Stade Francais Paris vs Dragons Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
This Challenge Cup Round 16 clash sees Stade Francais Paris play host to Dragons on Sunday. The winner of this match plays either Zebre Parma or Section Paloise in the next round. Who is likely to secure the quarterfinal ticket? Here is our prediction.
Stade Francais Paris rounded off their Challenge Cup pool-stage campaign on a disappointing note, losing 26–19 to Ulster Rugby. However, they finished top of their pool following a run of three wins and one defeat.
The Pink Army also came into this match in fine domestic form. They thrashed Clermont 64–20 in domestic league action last week, extending their winning streak to three and they also won their last three European home fixtures.
Dragons won two of their four Challenge Cup matches, including a 35–12 victory over Newcastle Red Bulls in their last pool-stage outing, to book their place in the knockout stages. However, they suffered wide-margin losses in their last three Challenge Cup away matches, dating back to last year's edition.
Notably, Filo Tiatia's side fell 42–26 to Lions last week in domestic league outing – a result that extended their winless run to five matches (D1, L4). They are on a staggering 16-match losing streak on the road across all competitions, dating back to last season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Stade Francais Paris v Dragons Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.1 | 26 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.1 | 26 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.1 | 34 | 7 |
|
|
1.11 | 20 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.11 | 20 | 5.8 |
|
Stade Francais Paris vs Dragons Form
Stade Francais Paris and Dragons Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Mar 2026 - Top 14
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
28 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
22 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
28 Feb 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
31 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
23 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
16 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Feb 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
16 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
14 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
28 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
28 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
22 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
31 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
23 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
Players list
Substitutes
Stade Francais Paris - Dragons Key Points
- Stade Francais Paris have won three of their four Challenge Cup matches this season.
- Stade Francais Paris have won their last three European home matches.
- Dragons have lost their two Challenge Cup away matches this season by blowout margins.
- Dragons have lost their last 16 away games across all competitions, dating back to last season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Stade Francais Paris vs Dragons Prediction
Dragons will require a miracle to get a result in this match. They are clearly on the back foot following a run of poor recent results and an inferior pool-stage campaign. Additionally, the Dragons' lengthy losing streak on the road since last season appears unlikely to end soon and most of those losses have been by wide margins.
Given this trend, we are tipping Stade Francais Paris for a comprehensive victory. Our Stade Francais Paris vs Dragons prediction is Stade Francais Paris –16.5 handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
