Roland Garros Betting Tips
Find our free predictions on the winner of Roland Garros, as well as our experts forecasts on all the matches of the 2021 French Open. Full information for your sports bets!
2021 French Open at Roland Garros
We're back to usual with the French Open this year. It's the second Grand Slam of the year and taking place from late May to mid-June. Far better than last year when players were freezing in October. Rafael Nadal is the defending champion (as is often the case) and he will be bidding to win the title at Roland Garros for the 14th time. He faces some tough opposition though with players such as Novak Djokovic, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Andrey Rublev and Dominic Thiem all out to dethrone the King of Clay. Look out for some new kids on the block too with Jannik Sinner and Aslan Karatsev in particular looking dangerous.
At least this year there will be tennis fans in attendance, cheering on their favourite players. Nowhere near a full capacity for the early rounds but it's hoped that for the latter stages there will be up to 5000 fans in attendance. But who will they see winning the men's singles? Our tipsters will be previewing plenty of matches, including every one from the last eight onwards. Hopefully, their expert advice will provide you with plenty of winners.
Expert Advice for your Roland Garros Predictions
It was 16 years ago that Rafael Nadal first won the French Open. Since that first triumph, only in 2009, 2015 and 2016 has Nadal not won this title. 2020 wasn't an unlucky one for the Spaniard as he won his 13th title, despite hating the cold conditions. He won the French Open title for a fourth year in a row. This year will see him attempt to win five successive titles for the second time, an incredible feat.
It's the clay surface that is so important in this tournament. Although the seedings are based on world rankings, they don't entirely reflect the ability of the players to perform well in this tournament. Hence the fact that it is Novak Djokovic, not Rafael Nadal who will be the top seed for Roland Garros this year. When you look at who should be backed in this event, take a good look at how each player performs on clay. A player who is better on grass may well struggle on the clay.
Remember also, that this is a Grand Slam event and therefore contested over the best of five sets in the men's singles. Players who do well in the usual three set games may well find it harder to get a win over this longer format. The fitness of players will be greatly tested in this event. If you hear any rumours of players carrying injuries, take that into account before placing any bets on matches in the French Open.
Statistics are important when making your predictions for this or any tennis tournament. Last year was a good one for favourites from the last 16 onwards. The last 15 matches of the 2020 French Open saw more than 86% of them being won by the higher seeded player. That's not to say that there will be upsets in this tournament. There are 32 seeds but the chances of them all making it to the third round is pretty much zero. There are some dangerous lower ranked players out there and some of the 32 seeds won't be entirely at home on this surface.
From the last 16, just over 60% of matches were won in straight sets, that's compared to 26% for a three sets to one win and 13% going to the final set. Take those facts to heart when making bets on how many sets there will be in a match.
How to make good Roland Garros predictions
Current form is very important when deciding just who is going to be the winner. The French Open is the climax of the European Clay Court season. The past month or so has seen major tournaments taking place around Europe. This includes tournaments in Monte Carlo, Madrid, Barcelona and Madrid, all contested by the very best players in the world. Look at how these events have progressed. The big winners were:
- Monte Carlo: Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Barcelona: Rafael Nadal
- Madrid: Alexander Zverev
- Rome: Rafael Nadal
You'll see therefore that Rafael Nadal has not had it all his way on the way to Roland Garros. He has been beaten by both Andrey Rublev and Alexander Zverev on clay this year. Novak Djokovic was beaten by Nadal in the final of the Rome Masters and has also lost to Daniel Evans and Aslan Karatsev. He'll need to up his game to be in contention in Paris. Players such as Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev have shown great consistency this year. Tstitsipas won in Monte Carlo, lost to Nadal in the Barcelona final and recently won a clay court tournament in Lyon. He will be a major threat in this event. Alexander Zverev had a big win over Rafael Nadal in Madrid (avenged by the Spaniard in Rome) and is another major threat.
Look for the players who may cause upsets. Britain has had a good degree of success in the current clay court season. Cameron Norrie reached the final in Lyon and Dan Evans beat Novak Djokovic in Monte Carlo. Casper Ruud is another player who no one will fancy playing in this tournament. He's won in Geneva, made the semi-final in Madrid (beating Tsitsipas), Monte Carlo and Munich. Then there are the players who aren't in such great form. Dominic Thiem has an excellent record here but he comes into this tournament in poor form and has not beaten a top ten player all year. One to back against if up against a highly ranked player.
When players meet in this tournament, it is important to look at their head-to-head records. Pay great attention to previous matches on clay to see who has been getting the wins on this surface. Such statistics can be so helpful and there are plenty of them online. All our previews will include plenty of statistical information, all aimed at getting you some good wins. A good source of information is the number of ranking points each player has earned this calendar year.
Don't just focus on who is going to win the title at Roland Garos. This is a two-week tournament and so many matches to be played. Research all the players, it really doesn't take that long to do. Backing a winner in the last 128 is just as important as deciding who is going to win the final. Remember that you can bet each way, backing someone like Sinner or Ruud to win would see you get a good win simply by reaching the final.
Look at the Seedings and the Draw
Rafael Nadal is the undoubted King of Clay but he's not the number one seed at Roland Garros. He's not even the second seed because the seedings are worked out on world rankings. Nadal is the world number three, so he's the third seed in this tournament. That changes everything in this event. You see, Nadal's seeded semi-final opponent is Novak Djokocic, they cannot meet in the final. Also in the top half of the draw is Roger Federer and Andrey Rublev. Nadal is seeded to face Rublev in the last eight and the Russian recently beat him in Monte Carlo on clay. Federer is not the force he was but he is the seeded opponent for Novak Djokovic in the last eight.
With Nadal, Djokovic, Rublev and Federer in the top half or the draw, the bottom half isn't so powerful. Daniil Medvedev is the second seed and that is one of the biggest jokes of all time. He hates clay and has never made it past the first round at Roland Garros. He has only played one clay court tournament this year and lost in the last 16. Medvedev has only ever reached one ATP Main Tour final, Madrid two years ago. So who is likely to win the bottom half of the draw? It looks like being between Stefanos Tsitsipas, Dominic Thiem, Casper Ruud and Alexander Zverev. Tsitsipas is scheduled to take on Medvedev in the last eight, if the number two seed gets that far. Thiem has not had a good year and could face dangerous Casper Ruud in the last 16. If Thiem does get to the last eight, it's likely to be Alexander Zverev facing him. Zverev won the title in Madrid this year, beating Nadal and Thiem that week so is a major contender here.
Top Ten Seeds
- Novak Djokovic
- Daniil Medvedev
- Rafael Nadal
- Dominic Thiem
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Alexander Zverev
- Andrey Rublev
- Roger Federer
- Matteo Berrettini
- Diego Schwartzmann
Seeded Last Eight
- Novak Djokovic v Roger Federer
- Rafael Nadal v Andrey Rublev
- Alexander Zverev v Dominic Thiem
- Stefanos Tsitsipas v Daniil Medvedev
Our Free Prediction for Roland Garros 2021
Just who will win the French Open this year? Rafael Nadal is of course the favourite and over five sets, he is incredibly difficult to beat on clay. While he is still in the tournament, he is the most likely winner. It may not be an easy title defence though for the Spaniard. As mentioned, there are some dangerous players out there. Rublev and Zverev have beaten him on clay this season, it'll be interesting to see just how the draw pans out. Novak Djokovic has not been at his best on clay so far this summer. He tends to up his game when it's Grand Slam time and he'd love to win this and be halfway to winning all four Grand Slam events in a year.
It's a big event for Nadal as he shares the record of 20 career Grand Slam wins. A win here will take him clear but we haven't mentioned Roger Federer yet. He shares that record with Nadal but his comeback from injury hasn't gone too well so far. Could there be one last win? Probably not.
Latest 2021 French Open betting odds
- Rafael Nadal - 5/6
- Novak Djokovic - 10/3
- Stefanos Tsitsipas - 33/5
- Dominic Thiem - 39/5
- Alexander Zverev - 16/1
- Andrey Rublev - 18/1
- Daniil Medvedev - 22/1
- Jannik Sinner - 34/1
- Casper Ruud - 50/1
Follow all the tips from our betting experts throughout the French Open.