil Medvedev | 66.45 % |
Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Tommy Paul and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
14 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
13 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
11 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
26 Feb 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open
19 Feb 2024 - ATP Delray Beach Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
14 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
13 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
11 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
10 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
1 Mar 2024 - ATP Dubai Open
29 Feb 2024 - ATP Dubai Open
Tommy Paul against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)
29 Sep 2023 - Beijing, China
Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Medvedev has an accumulated +18 game differential against his opponents in his four matches this tournament, covering a -3.5 spread in three.
- Paul hasn't fared well against Medvedev in his career, losing both of their matchups including the most recent (2023 Beijing) 6-2, 6-1 on a hard court surface.
- In his two matches against Tommy Paul, Daniil Medvedev has outscored his opponent by a total games tally of 30-14, covering a -3.5 spread in both contests.
- Medvedev has a career winning percentage of 76.11% on hard courts (239 wins, 75 losses) while Paul comes in at 64.31% (209 wins, 116 losses).
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Our Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
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