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2024 Masters Indian Wells Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Indian Wells prediction on the final winner, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches of the BNP Paribas Open 2024. All the information you need for your sports betting!

Masters 1000 Indian Wells: Presentation & Predictions

Indian Wells Predictions

The 2024 Indian Wells is sure to be an action-packed tournament, providing plenty of excitement for your sports bets! Held from 6 to 17 March 2024 in California, the Masters 1000, also known as the BNP Paribas Open, promises some great duels on the ten hard courts. After Carlos Alcaraz's triumph in 2023, who will take the trophy this time around? Have you got an idea? Place your bets with our tennis predictions

Tournament Details

  • Venue: Indian Wells, California (United States)
  • The dates : From 6 to 17 March 2024
  • The surface : Hard
  • Prize Money: $11,918,990
  • The last winner: Carlos Alcaraz (Spain)

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Prediction on the winner: who will win Indian Wells?

Indian Wells Winner Betting Tips

Novak Djokovic is making his comeback at Indian Wells, having not played in the tournament since 2019! He will be joined by the defending champion and main rival for the title in world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz, as well as other threats such as Jannik Sinner, Daniil Medvedev and the winner of Indian Wells 2022: the American Taylor Fritz. We should also see the legendary Rafa Nadal take to the courts after missing the Australian Open with a hip problem.

The battle promises to be fierce again this year with all of these top athletes presenting a viable case as to why they could be crowned champion. For our part, we're still counting on Carlos Alcaraz to win at Indian Wells 2024. Despite picking up what was reported as a slight ankle injury in Rio, the 20-year-old had stated that he just needed a week off and he should be good to go for this event. Winner in 2023 and semi-finalist in 2022, this tournament suits him well, and he could once again work wonders on the American continent. The Spaniard is dominant on hard courts, posting a 77.5% career winning percentage on the surface. Our Indian Wells prediction: Alcaraz to win.

Indian Wells 2024 prediction: odds for the title

Here are the top 25 favorites ahead of the first round of play:

  • Novak Djokovic - 2.75
  • Jannik Sinner - 4.00
  • Carlos Alcaraz - 5.00
  • Daniil Medvedev - 8.50
  • Alex De Minaur - 26.00
  • Alexander Zverev - 26.00
  • Taylor Fritz - 41.00
  • Rafa Nadal - 41.00
  • Andrey Rublev - 41.00
  • Casper Ruud - 41.00
  • Ben Shelton - 41.00
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas - 41.00
  • Ugo Humbert - 51.00
  • Hubert Hurkacz - 51.00
  • Holger Rune - 51.00
  • Grigor Dimitrov - 67.00
  • Karen Khachanov - 67.00
  • Tommy Paul - 67.00
  • Sebastian Korda - 81.00
  • Felix Auger Aliassime - 101.00
  • Frances Tiafoe - 101.00
  • Jack Draper - 151.00
  • Nicolas Jarry - 151.00
  • Jiri Lehecka - 151.00
  • Cameron Norrie - 151.00

 Odds taken from Bet365

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Our tips for betting on Indian Wells in 2024

Sports betting tips - Indian Wells - Tennis

Do you want to make the best possible predictions for Indian Wells matches in 2024? Here are our top tips. Our tennis experts recommend that you apply them to your betting process for best results. They could well make the difference between winning and losing at the bookmakers:

  • Analyse the players’ form
  • Take court type into account
  • Study the head-to-head history the two players
  • Look at players’ past results at Indian Wells

Continue reading below to find below to find additional information on each bullet point: 

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Analyse the players' form 

There's no secret: the first tip is to analyse the form of the two players on the court. Take the time to consult the latest performances recorded by each player, both in terms of content and results. If, for example, a player has just won 5 matches without dropping a set, you can be sure that it would be better to avoid making predictions against him. And vice versa.

Take court type into account

The second important factor is the playing surface. In tennis, and especially at this level, the surface on which the match is played has a major influence on the results. A player with a good serve, for example, can shine on hard courts given the fast nature at which the ball travels, while a good defensive player will be relatively comfortable on clay. At Indian Wells, the hard court surface is used. Ideal for all-rounders and power players, it allows for exchanges that are both technical and fast.

Study the head-to-head history of the two players

Another important point is not to forget to look at the history of duels between the two players involved in your sports bet. Psychology is very important in tennis, and a player who has lost 3 times to his opponent in the same season may be suffering from an inferiority complex. Take a look at the results of recent duels played on the same surface as the one used at Indian Wells (Hard), as this will bring you closer to a more accurate prediction.

Look at players’ past results at Indian Wells

Fourth tip: don't forget to look at the players' recent performances in the tournament. For example, if a player has reached two semi-finals in a row at Indian Wells, you can be sure that he will be one to watch again this season. On the other hand, if a player has never made it past the third round despite his talent, it might be wise not to predict his victory. A player's affection for a tournament often plays an important role.

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The statistics to know for your Indian Wells predictions

Indian Wells Free Predictions

To make the best possible predictions for the 2024 Indian Wells tournament, it's useful to know the latest statistics recorded for the event. We’ve compiled the data from the 2023 edition which can point you in the right direction as to what to expect this year. Here are the most notable ones:

  • Average number of games per match: 21.8 games
  • Two-set matches: 75%.
  • Three-set matches: 25%.
  • Matches in which the winner won the 1st set: 87%.
  • Matches with a golden set (6-0): 5%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 20%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 13%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 4% (17% of 3-set matches)

Among other things, an interesting type of bet for the tournament looks to be on matches that will finish in two sets. Assuming the odds are attractive enough, this bet is useful for when you think that a player will win in style, and therefore without conceding a set (almost 8 out of 10 matches last year). Additionally, utilizing the live betting platform for bets in which the player won the first set looks to be a play that will pay out at a high percentage (almost 9 out of 10 matches in 2023). With a bit of luck (of course, nothing is guaranteed), you can look forward to some nice winnings over the course of this two-week event. 

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In short: how do you make good predictions for Indian Wells?

When making your predictions for Indian Wells 2024, keep in mind the format of the competition, the statistics presented and the history of head-to-head meetings between the players.

Remember that this is a tournament played on a fast surface, which some players may not like. For this first Masters 1000 of the year, take all these aspects into account and think carefully before placing your bet on a sports betting site. Happy betting on Indian Wells!

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Our betting tips on upcoming Indian Wells matches

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Indian Wells : best odds to bet

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