Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP French Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP French Open Predictions
Another seed is in danger of an early exit at Roland Garros. 29th seed Tallon Griekspoor is up against unseeded Matteo Arnaldi in the first round of this outdoor clay court Grand Slam. Griekspoor has been struggling for wins and our prediction is Arnaldi will reach round two.
The winner of this match will take on either former finalist Stefanos Tsitsipas or Alexandre Muller next.
Tallon Griekspoor has only won three of the nine clay court matches he has played in 2026. The Dutchman's best performance on this surface has come on the Challenger Tour with a semi-final in Bordeaux. On the ATP Tour, he made it to round three in Madrid but lost in the opening two rounds in four other events.
Five of his last six ATP Tour clay court matches have been lost and he is 33rd in the live rankings.
That's 71 places above Arnaldi but his Italian opponent has an 8-6 record on clay this year. His best tournament of the year was also on the Challenger Tour as he won the event held in Cagliari. Wins that week came against Hubert Hurkacz and Nuno Borges. He also made it to the third round of the ATP Rome Italian Open.
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Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.18 | 1.68 |
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2.1 | 1.74 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.1 | 1.65 |
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2.12 | 1.66 |
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Who will win the Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi match is: Matteo Arnaldi wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi game on 26/05/2026 of the current ATP French Open season:
- Tallon Griekspoor has a 39.5% chance to win against Matteo Arnaldi according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.18.
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 60.5% probability of winning facing Tallon Griekspoor ⭐ with odds of 1.75 at Betsson.
Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tallon Griekspoor has a 39.5 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | 39.5 % |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 60.5 % |
Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Form
Tallon Griekspoor and Matteo Arnaldi Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
5 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
2 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
6 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
20 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
11 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Tallon Griekspoor - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points
- Arnaldi has won eight of his 14 clay court matches this year.
- 2026 has seen Griekspoor lose six of his nine matches played on clay.
- Arnaldi has won one Challenger Tour clay court title in 2026.
- Griekspoor has lost five of his last six ATP Tour clay court matches.
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Our Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction
Tallon Griekspoor has never lost in the first round at Roland Garros but that may well change this week. The Dutchman has been struggling for wins with only three out of nine on clay being won this year. Just one of his last six on the main tour has produced a victory.
Like his opponent, Matteo Arnaldi has a best of a fourth round at Roland Garros. He has won one Challenger Tour clay court title this year and recently took a set off Rafael Jodar in Rome. Our Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi prediction is Matteo Arnaldi wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.