2025 US Open Predictions & Betting tips
Find our free US Open prediction on the final winner, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches in the American Grand Slam 2025 tennis tournament. All the information you need for your sports betting!
US Open - Presentation and predictions for the 2025 tournament (Tennis)
Ready to make your US Open tennis predictions? The SportyTrader editorial team is! From 24 August to 7 September 2025, our tennis experts will be providing their best analyses of the final Grand Slam of the season, as well as revealing their advice on how to place the best bets with the bookmakers.
Who will succeed Jannik Sinner on the Flushing Meadows courts? Which sports bets should be favoured during the American fortnight? Who are the favourites for the US Open? We tell you everything on this page! Your tennis betting is in for a treat at this 2025 edition of the US Open.
Tournament details
- Venue: Flushing Meadows, New York, United States
- Dates: From 24 August to 7 September 2025
- Playing surface: Hard (outdoor)
- Prize Money: $75M
- The last winner: Jannik Sinner
US Open prediction: Who will win the tournament in 2025?
Jannik Sinner is defending his title at the US Open 2025! As brilliant as ever this season, the current world number 1 is sweeping all before him. Winner of Wimbledon and the Australian Open and a finalist at Roland Garros, Sinner is the most dangerous player at this season's Grand Slams. As you will have gathered, our specialists are making the Italian their favourite in New York.
Djokovic, who won here in 2023, is likely to suffer physically with the back-to-back matches. For his part, Alcaraz should be Sinner's main threat, but the Spaniard is less flamboyant on hard court, having not won a Grand Slam on the surface since winning the US Open in 2022. We therefore see Sinner, who has won the last 3 Grand Slams played on hard court, retaining his trophy. Our US Open 2025 prediction: Jannik Sinner wins!
US Open prediction: ATP odds on the title
- Jannik Sinner - 1.75
- Carlos Alcaraz - 2.15
Odds taken from Bet365. In September 2025, this site is undoubtedly one of the best for betting on women's tennis. The odds on offer are good, and there is even a welcome bonus for newcomers. SportyTrader recommends you give them a try without hesitation!
Women's US Open prediction: Who will win the WTA tournament in 2025?
As with the men's event, the WTA draw is particularly open, so it's bound to be interesting to follow the women's action this year. Aryna Sabalenka, the defending champion, faces some tough opposition at this year's Women's US Open.
Nevertheless, she remains one of the main favourites to win in 2025.
Her main rivals are none other than Iga Swiatek (who is seeking her third Grand Slam title of the year) and Coco Gauff, the latter of whom can count on the support of the American public. But given her form and her strong performances on hard courts, Sabalenka is likely to be difficult to stop at the Women's US Open. After her title in Miami at the start of the year, the world number 1 could well excel once again on American territory. Our US Open WTA prediction: Sabalenka wins!
US Open 2025: statistics you need to know
Now that you know the experts’ predictions for the 2025 US Open, let's talk about the key statistics for the American tournament. To bet on the US Open, you need to know the key figures for the fortnight, which will give you a clear indication of which tennis bets to favour.
Here are the main US Open statistics you need to know, as compiled by our tennis tipsters. Be sure to keep them handy!
- Average number of games per match: 35.3 games
- Three-set matches: 50%
- Four-set matches: 34%
- Five-set matches: 16%
- Matches in which the winner won the 1st set: 77%
- Matches with a comeback (0-2 / 3-2): 4%
- Matches where there was a bagel (6-0): 8%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 17%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 15%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 11%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 4th set: 8%
For your bets on this highly-anticipated New York based tournament in 2025, remember that it is preferable to bet on matches to have a high number of games. It’s also useful to bet live on the success of the player who won the first set. There's no guarantee, of course, but it could make a real difference to your bottom line.
How to make good predictions for the US Open?
The US Open is the last Grand Slam tournament of the tennis calendar year. After the Australian Open, Roland Garros and Wimbledon, the American tournament brings together the best male and female players on the planet for an event that is widely covered by the world's media.
