Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
04/04/2026 12:30
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Borussia Dortmund will look to keep the pressure on Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich as they take on Stuttgart in a matchday 28 fixture on Saturday. This match in Stuttgart between the third-placed ‘Swabians’ and the second-placed ‘Prussians’ comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.

After 27 rounds in the season, Stuttgart’s 53 points (W16, D5, L6) see them remain three points above fifth. Above them are Dortmund with 61 points (W18, D7, L2), who are nine points adrift of the leaders Bayern Munich.

Stuttgart won 5-2 away at Augsburg before the international break to extend their unbeaten run to six Bundesliga matches (W4, D2). They are still not guaranteed a top-four finish and will look to avenge the 3-2 defeat in the reverse fixture.

Their hopes will be boosted by an impressive run of five wins out of their last six home Bundesliga games (D1), including four in a row.

Dortmund won 3-2 at home against Hamburg to go into the break on a high of three consecutive league wins. The Prussians have nine wins from their last 11 Bundesliga games (D1, L1) as they aim to stay close to Bayern.

Their away form remains up and down, though, as Dortmund won just five of their last ten Bundesliga trips (D4, L1), although three wins have come in the last four.

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Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.43 3.95 2.75
Melbet
2.37 3.88 2.68
Betwinner
2.4 3.78 2.69
Bet365
2.35 3.9 2.63
Roobet
2.22 3.85 2.82
Check all Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.47% for a win of Stuttgart against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.46 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund is 13.63% with odds of 4.03 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Stuttgart with odds of 2.82 at Roobet.

Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:

Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund Prediction Probability Odds
Stuttgart wins 49.47% 2.46 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 68%
Both Team To Score 53.33%
Half-time: Borussia Dortmund / Full-time: Stuttgart 19.68% 22 at LSbet

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Borussia Dortmund
73 34 22 7 5 +36
4 Stuttgart
62 34 18 8 8 +22

Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches

Stuttgart
Stuttgart Last matches
W D L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  5
Stuttgart

19 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Porto
2 :  0
Stuttgart

15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  0
Leipzig

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
1 :  2
Porto

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Stuttgart

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Wolfsburg
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  0
Leipzig

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
1 :  2
Porto

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Celtic

14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Köln

1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  0
Freiburg
L W D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  5
Stuttgart

19 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Porto
2 :  0
Stuttgart

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Stuttgart

22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  3
Stuttgart

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Celtic
1 :  4
Stuttgart

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Last matches
D L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Hamburg

14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Augsburg

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Hamburg

14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Augsburg

28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

17 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Atalanta

13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Heidenheim
L W W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Tottenham
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stuttgart

83 %

Draw

17 %

Borussia Dortmund

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  3
Stuttgart

8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Stuttgart

22 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
5 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Stuttgart

6 Dec 2023 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

11 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Stuttgart against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11

Stuttgart

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

33
A. Nubel
29
F. Jeltsch
24
J. Chabot
3
R. Hendriks
22
L. Assignon
16
A. Karazor
6
A. Stiller
7
M. Mittelstadt
28
N. Nartey
10
C. Fuhrich
26
D. Undav
9
S. Guirassy
14
M. Beier
17
C. Chukwuemeka
24
D. Svensson
7
J. Bellingham
20
M. Sabitzer
26
J. Ryerson
5
R. Bensebaini
4
N. Schlotterbeck
3
W. Anton
1
G. Kobel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

Substitutes

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Goalkeeper

F. Bredlow

Defender

L. Jaquez

J. Vagnoman

A. Al-Dakhil

Midfielder

B. El Khannouss

F. Jeltsch 72'

J. Leweling

C. Fuhrich 69'

Chema Andres

A. Stiller 88'

Forward

T. Tomas

L. Assignon 72'

E. Demirovic

M. Mittelstadt 87'

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Goalkeeper

A. Meyer

Defender

Y. Couto

N. Sule

L. Reggiani

Midfielder

S. Ozcan

K. Adeyemi

C. Chukwuemeka 63'

J. Brandt

J. Bellingham 72'

Forward

S. Inacio

F. Silva

S. Guirassy 64'

Missing players

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Forward

L. Jovanovic

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

F. Mane

Midfielder

E. Can

F. Nmecha

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Stuttgart
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
Germany D. Undav (19 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Guinea S. Guirassy (17 Goals)
Best assists
Germany J. Leweling (8 Assists)
Best assists
Norway J. Ryerson (15 Assists)

Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. Dortmund (86) and Stuttgart (80) have created the fourth and fifth-most big chances in Bundesliga this season.
  2. Dortmund averaged 2.23 goals per game this season in the Bundesliga, while Stuttgart averaged 2.07.
  3. In 11 of Dortmund’s last 12 Bundesliga matches, over 2.5 total goals were scored.
  4. Six of Stuttgart’s last seven Bundesliga matches saw three or more goals scored.
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Our Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

On paper, this is three versus two in the Bundesliga, but the eight-point gap between them makes it skewed. Stuttgart will feel the need to get three points here, considering the two teams below just three points adrift. Dortmund have very little hope of catching Bayern, who are nine points ahead, but are unlikely to make it easy for Stuttgart. These two sides have played open football this season, which was evident in the big chances they created.

That could continue here, and that’s why our Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Stuttgart wins 2.26 2.46 +8.8%
Draw 4.06 4.03 -0.7%
Borussia Dortmund wins 3.07 2.82 -8.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Stuttgart is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 8.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 44.2% and is now 40.7% (-3.6%)

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Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction