Southampton vs Hull Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Championship Predictions
Matchday 27 in the EFL Championship will see Southampton playing host to Hull City at St. Mary’s on Saturday afternoon. The Saints are 15th in the league standings, while the Tigers are in seventh place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Promotion back to the top flight is starting to look unlikely for Southampton, as they have only managed 33 points from 26 games this season and are already eight points behind the top six.
The Saints dropped to 15th in the standings on MD26 after suffering a 4-0 thumping by Middlesbrough, which was also their sixth consecutive league game without victory (D3 L3).
On the positive, though, Adam Armstrong is the highest goal-scorer in the league this season with 11 goals. The hosts also booked their spot in the fourth round of the FA Cup by beating Doncaster 3-2 last weekend.
Meanwhile, Hull City slipped out of the Playoff zone on MD26 when they were edged 1-0 at home by Stoke City.
That result brought an end to the Tigers’ five-match unbeaten run in the Championship (W4 D1), but they did bounce back with a victory over Blackburn in the FA Cup on penalties last weekend.
The visitors are unbeaten in their last four away games (W3 D1) and have taken 18 points in 12 outings this term. They also beat this opponent 2-1 in their last match at this venue in February 2024.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Southampton v Hull Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.59 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.94 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.1 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Hull?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Hull match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Southampton and Hull in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.58% for a win of Southampton against Hull with odds of 1.65 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Hull is 25.51% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Hull vs Southampton with odds of 5.75 at Bet365.
Southampton - Hull Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Hull Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 47.58% | 1.65 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.86% | 1.92 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 69.79% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Southampton/Southampton | 19.98% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Hull Form
Southampton and Hull's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 |
|
6
|
73 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 |
Southampton and Hull Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
5 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
Southampton vs Hull Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Feb 2024 - Championship
21 Oct 2023 - Championship
29 Apr 2017 - Premier League
Southampton against Hull Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. McCarthy
DefenderWelington
E. Jelert
J. Stephens
MidfielderB. Williams
K. Matsuki
C. Archer
J. Robinson
R. Stewart
D. Phillips
DefenderM. Jacobs
J. Debayo
C. McCarthy
D. Akintola
K. Palmer
J. Lundstram
J. Ndala
H. Parker
Missing players
M. Roerslev
N. Tinsdale
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Hull
F. Azaz
(11 Goals)
, 
A. Armstrong
(11 Goals)
O. McBurnie
(18 Goals)
L. Scienza
(9 Assists)
O. McBurnie
(8 Assists)
Southampton - Hull Key Points
- Eight of Southampton’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Southampton have scored two or more goals in four of their last six home matches.
- Five of Hull City’s last six away games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Hull City have scored two or more goals in six of their last eight away matches.
- Both teams scored in each of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Southampton vs Hull Prediction
With Southampton having not won any of their last six league matches and failing to score in their last two, it is fairly surprising to see just how short bookmakers have priced them coming into this fixture.
Hull City have been good on the road of late, now unbeaten in their last four away games. They also scored two or more goals in six of their last eight away matches, and we feel that they will trouble the hosts in this one. Given these sides’ form, we expect a few goals in this match. Our Southampton vs Hull City prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Hull
| Southampton vs Hull | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 1.65 | 1.65 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.2 | +3.7% |
| Hull wins | 5 | 5.75 | +15.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Southampton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 60.6% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
