Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Bottom half sides, Swansea and Birmingham are set to face off in their next clash in the Championship. The two are separated by as many points, with hosts Swansea being 17th and Birmingham 14th. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Swansea were left winless in two matches after their elimination from the FA Cup at the hands of West Bromwich Albion. Before that, they had fallen to a 2-1 defeat to Millwall.
The Swans have done well at home, though, and will be looking to add to their four wins in five home matches. This match, however, rarely presents Swansea with much to celebrate.
They are winless in nine meetings with Birmingham, losing four times.
Unlike Swansea, Birmingham are coming from a win in their FA Cup outing. They beat Cambridge 3-2 for their second straight victory and will hope to ride with this momentum.
The Blues were impressive in their latest league outing, beating promotion chasers Coventry 3-2. These two, though, are Birmingham’s only wins in their last nine matches, with four wins in there.
Not much has gone to plan on the road either, as the visitors arrive for this game having lost four of their last five away matches. With only two wins in 10 on the road, Birmingham may struggle here too.
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Swansea v Birmingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.2 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.14 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.2 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.15 | 2.78 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Birmingham match is: Swansea to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Swansea and Birmingham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.6% for a win of Swansea against Birmingham with odds of 2.85 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Birmingham is 23.34% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Swansea with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.
Swansea - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Birmingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 52.6% | 2.85 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.4% | 2.15 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Swansea/Swansea | 21.44% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Swansea vs Birmingham Form
Swansea and Birmingham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
|
11
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 |
Swansea and Birmingham Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
19 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
19 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
Swansea vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Jan 2024 - Championship
5 Aug 2023 - Championship
8 Jul 2020 - Championship
25 Aug 2019 - Championship
29 Jan 2019 - Championship
Swansea against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Fisher
DefenderJ. Ward
J. Key
MidfielderO. Cooper
Z. Inoussa
M. Stamenic
M. Yalcouye
B. Wales
L. Cullen
R. Allsop
DefenderM. Mazwi
B. Burrell
A. Sampsted
MidfielderD. Isichei
W. Willumsson
S. Wright
K. Fujimoto
ForwardJ. Stansfield
Missing players
L. Buchanan
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Birmingham
Z. Vipotnik
(23 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
J. Tymon
(7 Assists)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
Swansea - Birmingham Key Points
- Swansea won four of their last five home games.
- Birmingham lost four of their last five away outings.
- In four of five meetings, these two sides both scored.
- Both teams scored in four of Birmingham’s last five matches.
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Our Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction
Swansea stands a good chance at avenging the matches they have lost points in against Birmingham. The Swans have done better at home, winning four of their last five matches and generally in the season. Of their 32 points in the Championship, Swansea won 21 in home matches.
Meanwhile, Birmingham have managed 34 points, but only eight came from away matches. They’ve actually lost four straight away matches and failed to score in two of the five away games. Our prediction for Swansea v Birmingham is for Swansea to win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Birmingham
| Swansea vs Birmingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 2.82 | 2.85 | +1.1% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.3 | +1.5% |
| Birmingham wins | 2.42 | 2.8 | +15.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swansea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.5% and is now 35.1% (-0.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
