Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Swansea
17/01/2026 10:30
Birmingham

Prediction :

 

Swansea to win and BTTS

6
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

Bottom half sides, Swansea and Birmingham are set to face off in their next clash in the Championship. The two are separated by as many points, with hosts Swansea being 17th and Birmingham 14th. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Swansea were left winless in two matches after their elimination from the FA Cup at the hands of West Bromwich Albion. Before that, they had fallen to a 2-1 defeat to Millwall.

The Swans have done well at home, though, and will be looking to add to their four wins in five home matches. This match, however, rarely presents Swansea with much to celebrate.

They are winless in nine meetings with Birmingham, losing four times.

Unlike Swansea, Birmingham are coming from a win in their FA Cup outing. They beat Cambridge 3-2 for their second straight victory and will hope to ride with this momentum.

The Blues were impressive in their latest league outing, beating promotion chasers Coventry 3-2. These two, though, are Birmingham’s only wins in their last nine matches, with four wins in there.

Not much has gone to plan on the road either, as the visitors arrive for this game having lost four of their last five away matches. With only two wins in 10 on the road, Birmingham may struggle here too.

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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Birmingham Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.65 3.2 2.57
Stake
2.9 3.3 2.43
Melbet
2.66 3.2 2.61
BC Game
2.76 3.2 2.5
Tonybet
2.85 3.3 2.41
Check all Swansea vs Birmingham odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Birmingham?

Our prediction for the Swansea vs Birmingham match is: Swansea to win and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Swansea and Birmingham in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.4% for a win of Swansea against Birmingham with odds of 2.9 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Birmingham is 23.28% with odds of 3.3 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Swansea with odds of 2.72 at Shangrila.

Swansea vs Birmingham Form

Swansea and Birmingham's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14
Birmingham
Birmingham
34 26 9 7 10 -1
17
Swansea
Swansea
32 26 9 5 12 -6

Swansea and Birmingham Last Matches

Swansea
Swansea Last matches
W L W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Swansea
2 :  2
West Brom

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
Swansea

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
West Brom

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Swansea

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  0
Swansea

19 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Wrexham
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Swansea
2 :  2
West Brom

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
West Brom

19 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Wrexham

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Portsmouth

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Oxford United

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  2
Derby County
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
Swansea

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Swansea

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  0
Swansea

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  2
Swansea

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  0
Swansea
Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
L D D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Cambridge United
2 :  3
Birmingham

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  2
Coventry City

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Birmingham

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Derby County

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  0
Birmingham
W W D D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  2
Coventry City

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Derby County

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  1
Norwich
D L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Cambridge United
2 :  3
Birmingham

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Birmingham

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  0
Birmingham

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Birmingham

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Birmingham

Swansea vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Swansea

33 %

Draw

50 %

Birmingham

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

20 Sept 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  0
Swansea

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  2
Swansea

5 Aug 2023 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Birmingham

8 Jul 2020 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  3
Swansea

25 Aug 2019 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Birmingham

29 Jan 2019 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  3
Birmingham

Missing players

Swansea
Swansea
Forward

L. Cullen

A. Idah

Birmingham
Birmingham
Defender

E. Laird

L. Buchanan

Midfielder

B. Osayi-Samuel

Forward

D. Gray

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Swansea
CD Huachipato Birmingham
Top Goalscorer
Slovenia Z. Vipotnik (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (8 Goals)
Best assists
Sweden Z. Inoussa (3 Assists)
England J. Tymon (3 Assists)
Portugal G. Franco (3 Assists)
Best assists
England P. Roberts (5 Assists)

Swansea and Birmingham Stats in Championship

Swansea
Swansea
Birmingham
Birmingham
35%
Wins
35%
46%
Losses
38%
19%
Draws
27%
2.31
Average goals per match
2.73
1.04
Goals scored per match
1.35
1.27
Goals conceded per match
1.38
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
46%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
27%
No goals conceded
19%
54%
BTTS
58%

Swansea - Birmingham Key Points

  1. Swansea won four of their last five home games.
  2. Birmingham lost four of their last five away outings.
  3. In four of five meetings, these two sides both scored.
  4. Both teams scored in four of Birmingham’s last five matches.
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Our Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction

Swansea stands a good chance at avenging the matches they have lost points in against Birmingham. The Swans have done better at home, winning four of their last five matches and generally in the season. Of their 32 points in the Championship, Swansea won 21 in home matches.

Meanwhile, Birmingham have managed 34 points, but only eight came from away matches. They’ve actually lost four straight away matches and failed to score in two of the five away games. Our prediction for Swansea v Birmingham is for Swansea to win and BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Swansea to win and BTTS

6
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction