Europe - Europa League
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by Joseph King | in Europa League Predictions
We’re into the second matchday of the league phase in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday with Sturm Graz hosting Rangers. It’s the first ever meeting between Die Schwoazn and the Gers as both teams seek their first points of the campaign. Check out our match prediction below!
Sturm Graz have made excellent progress in the last few years. They displaced RB Salzburg from the Austrian Bundesliga summit with back-to-back league titles and returned to the Champions League last season for the first time in nearly 25 years. Fans will be hoping that the next step can be a deep run in European competition, and the Europa League presents a good opportunity for just that.
Finalists in this competition in the 2021-22 season, Rangers look a long way off reaching those heights once again. The calls to sack manager Russell Martin are growing after a nightmare start, which included the third-largest aggregate defat in Champions League history (9-1 vs Club Brugge) in the qualifying playoff. Three points here would go a long way to alleviating some of the pressure.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sturm Graz v Rangers Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.65 | 2.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Rangers?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Rangers match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/10/2025 between Sturm Graz and Rangers in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.42% for a win of Sturm Graz against Rangers with odds of 2.33 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Rangers is 22.74% with odds of 3.65 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Rangers vs Sturm Graz with odds of 3.2 at Betfred.
Sturm Graz vs Rangers Form
Sturm Graz and Rangers's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
28
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
35
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Sturm Graz and Rangers Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
24 Sep 2025 - Europa League
20 Sep 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
17 Sep 2025 - ÖFB Cup
14 Sep 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
14 Sep 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
26 Aug 2025 - Champions League
10 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2025 - Europa League
20 Sep 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
17 Sep 2025 - ÖFB Cup
30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
20 Sep 2025 - Scottish League Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership
31 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
20 Sep 2025 - Scottish League Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership
31 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
24 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
Sturm Graz - Rangers: Form Analysis
Sturm Graz were able to get back to winning ways at the weekend with a late stoppage time winner to claim a 1-0 home league victory over Hartberg. They’ve now managed to win three of their last four overall, with their only dropped points during that time being the 2-0 away loss to Danish side Midtjylland in the UEL opener.
Sturm Graz performed better than their 2-0 defeat to Midtjylland would suggest.
Indeed, the Austrian’s champions did a commendable job in limiting a Midtjylland side that is always dangerous at home to just 0.56 expected goals, while creating 0.91 xG themselves. They’ll be hoping to build on that as they return home here with a golden opportunity to earn three points.
Rangers also left it late in Sunday’s 2-1 away win over Livingston to finally get their first win of the league season at the sixth time of asking with a stoppage time winner. With a 1-4-1 record in the Scottish Premiership, they already find themselves nine points behind rivals Celtic.
Martin has now managed just five wins from his first 15 games in charge across all competitions which includes just a single victory in six away fixtures. On the bright side, the visitors have won two of their last three outings overall. Rangers kicked off their UEL league phase with a 1-0 home defeat to Genk and weren’t able to recover after a first-half red card.
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Sturm Graz & Rangers Squad Analysis
Sturm Graz boss Jurgen Saumel comes into this match with three players listed on the injury report. Striker Axel Kayombo, goalkeeper Daniil Khudyakov and right back Arjan Malic all look set to miss out.
Rangers will have to key in on attacking midfielder Otar Kiteishvili if they are to get anything out of this match. Kiteishvili was suspended in their UEL opener, which was a major reason why they failed to get on the scoresheet.
Otar Kiteishvili is the creative spark for the hosts and leads the team with five goals in eight appearances.
The 29-year-old pulls the strings in the number 10 role in Sturm’s usual 4-1-2-1-2 formation, providing service to strikers Jatta and Malone.
Russell Martin will be unable to call upon three as well, with Lyall Cameron, Rabbi Matondo and Dujon Sterling all injured. They’ll also be without Mohammed Diomande, who is suspended after receiving a straight red card in the defeat to Genk.
In an attempt to solve some of their goalscoring woes, Rangers brought in Youssef Chermiti from Everton in a deal worth €10 million, the second-highest transer in club history. Chermiti has struggled to make an impact in his four appearances so far, although only one came as a starter.
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Rangers
S. Jatta
(3 Goals)
, 
O. Kiteishvili
(3 Goals)
J. Tavernier
(2 Goals)
W. Boving Vick
(2 Assists)
Sturm Graz and Rangers Stats in Europa League
Sturm Graz - Rangers Key Points
- Sturm Graz have seen under 2.5 goals scored in their last five consecutive matches.
- The hosts have kept four clean sheets in their last six outings, conceding only three goals during that stretch.
- Rangers have seen under 2.5 goals in four of their last five overall.
- The visitors have failed to score in four of their last six games.
- Sturm Graz allowed only 0.56 expected goals and one clear cut chance away to Midtjylland in matchday one.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Rangers Prediction
The hosts have a rock-solid defense and deserved at least a point in their opening match with Midtjylland. Should they replicate a similar type of defensive performance, then they should be able to effectively contain a Rangers side that has been struggling for consistent goal output lately.
It’s another difficult spot for Russell Martin and his Rangers team. They’ve failed to find the net in four of their last six outings and the Sturm Graz defense won’t do them any favours here. Back this to be low-scoring. Our Sturm Graz vs Rangers prediction: under 2.5.Sturm Graz vs Rangers - Other Interesting Predictions
Sturm Graz to win
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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