Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Wild card Stan Wawrinka last reached the third round of the Australian Open in 2020. He attempts to make it to round four of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam with a win over ninth seed Taylor Fritz. Time four our match prediction.
Waiting in round four for the winner will be either fifth seed Lorenzo Musetti or unseeded Tomas Machac.
Wawrinka is retiring at the end of the year but is not going out with a whimper. A win here will take him into the fourth round of a Grand Slam for the first time since his quarter-final here in 2020.
Wins have come this week against Laslo Djere in four sets and then a five-set thriller against Arthur Gea. A tie-break was played in both of those matches. Wawrinka is up to 107th in the live rankings.
Taylor Fitz trails Wawrinka 2-1 in previous meetings but this is their first match on this surface and only their second this decade, Three tie-breaks have been played in those previous matches.
The ninth seed has beaten Valentin Royer and Vit Kopriva so far this week. Both went to four sets and saw one tie-break played. There's been a 7-6 set in eight of his last 11 matches. We tip more than 0.5 tie-breaks in this match.
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Stan Wawrinka v Taylor Fritz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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6.9 | 1.09 |
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6.9 | 1.08 |
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|
8 | 1.08 |
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6.4 | 1.07 |
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6.6 | 1.06 |
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Who will win the Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz game on 24/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Stan Wawrinka has a 29.11% chance to win against Taylor Fritz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 8.
- Taylor Fritz has a 70.89% probability of winning facing Stan Wawrinka ⭐ with odds of 1.09 at Melbet.
Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Stan Wawrinka has a 29.11 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Stan Wawrinka | 29.11 % |
| Taylor Fritz | 70.89 % |
Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz Form
Stan Wawrinka and Taylor Fritz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - United Cup
7 Jan 2026 - United Cup
4 Jan 2026 - United Cup
2 Jan 2026 - United Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
10 Jan 2026 - United Cup
6 Jan 2026 - United Cup
4 Jan 2026 - United Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Cup
Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
12 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Stan Wawrinka - Taylor Fritz Key Points
- Three tie-breaks have been played in their previous matches, two in match played at Wimbledon.
- Fritz has played a tie-break in eight of his last 11 matches.
- Seven of Wawrinka's last nine matches have seen a tie-break played. Two had a couple of 7-6 sets.
- A tie-break has been played in five of Wawrinka's last seven matches in this Grand Slam. The same stat applies to Fritz.
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Our Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
Stan Wawrinka keeps winning Grand Slam matches in his final year on the ATP Tour. The former Australian Open champion has had to battle hard to win his two matches this week, needing nine sets to do so.
Taylor Fritz has had a couple of four-set victories so far this week. Both matches saw a tie-break played and so have Wawrinka's. 7-6 sets have been a feature of previous matches between these players. Our Stan Wawrinka v Taylor Fritz prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
