Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
Liverpool will look to consolidate their top-four push in the English Premier League when they host a relegation-threatened Burnley in a matchday 22 fixture. This match between the fourth-placed Reds and the 19th-placed Clarets on Saturday at Anfield comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 35 points in the season (W10, D5, L6), Liverpool start this round two points above fifth-placed Brentford. Burnley’s 13 points (W3, D4, L14) place them just a point behind West Ham but eight points outside the safety zone. Both teams are coming off comfortable wins in the midweek FA Cup games after drawing their respective Premier League matches last weekend.
There’s a lot on the line for Liverpool, who are still struggling for consistency. Although they held Arsenal to a goalless draw last weekend, they are struggling for momentum. The hosts have just four wins across their last 11 Premier League matches, while only two have come at home. Burnley are struggling to improve their chances of saving the season, with their last league win coming in October. Will that change this weekend? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Liverpool v Burnley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.24 | 6.6 | 12 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.6 | 12 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.55 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.4 | 11 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Burnley match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Liverpool and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.29% for a win of Liverpool against Burnley with odds of 1.27 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Burnley is 24.79% with odds of 6.81 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Liverpool with odds of 13 at Tonybet.
Liverpool - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 61.29% | 1.27 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.82% | 1.55 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 69.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool | 29.94% | 4 at Bet365 |
Liverpool vs Burnley Form
Liverpool and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Liverpool and Burnley Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Liverpool vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sept 2025 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
13 Feb 2022 - Premier League
21 Aug 2021 - Premier League
19 May 2021 - Premier League
Liverpool - Burnley: Form Analysis
Liverpool defeated Barnsley 4-1 at home in the FA Cup during the midweek to end a run of three consecutive draws. All those draws have come in the Premier League, the last of which was a 0-0 away stalemate at Arsenal.
The Reds are still unbeaten across their last nine league games (W4, D5), although the number of draws is a worry. They seem to have unlocked the potential at home in recent weeks, as Liverpool have won two of their last three home league games.
Liverpool have won their last six Premier League games against Burnley.
Burnley thrashed Millwall 5-1 at home in their FA Cup during the week, ending their wait for a competitive win since the start of November. They had three draws and nine defeats in their last 12 Premier League games before that win against Millwall.
Their away record is equally dire, as Burnley have won just one point from their last five league trips (D1, L4). However, they have consistently scored in eight of their last nine away Premier League matches.
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Liverpool against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderC. Ramsay
A. Robertson
J. Gomez
MidfielderA. Mac Allister
T. Nyoni
F. Chiesa
W. Endo
ForwardR. Ngumoha
M. Weiss
DefenderQ. Hartman
H. Ekdal
H. Mejbri
J. Laurent
A. Barnes
L. Foster
L. Tchaouna
J. Bruun Larsen
Missing players
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
C. Roberts
J. Worrall
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
M. Obafemi
Z. Amdouni
A. Hountondji
Liverpool & Burnley Squad Analysis
Liverpool have seen Conor Bradley suffer a season-ending knee injury against Arsenal. Rio Ngumoha also joins on the sidelines, while Mohamed Salah is still involved in AFCON action. The regular long-term absentees Alexander Isak, Stefan Bajcetic, and Giovanni Leoni are still out of contention.
The Reds are likely to stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation with Hugo Ekitike leading the line. Dominik Szoboszlai and Florian Wirtz are likely to start behind him in the attacking midfield.
Ekitike has eight Premier League goals this season for Liverpool.
Burnley will miss Josh Cullen for the rest of the season, joining the long-term absentees Connor Roberts, Zeki Amdouni, and Jordan Beyer. Zian Flemming could be checked close to kick-off for his availability.
The Clarets have managed to be fluid with their system, lining up in 3-4-2-1 or being ultra-defensive in a 5-4-1 formation. Either way, it could be the presence of Jaidon Anthony as the only striker that could be a constant.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Burnley
H. Ekitike
(11 Goals)
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
M. Salah
(7 Assists)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(7 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
Liverpool - Burnley Key Points
- Four of Liverpool’s last six competitive matches produced goals from both teams.
- Burnley lost nine of their last 12 Premier League matches, drawing the other three.
- Six of Burnley’s last eight competitive matches have seen goals from both teams.
- Eight of Burnley’s last ten away league games saw both teams score goals.
- Liverpool’s last home game against Burnley ended in a 3-1 win for the Reds.
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Our Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction
Burnley have shown resilience in recent weeks, especially in the 2-2 draw against Manchester United. That would count for nothing if they can’t build on that and push for a move out of the relegation zone. Liverpool are also in need of a win after three successive draws in the league. The last of those came against leaders Arsenal, which can be a boost to their defensive problems, but the Reds are still struggling to hold clean sheets.
The visitors could fancy getting at least a goal on board, and our Liverpool vs Burnley prediction is BTTS.
Liverpool vs Burnley Alternative Predictions
Jaidon Anthony to score anytime
An outside chance for Burnley to score could be led by their in-form striker Jaidon Anthony. He has two goals in his last two games for Burnley, including in the 2-2 draw against Manchester United in their last Premier League game.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Burnley
| Liverpool vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 1.25 | 1.27 | +1.6% |
| Draw | 6.81 | 6.81 | 0% |
| Burnley wins | 14.4 | 13 | -9.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 78.7% (-1.3%)
Liverpool vs Burnley - FAQs
The Liverpool vs Burnley English Premier League match will not be telecast live on television in the UK as it is in the 3pm Saturday blackout.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
Liverpool aren’t top of the list of opponents that Burnley would love to face. The Clarets have lost their last six Premier League games against Liverpool by an aggregate score of 12-1, but their last win came at Anfield in January 2021.
That would be good news for the Reds, who have drawn 1-1 against Sunderland and 0-0 against Leeds at Anfield this season. They haven’t failed to win three successive Premier League matches at home against promoted clubs since January 2002.
If Liverpool break that trend with a win here, it would be bad news for Burnley. The visitors are winless in their last 12 Premier League matches (D3, L9) coming into this weekend. The last time they had a longer winless run in the top flight was between August and October 1970 (14 matches).
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
