Lions vs Dragons Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Lions
18/01/2025 10:15
Dragons

Prediction :

 

Lions -15.5

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Ellis Park Stadium will be buzzing with energy this Saturday afternoon when Lions host Dragons in round four of the EPCR Challenge Cup. With five points each in Pool 2, Lions currently occupy fifth position while Dragons are in fourth. Let's get into the match prediction. 

Unable to build on their 43-35 victory over Section Paloise, Lions suffered a second loss in this competition with a 28-5 dismantling at the hands of Montpellier this past week.

With four defeats from their last five matches, the South African outfit will need an urgent turn of fortune if they hope to find any success in the cross-border cup competitions.

However, on home soil, they have been in dominant form with five consecutive victories and a minimum of 30 points scored per match coming into this one. 

Meanwhile, the Dragons also recorded their second defeat in this competition after Section Paloise comfortably saw them off 24-15 in last weekend’s round of matches.

With just a single victory from their last 11 matches, the Dragons will need to find a different attacking approach as they have failed to score above 30 points in over a year.

A similar trend is noted when on the road, as they have managed only one win in over a year against a similarly underperforming Newcastle Falcons. 

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Lions vs Dragons Form

Lions and Dragons Last Matches

Lions
Lions Last matches
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
28 :  5
Lions

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Lions
43 :  35
Section Paloise

8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
30 :  14
Lions

6 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Benetton Treviso
27 :  17
Lions

21 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Lions
28 :  38
Ospreys

13 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
13 :  3
Lions
W W L W
Wins

3/4 (75%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Losses

1/4 (25%)

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Lions
43 :  35
Section Paloise

21 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Lions
28 :  38
Ospreys

16 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Lions
35 :  13
Newcastle Red Bulls

1 Apr 2023 - Challenge Cup

Lions
51 :  28
Racing 92
W L L L L
Wins

1/5 (20%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Losses

4/5 (80%)

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
28 :  5
Lions

8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
30 :  14
Lions

6 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Benetton Treviso
27 :  17
Lions

13 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
13 :  3
Lions

10 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

USA Perpignan
12 :  28
Lions
Dragons
Dragons Last matches
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

12 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Dragons
15 :  24
Section Paloise

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Newcastle Red Bulls
14 :  22
Dragons

6 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Dragons
14 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

21 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Dragons
9 :  29
Hollywoodbets Sharks

16 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
24 :  21
Dragons

9 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Dragons
24 :  7
US Oyonnax
W L L L
Wins

1/4 (25%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Losses

3/4 (75%)

12 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Dragons
15 :  24
Section Paloise

6 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Dragons
14 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

21 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Dragons
9 :  29
Hollywoodbets Sharks

9 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Dragons
24 :  7
US Oyonnax
L W
Wins

1/2 (50%)

Draw

0/2 (0%)

Losses

1/2 (50%)

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Newcastle Red Bulls
14 :  22
Dragons

16 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
24 :  21
Dragons

Players list

Lions
Lions
S. Mahashe R. Kriel A. Davids P. Botha D. Landsberg F. Horn E. Cronjé R. Nothnagel H. Van Wyk Q. Horn N. Steyn B. Hlekani S. Kotze C. Smith S. Lombard
Dragons
Dragons
S. Davies A. O'Brien O. Jones D. Lewis R. Dyer M. De Beer N. Armstrong R. Woodman D. Richards F. Inisi B. Carter B. Coghlan A. Owen A. Wainwright T. Young

Substitutes

Lions
Lions
S. Qoma R. Jonker E. Davids H. Pead R. Schoeman J. Pretorius R. Delport F. Marais
Dragons
Dragons
H. Anderson C. Coleman H. Keddie E. Dee R. Jones R. Williams L. Douglas H. Ackerman

Lions - Dragons Key Points

  1. Lions have won five consecutive home matches across all competitions.
  2. Lions have won their last five home matches with a difference of over 10 points.
  3. Lions have never lost to Dragons in their six meetings to date.
  4. Dragons have lost nine of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
  5. Dragons have only won one away game in the last year.
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Our Lions vs Dragons Prediction

On home soil, the Lions will look to take full advantage of a rowdy Ellis Park crowd, while also exploiting the unimpressive form that the Dragons bring with them. 

With this in mind, we feel that the Lions will comfortably see off their points-shy challengers and record their second win in the competition by a fairly sizable margin this weekend. Our Lions vs Dragons prediction is Lions -15.5.

Prediction :

 

Lions -15.5

 
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Lions vs Dragons Prediction