West Brom vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

West Brom
16/01/2026 15:00
Middlesbrough

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Ian John | in Championship Predictions

Friday night action in the Championship will start our match predictions for the weekend. West Bromwich Albion host Middlesbrough at The Hawthorns in a match which will have implications at both ends of the table. Boro have a good recent record in this fixture, but The Baggies strong home record and Boro's recent struggles, make this a tough game to predict.

Despite Middlesbrough's poorer performances of late, Boro remain firmly entrenched in the battle for top spot in the table. They are second in the table with 46 points from 26 games and they are six points behind leaders Coventry City. West Brom's struggles see them occupy 18th spot in the table with 31 points from 26 games. They are seven points clear of the relegation spots. 

Recent form for West Brom is not the best. They did beat QPR 2-1 at home, but then they were beaten 1-0 away by Swansea City. That defeat was followed by another in a 2-1 defeat at Leicester City. However, in the FA Cup at the weekend, they drew 2-2 away to Swansea and won the tie 6-5 on penalties.

Middlesbrough's poor run of form started with a 1-0 home defeat to Hull City, which was followed by another 1-0 defeat, this time away to Derby County. However, in their next games, they thrashed Southampton 4-0 at home in the league. At the weekend, they travelled to Fulham and were beaten 3-1 in the FA Cup Third Round.

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West Brom v Middlesbrough Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.46 3.25 2.9
Melbet
2.58 3.32 2.75
Betwinner
2.42 3.24 2.9
Bet365
2.4 3.3 2.82
Roobet
2.44 3.3 2.82
Check all West Brom vs Middlesbrough odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between West Brom and Middlesbrough?

Our prediction for the West Brom vs Middlesbrough match is: A draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/01/2026 between West Brom and Middlesbrough in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.18% for a win of West Brom against Middlesbrough with odds of 2.58 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Brom vs Middlesbrough is 19.19% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs West Brom with odds of 2.92 at Shangrila.

West Brom - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:

West Brom Middlesbrough Prediction Probability Odds
West Brom wins 46.18% 2.58 at Melbet
Over 2.5 goals 53.54% 2.07 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 65.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: West Brom 18.06% 6 at Bet365

West Brom vs Middlesbrough Form

West Brom and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Middlesbrough
80 46 22 14 10 +25
21 West Brom
51 46 13 14 19 -10

West Brom and Middlesbrough Last Matches

West Brom
West Brom Last matches
L L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Swansea
2 :  2
West Brom

5 Jan 2026 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
West Brom

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
West Brom

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  1
QPR

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  2
Bristol City

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Hull
1 :  0
West Brom
W D W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  1
QPR

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  2
Bristol City

12 Dec 2025 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  0
Sheffield United

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  2
Swansea

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Birmingham

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  1
Oxford United
L L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Swansea
2 :  2
West Brom

5 Jan 2026 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
West Brom

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
West Brom

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Hull
1 :  0
West Brom

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  2
West Brom

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
3 :  1
West Brom
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
L D L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Fulham
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Southampton

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Hull

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Blackburn

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Middlesbrough
L W W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Southampton

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Hull

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Blackburn

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
QPR

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Derby County

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  4
Coventry City
D W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Fulham
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Middlesbrough

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

5 Dec 2025 - Championship

Hull
1 :  4
Middlesbrough

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

West Brom vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

West Brom

33 %

Draw

0 %

Middlesbrough

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

19 Sept 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
West Brom

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
West Brom

1 Oct 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  1
Middlesbrough

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
West Brom

26 Aug 2023 - Championship

West Brom
4 :  2
Middlesbrough

25 Feb 2023 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  0
Middlesbrough
West Brom vs Middlesbrough Prediction

West Brom against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11

West Brom

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

20
J. Griffiths
5
K. Bielik
3
N. Phillips
2
C. Mepham
29
C. Taylor
21
I. Price
4
C. Styles
10
K. Grant
11
M. Johnston
22
S. Iling-Junior
19
A. Heggebo
11
M. Whittaker
9
T. Conway
22
S. Silvera
18
A. Morris
14
A. Gilbert
7
H. Hackney
16
A. Browne
29
A. Malanda
12
L. Ayling
3
M. Targett
31
S. Brynn

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Middlesbrough

Substitutes

West Brom
West Brom
Goalkeeper

J. Wildsmith

Defender

G. Campbell

C. Mepham 76'

A. Gilchrist

Midfielder

C. Deeming

H. Whitwell

O. Bostock

J. Wallace

K. Bielik 64'

Forward

D. Dike

N. Phillips 90'

J. Maja

A. Heggebo 64'

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

J. McLaughlin

Defender

F. Munroe

D. Fry

M. Whittaker 82'

Midfielder

L. Castledine

T. Conway 90'

S. Nypan

A. Kante

L. McCabe

Forward

S. Hansen

D. Burgzorg

A. Gilbert 65'

Missing players

West Brom
West Brom
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Defender

A. Jones

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato West Brom
CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
Top Goalscorer
Northern Ireland I. Price (9 Goals)
Norway A. Heggebo (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Whittaker (14 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland M. Johnston (8 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Whittaker (6 Assists)
England H. Hackney (6 Assists)
England C. Brittain (6 Assists)

West Brom - Middlesbrough Key Points

  1. West Brom have lost just two of their 12 home games this season (W6, D4).
  2. Four of Middlesbrough's seven draws in the league this season have come away from home.
  3. All of West Brom's four draws in the league this season have come at home.
  4. Despite being second in the table, Middlesbrough have won just one of their last five games (L3, D1).
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Our West Brom vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Our prediction for the West Brom vs. Middlesbrough Championship match is: A draw.

There's a lot of mixed data for this game. West Brom have a decent home record, Middlesbrough a solid away record, but both teams recent form is not the best. This is a fixture where both teams will be desperate not to lose the game. Middlesbrough because they are chasing Coventry at the top of the table, West Brom to keep them away from the relegation zone. As such a draw looks a solid choice here.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Brom Middlesbrough

West Brom vs Middlesbrough Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
West Brom wins 2.32 2.58 +11.2%
Draw 3.2 3.35 +4.7%
Middlesbrough wins 2.93 2.92 -0.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • West Brom is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 11.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 43.1% and is now 38.8% (-4.3%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.