With its legendary track record (Nadal, Djokovic, Federer of course, but also Murray, Sampras, Agassi, Edberg, Becker, Lendl, McEnroe and Ashe), its entertaining game and its decisive role in qualifying for the ATP and WTA Finals at the end of the season, the US Open attracts all types of tennis fans, and particularly punters. Once again this year, many of you are likely to try a bet or two on the competition. To help you succeed, here are the main tips from our team of specialists.
Check the players' form
The first thing you need to do to make a good prediction for a US Open tennis match is, of course, to check the form of the two players that are up against each other. Above all, don't fall into the trap of the big names! Placed just after the gruelling Rogers Cup and Cincinnati Masters in the calendar, the US Open puts the various athletes taking part to the test.
If you were only thinking of betting by looking at the ATP rankings or the notoriety of the two players, forget it. What you really need to do is look at the latest results recorded by both players, as well as a few statistics such as the number of winning points scored in recent matches, the number of service games conceded and the number of break/set/match balls missed. This will give you a good idea of the physical and mental state of both players.
Taking the playing surface into account
The US Open is a tournament played on hard courts (hard surface) as well as taking place outdoors. Take this into account when analysing your matches. Don't forget that every player has a preference for a particular playing surface. How can we forget Jannik Sinner on hard courts, or Roger Federer on grass in his heyday?
For reliable betting in 2025, go for tennis players who are used to shining on hard courts. This is a surface where the game is fairly fast and intense, so fitness is of the utmost importance. For example, avoid betting on a player who has only achieved good results on grass or clay this season. This could mislead you.
Look at the history of head-to-head matches
In tennis, as in any other individual sport, mental attitude and psychology play a big part in performance. So it's important to know which player has the psychological edge before predicting a US Open match. Even if a player is positioned higher than another in the ATP Ranking and has had a more convincing previous match, you will want to avoid betting on a victory if he has lost 4 times in a row to his opponent.
Every player has strengths and weaknesses, so it's not unusual to find a 'bête noire' for every player on the circuit. So take the time to check out the latest head-to-head meetings between the two players who are about to face each other, as this will increase the reliability of your US Open prediction.
Observe recent US Open performances
In the same vein as the previous tip, we'd also advise you to check the latest US Open performances on both sides of the court. As with an opponent or a surface, every player has their favourite tournaments to play throughout the year, as well as others that they may like much less comparativley. Examples include the Australian Open and the Miami Masters 1000 for Novak Djokovic, or Wimbledon and the Cincinnati Masters 1000 for legend Roger Federer in his heyday.
To make a successful tennis prediction, take the time to check each player's performance at the last US Open, or even the last 2-3 editions. If, for example, a player is ranked 30 places higher than his opponent on the day but has never made it past the second round at Flushing Meadows, don't bet big on him. All players have their tennis habits, never forget that.
Keep the ATP rankings in mind
Finally, as a fifth piece of advice, we would ask you to keep the ATP rankings and the Live Race in mind when making your predictions for a US Open 2025 match. Remember, in fact, that a player has to match his performance from the previous year if he doesn't want to lose points, or do better if he wants to win points.
If a player is aiming for qualification for the Nitto ATP Finals, a place in the Top 3, his best career ranking or simply the number 1 spot in his country, you can be sure that he will be motivated to beat his opponent on the day. Motivation helps, and that's why he'll be the best bet for your US Open prediction. On the other hand, if a player is not aiming for anything special and is playing the tournament for fun, don't bet too much on his performance. Involvement counts for a lot in the outcome of a tennis match.
In short: how do you make a good prediction about the US Open in 2025?
There's no secret to making reliable predictions on this year's US Open. As well as consulting the tennis predictions of our specialists, take the time to analyse each match before placing your bet.
Whether we're talking about statistics, the current form of the players or the mental environment of the match, many factors can influence the success of your tennis bets (see above). So work ahead of each bet, and you can only increase your chances of winning. That's how SportyTrader's tennis tipsters see it.
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